FIVN (FIVN)

$1.3B
Market Cap
37.9
P/E Ratio
1.36
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Beneish M -2.75 Clean

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The company exhibits a distinct dichotomy between its fundamental profitability metrics and its growth trajectory. While the high gross margin of 55.1% suggests strong pricing power or product differentiation, this advantage is significantly eroded by operating inefficiencies, resulting in a net margin of merely 3.4%. This compression limits capital efficiency, evidenced by an ROIC of only 3.0%, which indicates that the business generates returns barely above typical cost of equity thresholds. Despite these structural headwinds on profitability quality, the Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and Beneish M-Score of -2.75 signal robust financial health with a low probability of earnings manipulation, supported by consistent revenue growth of 10.3% year-over-year.

Valuation metrics present a substantial premium relative to the underlying fundamentals. A current P/E ratio of 37.9x implies that the market is pricing in aggressive future expansion or expects margin expansion that has not yet materialized within the historical data provided. This multiple appears disconnected from the modest net margins and low ROIC, suggesting significant downside risk if growth slows or costs rise; conversely, it leaves little room for error before re-rating occurs. The DCF fair value of $68 serves as a critical anchor point against which current market prices should be measured to determine whether the stock is trading at an intrinsic discount or premium, though specific entry and exit levels are not provided in the available data.

From a risk-reward perspective, the high Piotroski score offers some defensive credibility regarding balance sheet stability, yet the low ROIC acts as a primary drag on shareholder value creation over time. The combination of moderate growth and thin net margins creates a scenario where even minor operational setbacks could disproportionately impact earnings per share due to the elevated valuation multiple. Investors must weigh whether the 10.3% revenue expansion can successfully drive margin improvement to justify the current pricing, given that the low ROIC suggests capital is not being deployed with high efficiency at present.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →8%10%12%
2%$84$60$45
3%$100$68$50
4%$124$78$56

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $68 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
-2.75
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

55.1%
Gross Margin
3.4%
Net Margin
3.0%
ROIC
+10.3%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+408.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
162.1M
Free Cash Flow

Balance Sheet Health

1.28x
Debt / Equity
4.51x
Current Ratio
4.2x
Interest Coverage
4.2x
Net Debt / EBITDA
120.8M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.48
Act: $0.62
+28.4%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.65
Act: $0.76
+17.0%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.73
Act: $0.78
+6.5%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.78
Act: $0.80
+1.9%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

4.7
Forward P/E
0.16
PEG Ratio
1.67
Price/Book
2M
Avg Volume
$30.38
52W High
$13.29
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$30M
Tracked Passive Exposure
3
ETFs Holding FIVN
0.02%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$123B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like XSW or VFVA, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell FIVN shares regardless of FIVN's individual fundamentals. We estimate $30M of passive capital is structurally linked to FIVN through 3 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on FIVN's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 3 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in FIVN to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

FIVN Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
FIVNEpicenterVGTETFVFVAETFXSWETFNVDALow RiskAAPLLow RiskMSFTLow RiskAVGOLow RiskMULow Risk
FIVN Price Drop (%)0

If FIVN (FIVN) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with FIVN. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 3 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

FIVN Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
FIVN

ETFs with Highest FIVN Exposure

Float lock-up computed from 4 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

FIVN Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does FIVN convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$162M
EBITDA
$121M
FCF Conversion
134%
Reinvestment Rate
-34%
134% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)

FIVN converts 134% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-0115$17.20$258
2026-03-263,643$14.61$53,224.23
2026-03-1930$15.64$469.2
2026-03-10369$18.04$6,656.76
2026-03-04699$17.66$12,344.34
2026-02-241,879$17.74$33,333.46
2026-02-2016,262$17.18$279,381.16
2026-01-26327$18.32$5,990.64
2026-01-23337$18.87$6,359.19
2026-01-2260$17.40$1,044
2026-01-164$19.01$76.04
2026-01-14617$18.84$11,624.28
2025-12-3032$19.95$638.4
2025-12-2913$19.99$259.87
2025-12-2214,394$20.54$295,652.76
2025-12-192,093$21.01$43,973.93
2025-12-172,379$21.51$51,172.29
2025-11-26274$19.44$5,326.56
2025-11-207,557$18.28$138,141.96
2025-11-19216$18.59$4,015.44
2025-11-1231$20.33$630.23
2025-11-05769$23.01$17,694.69

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare FIVN to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.