Financial Services

Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY)

$11.8B
Market Cap
16.0
P/E Ratio
1.16
Beta
3.18%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 5/9Altman Z 0.1 Distress

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

ALLY trades at 16.0x earnings, roughly in line with its sector average of 19.2x. Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 0.1.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Valuation Context

16.0x
ALLY P/E
19.2x
Sector Avg
-17%
vs Sector

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

5/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
0.1
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

9.7%
Net Margin
7.2%
WACC
-1.4%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+27.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-546.0M
Free Cash Flow

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

9.7%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.04x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
12.65x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
5.5%
Return on Equity
⚠️ High equity multiplier — ROE is being amplified by leverage, not operational excellence.

Balance Sheet Health

11.65x
Debt / Equity
-2.91%
FCF Yield

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
+$1M
Net Buying
2
Buy Transactions
0
Sale Transactions
2026-02-03TIMMERMAN DOUGLAS R.Grant$2M
2026-02-03RHODES MICHAEL GEORGEGrant$4M
2026-02-03MEHLMAN HOPEGrant$990,032
2026-02-03HUTCHINSON RUSSELL E.Grant$2M
2026-02-03RICHARD STEPHANIE N.Sold 1/8 qtrsGrant$802,516

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.42
Act: $0.58
+36.8%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.81
Act: $0.99
+22.2%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $1.01
Act: $1.15
+14.1%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $1.02
Act: $1.09
+6.5%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

6.0
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
0.89
Price/Book
4M
Avg Volume
$47.27
52W High
$29.52
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$807M
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding ALLY
0.15%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$550B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like MDYV or SPMD, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell ALLY shares regardless of Ally Financial Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $807M of passive capital is structurally linked to ALLY through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on ALLY's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Ally Financial Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

ALLY Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
ALLYEpicenterVBETFVYMETFVXFETFRSLow RiskUSFDLow RiskSNXMed RiskWCCLow RiskAAMed Risk
ALLY Price Drop (%)0

If Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies RELIANCE INC (RS) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with ALLY. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 15 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

ALLY Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
ALLY

Float lock-up computed from 15 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-082,472$43.79$108,248.88
2026-05-0115$44.39$665.85
2026-04-241$45.02$45.02
2026-04-2224$45.70$1,096.8
2026-04-21127$46.30$5,880.1
2026-04-203,305$45.36$149,914.8
2026-03-31693$37.91$26,271.63
2026-03-30380,317$37.79$14.4M
2026-03-1861$37.36$2,278.96
2026-03-174$35.96$143.84
2026-03-10218,737$38.44$8.4M
2026-03-03110,077$39.75$4.4M
2026-03-0251,904$39.44$2.0M
2026-02-2754,378$41.94$2.3M
2026-02-262,639$41.49$109,492.11
2026-02-2587$40.51$3,524.37
2026-02-2380$42.12$3,369.6
2026-01-2930$42.30$1,269
2026-01-20560$43.61$24,421.6
2025-12-222,574$45.69$117,606.06
2025-11-2830,759$41.15$1.3M
2025-11-133,421$40.29$137,832.09
2025-11-105$39.27$196.35
2025-11-06166$39.95$6,631.7
2025-10-3075$39.97$2,997.75
2025-10-141$37.87$37.87
2025-10-02150$38.75$5,812.5

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare ALLY to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.