FLOC (FLOC)

$2.2B
Market Cap
17.0
P/E Ratio
Beta
1.52%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Altman Z 5.7 SafeBeneish M -3.14 CleanROIC−WACC -3.0%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 7/9, Altman Z 5.7 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency of FLOC presents a structural headwind, evidenced by an ROIC-WACC spread of -3.0%, indicating that the firm is currently destroying value relative to its cost of equity despite generating substantial top-line momentum with 41.9% year-over-year revenue growth. This valuation disconnect suggests the market may be pricing in aggressive future expansion rather than current operational profitability, as the DuPont drivers appear skewed toward high velocity or leverage given the compressed net margin of 5.5% against a robust gross margin of 35.3%. However, fundamental stability metrics offer some counterbalance; a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 signals strong financial health and momentum, while an Altman Z-Score of 5.7 places the entity well within safe territory regarding bankruptcy risk. The Beneish M-Score of -3.14 further corroborates these findings by suggesting earnings are unlikely to be materially manipulated, lending credibility to the reported growth figures even as capital returns remain suboptimal in absolute terms.

Valuation metrics reveal a significant divergence between current pricing and intrinsic value models, with the stock trading at 17.0x forward earnings while the DCF framework implies a fair value of $182 per share. This wide gap suggests the market is currently discounting the security significantly below its calculated present value, potentially reflecting skepticism about sustaining the hyper-growth rate or concerns regarding margin compression as scale increases. If the implied growth assumptions embedded in the DCF model hold true and operational leverage improves to close the negative ROIC-WACC spread, the current multiple offers substantial upside potential relative to fundamental worth. Conversely, if revenue decelerates even moderately from its 41.9% pace or margins contract further, the premium valuation could become unsustainable despite the strong qualitative scores provided by the Piotroski and Altman frameworks.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →8.5%10.5%12.5%
2%$221$164$128
3%$256$182$139
4%$307$206$153

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.5%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $182 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
5.7
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-3.14
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

35.3%
Gross Margin
5.5%
Net Margin
7.5%
ROIC
10.5%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -3.0%— Negative spread.
+41.9%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-48.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
166.5M
Free Cash Flow
21%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

0.21x
Debt / Equity
3.34x
Current Ratio
7.9x
Interest Coverage
0.5x
Net Debt / EBITDA
6.97%
FCF Yield
304.4M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.32
Act: $0.45
+43.7%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.32
Act: $1.26
+289.9%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.30
Act: $0.41
+35.4%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.32
Act: $0.51
+59.5%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

12.1
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
2.68
Price/Book
398313
Avg Volume
$26.10
52W High
$14.03
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$12M
Tracked Passive Exposure
3
ETFs Holding FLOC
0.03%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$41B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like XES or VFQY, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell FLOC shares regardless of FLOC's individual fundamentals. We estimate $12M of passive capital is structurally linked to FLOC through 3 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on FLOC's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 3 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in FLOC to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

FLOC Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
FLOCEpicenterVBKETFXESETFVFQYETFSEILow RiskWHDLow RiskKGSHigh RiskPTENHigh RiskSDRLMed Risk
FLOC Price Drop (%)0

If FLOC (FLOC) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies SOLARIS ENERGY INFRASTRUCTUR (SEI) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with FLOC. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 3 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

FLOC Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
FLOC

ETFs with Highest FLOC Exposure

Float lock-up computed from 3 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

FLOC Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does FLOC convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$167M
EBITDA
$304M
FCF Conversion
55%
Reinvestment Rate
45%
55% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
7.5%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-3.0%

FLOC converts 55% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a healthy conversion rate indicating efficient capital management — the business generates substantial cash after reinvestment. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-3.0%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-13450$27.15$12,217.5
2026-04-309,132$24.51$223,825.32
2026-04-299,244$24.33$224,906.52
2026-03-24127$21.93$2,785.11
2026-03-23200$21.69$4,338
2026-03-12584$23.22$13,560.48
2026-03-095,479$23.30$127,660.7
2026-03-061,830$23.10$42,273
2026-03-051,623$23.03$37,377.69
2026-02-2773$24.37$1,779.01
2026-02-262$22.28$44.56
2026-02-1014$22.61$316.54
2026-02-06232,186$21.26$4.9M
2026-02-05241,640$22.15$5.4M
2026-02-04241,500$22.62$5.5M
2026-02-03103,455$21.16$2.2M
2026-01-21216$20.10$4,341.6
2026-01-0849$18.69$915.81
2025-12-2973$18.01$1,314.73
2025-12-197,729$17.95$138,735.55
2025-12-15628$18.62$11,693.36
2025-12-05142$18.24$2,590.08
2025-12-044$17.95$71.8
2025-12-026$16.87$101.22
2025-11-13635$16.72$10,617.2
2025-11-122,697$17.47$47,116.59
2025-11-0680$18.58$1,486.4

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare FLOC to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.