6954.T (6954.T)

$5.45T
Market Cap
34.6
P/E Ratio
0.59
Beta
1.74%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Altman Z 19.0 Safe

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 7/9, Altman Z 19.0 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The company exhibits strong fundamental quality, as evidenced by its ROIC exceeding the cost of capital and a DuPont ROE decomposition that highlights efficient use of assets with robust margins. The net margin at 18.5% is notably high, while asset turnover stands at 0.41x, suggesting effective operational efficiency in generating revenue from assets. Additionally, an equity multiplier of 1.11x indicates moderate leverage without excessive risk. Both the Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9 and Altman Z-Score of 19.0 further underscore financial strength with low bankruptcy risk.

In terms of valuation, the current price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) at 34.6x is notably higher than both historical averages and sector peers, suggesting a premium valuation in the market. The discounted cash flow (DCF) fair value calculation implies an intrinsic worth of $8207 per share, which contrasts with the implied growth rate embedded within this model—indicating that investors are pricing in significant future earnings expansion to justify current valuations.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →8%10%12%
2%$9907$7405$5915
3%$11518$8207$6379
4%$13934$9277$6959

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $8207 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
19.0
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

37.0%
Gross Margin
18.5%
Net Margin
7.0%
ROIC
+0.2%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
214.5B
Free Cash Flow
39%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

18.5%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.41x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
1.11x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
8.5%
Return on Equity
✅ ROE driven primarily by strong profit margins — a sign of pricing power.

Balance Sheet Health

0.11x
Debt / Equity
6.89x
Current Ratio
4.41%
FCF Yield
205.3B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $40.72
Act: $47.92
+17.7%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $35.98
Act: $40.56
+12.7%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $39.82
Act: $44.98
+12.9%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $45.82
Act: $39.23
-14.4%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

33.7
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
3.04
Price/Book
6M
Avg Volume
$7175.00
52W High
$3038.00
52W Low
52W Range Position

6954.T Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does 6954.T convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$214.5B
EBITDA
$205.3B
FCF Conversion
104%
Reinvestment Rate
-4%
104% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)

6954.T converts 104% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare 6954.T to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.