6857.T (6857.T)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 8/9, Altman Z 29.2 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe capital allocation profile exhibits exceptional efficiency, characterized by a robust Return on Invested Capital of 33.4% against a Weighted Average Cost of Capital of 10.2%, generating a substantial spread of +23.2%. This high ROIC is underpinned primarily by superior profitability rather than leverage or turnover acceleration, as evidenced by the expansive net margin of 20.7% and gross margin of 57.1%, which collectively drive an elevated Return on Equity without relying on financial engineering. The company's fundamental stability is further corroborated by a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 29.2, indicating strong balance sheet health and consistent earnings quality that typically signals low distress risk within the broader market context.
Valuation metrics suggest significant divergence between current pricing and intrinsic value models; while the stock trades at a premium multiple of 58.9x relative to historical norms and sector peers, Discounted Cash Flow analysis implies a fair value of $12,329. This discrepancy indicates that the market is currently pricing in aggressive future growth assumptions that may not be fully supported by recent revenue expansion alone, despite the impressive year-over-year sales increase of 60.3%. The elevated multiple compresses margin safety unless actual earnings compound at rates that justify such a steep premium over intrinsic estimates derived from cash flow projections.
Given the lack of specific sector data or Fama-French alpha figures in the provided dataset, a precise assessment of style factors like size or value exposure cannot be synthesized. However, the combination of high growth velocity and deep valuation discounts relative to DCF models creates an asymmetric risk-reward profile where downside protection is anchored by strong fundamentals while upside potential hinges on whether future revenue execution can sustain current multiples without requiring further margin expansion.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $14945 | $11097 | $8779 |
| 3% | $17380 | $12329 | $9498 |
| 4% | $20984 | $13960 | $10394 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.2%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $12329 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in 6857.T to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If 6857.T (6857.T) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc (8306.T) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with 6857.T. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 1 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
6857.T Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest 6857.T Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 0 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
6857.T Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does 6857.T convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
6857.T converts 104% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 23.2% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Compare 6857.T to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.