FIVN (FIVN)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicStrong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe company exhibits a distinct dichotomy between its fundamental profitability metrics and its growth trajectory. While the high gross margin of 55.1% suggests strong pricing power or product differentiation, this advantage is significantly eroded by operating inefficiencies, resulting in a net margin of merely 3.4%. This compression limits capital efficiency, evidenced by an ROIC of only 3.0%, which indicates that the business generates returns barely above typical cost of equity thresholds. Despite these structural headwinds on profitability quality, the Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and Beneish M-Score of -2.75 signal robust financial health with a low probability of earnings manipulation, supported by consistent revenue growth of 10.3% year-over-year.
Valuation metrics present a substantial premium relative to the underlying fundamentals. A current P/E ratio of 37.9x implies that the market is pricing in aggressive future expansion or expects margin expansion that has not yet materialized within the historical data provided. This multiple appears disconnected from the modest net margins and low ROIC, suggesting significant downside risk if growth slows or costs rise; conversely, it leaves little room for error before re-rating occurs. The DCF fair value of $68 serves as a critical anchor point against which current market prices should be measured to determine whether the stock is trading at an intrinsic discount or premium, though specific entry and exit levels are not provided in the available data.
From a risk-reward perspective, the high Piotroski score offers some defensive credibility regarding balance sheet stability, yet the low ROIC acts as a primary drag on shareholder value creation over time. The combination of moderate growth and thin net margins creates a scenario where even minor operational setbacks could disproportionately impact earnings per share due to the elevated valuation multiple. Investors must weigh whether the 10.3% revenue expansion can successfully drive margin improvement to justify the current pricing, given that the low ROIC suggests capital is not being deployed with high efficiency at present.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 8% | 10% | 12% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $84 | $60 | $45 |
| 3% | $100 | $68 | $50 |
| 4% | $124 | $78 | $56 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $68 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like XSW or VFVA, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell FIVN shares regardless of FIVN's individual fundamentals. We estimate $30M of passive capital is structurally linked to FIVN through 3 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on FIVN's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 3 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in FIVN to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If FIVN (FIVN) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with FIVN. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 3 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
FIVN Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest FIVN Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 4 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
FIVN Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does FIVN convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
FIVN converts 134% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 15 | $17.20 | $258 |
| 2026-03-26 | 3,643 | $14.61 | $53,224.23 |
| 2026-03-19 | 30 | $15.64 | $469.2 |
| 2026-03-10 | 369 | $18.04 | $6,656.76 |
| 2026-03-04 | 699 | $17.66 | $12,344.34 |
| 2026-02-24 | 1,879 | $17.74 | $33,333.46 |
| 2026-02-20 | 16,262 | $17.18 | $279,381.16 |
| 2026-01-26 | 327 | $18.32 | $5,990.64 |
| 2026-01-23 | 337 | $18.87 | $6,359.19 |
| 2026-01-22 | 60 | $17.40 | $1,044 |
| 2026-01-16 | 4 | $19.01 | $76.04 |
| 2026-01-14 | 617 | $18.84 | $11,624.28 |
| 2025-12-30 | 32 | $19.95 | $638.4 |
| 2025-12-29 | 13 | $19.99 | $259.87 |
| 2025-12-22 | 14,394 | $20.54 | $295,652.76 |
| 2025-12-19 | 2,093 | $21.01 | $43,973.93 |
| 2025-12-17 | 2,379 | $21.51 | $51,172.29 |
| 2025-11-26 | 274 | $19.44 | $5,326.56 |
| 2025-11-20 | 7,557 | $18.28 | $138,141.96 |
| 2025-11-19 | 216 | $18.59 | $4,015.44 |
| 2025-11-12 | 31 | $20.33 | $630.23 |
| 2025-11-05 | 769 | $23.01 | $17,694.69 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare FIVN to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.