Consumer Cyclical

Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL)

Market Cap
P/E Ratio
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 3/9Beneish M -1.66 Flag (> −2.22)

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Below-average fundamentals indicated by Piotroski score of 3/9. Beneish M-Score of -1.66 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

3/9
Piotroski F-Score
Weak — below-average operational and profitability metrics
-1.66
Beneish M-Score
Above threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

50.5%
Gross Margin
5.9%
Net Margin
6.5%
ROIC
-0.0%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-57.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-415.0M
Free Cash Flow

Balance Sheet Health

4.76x
Debt / Equity
0.76x
Current Ratio
2.5x
Interest Coverage
2.8x
Net Debt / EBITDA
946.0M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✗ Miss
Est: $0.28
Act: $0.09
-67.9%
Q3
✗ Miss
Est: $0.12
Act: $0.12
0.0%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.29
Act: $0.36
+26.0%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.32
Act: $0.36
+11.0%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
Price/Book
Avg Volume
52W High
52W Low
52W Range Position

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Brightstar Lottery PLC to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

BRSL Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
BRSLEpicenterSPDWETFSMSNUnknownA000660UnknownASMLLow RiskHSBAUnknownROPMed Risk
BRSL Price Drop (%)0

If Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies SAMSUNG ELECTR GDR REG S (SMSN) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with BRSL. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 1 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

BRSL Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
BRSL

ETFs with Highest BRSL Exposure

Float lock-up computed from 1 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

BRSL Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does Brightstar Lottery PLC convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$-415,000,000
EBITDA
$946M
FCF Conversion
-44%
Reinvestment Rate
144%
-44% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)

Brightstar Lottery PLC converts -44% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, negative FCF conversion — the company is consuming cash faster than it generates EBITDA, which is unsustainable long-term. The 144% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-1456,946$10.97$624,697.62
2026-05-1391,130$11.55$1.1M
2026-05-051,041$12.38$12,887.58
2026-04-222,260$13.17$29,764.2
2026-04-108,798$12.36$108,743.28
2026-04-093,044$12.50$38,050
2026-03-26513$12.94$6,638.22
2026-03-23109$12.79$1,394.11
2026-03-1981$12.62$1,022.22
2026-03-17636$12.77$8,121.72
2026-02-23663$13.46$8,923.98
2026-02-198$13.58$108.64
2026-02-171,527$13.45$20,538.15
2026-02-131,685$13.50$22,747.5
2026-02-05681$14.39$9,799.59
2026-02-03381$14.36$5,471.16
2026-02-02581$14.48$8,412.88
2026-01-301,770$14.12$24,992.4
2026-01-27612$14.13$8,647.56
2026-01-20337$14.25$4,802.25
2026-01-13571$14.96$8,542.16
2025-12-31188$15.50$2,914
2025-12-02531$15.65$8,310.15
2025-11-244,047$15.70$63,537.9
2025-11-18200$16.20$3,240
2025-11-1460,254$16.60$1.0M
2025-11-1276$16.80$1,276.8
2025-11-031,549$16.66$25,806.34

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare BRSL to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.