002460.SZ (002460.SZ)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicStrong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 8/9) with Altman Z of 2.2.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe capital allocation efficiency presents a stark contradiction to the reported revenue expansion. Despite robust top-line growth of 22.1% and healthy gross margins at 15.7%, the firm generates an ROIC of merely 2.8%, which falls significantly below the estimated cost of equity WACC of 10.3%. This -7.5% spread indicates that current operations are actively destroying shareholder value, a fundamental flaw not mitigated by high leverage or asset turnover in this specific DuPont decomposition context. While the Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 suggests strong balance sheet stability and recent improvements in profitability metrics, an Altman Z-Score of 2.2 places the entity in the "gray zone," signaling elevated distress risk that contradicts the narrative implied by such a high financial score.
Valuation multiples appear to be pricing in a future correction of this operational inefficiency rather than current fundamentals. A P/E ratio of 97.8x is extreme, implying market expectations for sustained super-normal growth rates far exceeding the historical norm or sector peers if those sectors are not similarly valued at such premiums. Given that the DCF model relies on an ROIC-WACC spread to determine value creation, a negative input fundamentally undermines any high-growth valuation thesis unless there is a credible catalyst for margin expansion and capital efficiency improvement within the next few quarters. The market's willingness to sustain this multiple suggests significant optimism regarding potential turnaround mechanics or intangible assets not captured in standard profitability metrics.
The divergence between operational destruction and financial strength creates a complex risk-reward profile where downside protection may be limited by valuation compression if ROIC does not improve sharply, despite the low probability of bankruptcy suggested by the Altman score. Investors must weigh whether the 22% revenue growth can eventually translate into higher returns on invested capital or if the current pricing assumes a structural shift in business model efficiency that has yet to materialize in financial statements.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in 002460.SZ to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If 002460.SZ (002460.SZ) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Rio Tinto PLC ADR (RIO) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with 002460.SZ. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 1 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
002460.SZ Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest 002460.SZ Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 0 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
002460.SZ Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does 002460.SZ convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
002460.SZ converts -94% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, negative FCF conversion — the company is consuming cash faster than it generates EBITDA, which is unsustainable long-term. The 194% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-7.5%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Compare 002460.SZ to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.