AEM.TO (AEM.TO)

$133.2B
Market Cap
21.8
P/E Ratio
0.61
Beta
0.92%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 9/9Altman Z 9.5 SafeBeneish M -2.69 CleanROIC−WACC +8.0%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 9/9, Altman Z 9.5 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The fundamental economics of this entity display robust capital efficiency, evidenced by a Return on Invested Capital significantly exceeding the cost of equity at an 8.0% spread. This high-quality profile is further corroborated by a pristine Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 9.5, which collectively signal exceptional financial strength and minimal distress risk. The DuPont decomposition reveals that the 18.0% Return on Equity is primarily driven by superior pricing power rather than operational leverage or asset intensity; specifically, a net margin of 37.5% outweighs modest asset turnover at 0.35x, while moderate equity multipliers suggest the firm does not rely heavily on debt financing to generate returns. Additionally, the negative Beneish M-Score of -2.69 indicates low probability of earnings manipulation, reinforcing the integrity of these high-margin figures against a backdrop of accelerating revenue growth exceeding 40% year-over-year.

Valuation metrics present a divergence between historical multiples and intrinsic value estimates derived from discounted cash flow modeling. The current price-to-earnings ratio of 21.8x requires contextualization against sector peers, as the provided data lacks comparative benchmarks to determine if this premium is justified by growth expectations or represents overvaluation. However, the DCF model assigns a fair value of $114 per share, implying specific assumptions regarding long-term sustainable growth rates and terminal values that may differ from current market sentiment. If the prevailing P/E multiple embeds growth projections higher than those utilized in the DCF calculation, the stock could be trading at an elevated premium relative to its intrinsic worth; conversely, if market expectations are muted despite strong fundamentals, the current pricing might offer a margin of safety approaching the calculated fair value.

The convergence of aggressive revenue expansion and flawless fundamental health scores suggests the company is navigating a favorable risk/reward landscape, though the high valuation multiple inherently increases sensitivity to any deterioration in margins or growth deceleration. The absence of sector-specific data limits a precise assessment of relative attractiveness compared to industry peers, but the internal consistency between profitability drivers and capital allocation efficiency points to a business model capable of sustaining returns above its cost of capital under current operating conditions.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6.6%8.6%10.6%
2%$141$101$80
3%$171$114$87
4%$224$132$95

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=8.6%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $114 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

9/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
9.5
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.69
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

58.1%
Gross Margin
37.5%
Net Margin
16.6%
ROIC
8.6%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: +8.0%— Positive value creation spread.
+43.7%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+135.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.3B
Free Cash Flow
17%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

37.5%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.35x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
1.39x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
18.0%
Return on Equity
✅ ROE driven primarily by strong profit margins — a sign of pricing power.

Balance Sheet Health

0.39x
Debt / Equity
2.02x
Current Ratio
201.5x
Interest Coverage
-0.3x
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.27%
FCF Yield
8.4B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $1.38
Act: $1.53
+10.7%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $1.77
Act: $1.94
+9.9%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $1.96
Act: $2.16
+10.0%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $2.65
Act: $2.70
+1.9%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

13.7
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
3.90
Price/Book
1M
Avg Volume
$348.94
52W High
$135.40
52W Low
52W Range Position

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in AEM.TO to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

AEM.TO Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
AEM.TOEpicenterEWCETFRYHigh RiskTDHigh RiskSHOPLow RiskENB.TOHigh RiskBMO.TOHigh Risk
AEM.TO Price Drop (%)0

If AEM.TO (AEM.TO) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Royal Bank of Canada (RY) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with AEM.TO. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 1 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

AEM.TO Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
AEM.TO

ETFs with Highest AEM.TO Exposure

Float lock-up computed from 0 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

AEM.TO Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does AEM.TO convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$4.3B
EBITDA
$8.4B
FCF Conversion
51%
Reinvestment Rate
49%
51% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
16.6%
ROIC − WACC Spread
8.0%

AEM.TO converts 51% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a healthy conversion rate indicating efficient capital management — the business generates substantial cash after reinvestment. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 8.0% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare AEM.TO to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.