FR0000073272 (FR0000073272)

$117.0B
Market Cap
16.4
P/E Ratio
0.92
Beta
1.16%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Altman Z 2.7 Gray ZoneROIC−WACC +29.6%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9) with Altman Z of 2.7.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency is exceptionally robust, evidenced by a 40.0% return on invested capital that generates a substantial 29.6 percentage point spread over the weighted average cost of capital at 10.4%. This high-quality earnings profile is underpinned by strong operating leverage and profitability, with net margins expanding to 23.0% while gross margins sit at an impressive 46.9%, indicating significant pricing power or low input costs relative to revenue growth of 12.5%. Financial stability appears solid given a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, suggesting consistent fundamental improvement, though the Altman Z-Score of 2.7 places the entity in the grey zone between safety and distress, warranting attention to potential liquidity constraints despite otherwise superior returns on equity driven primarily by margin expansion rather than leverage or asset turnover shifts.

Valuation metrics present a divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic value models; the stock trades at a forward P/E of 16.4x, which requires context against historical averages and sector peers not provided in this dataset to determine if it represents a discount or premium. However, relative to its own fundamentals, the implied growth rate embedded in these multiples appears conservative when weighed against the company's ability to generate cash flows at rates far exceeding its cost of capital. Discounted Cash Flow analysis suggests a fair value of $215 per share, implying that if this intrinsic target holds, current market prices may be undervalued relative to the firm's capacity for sustainable compounding and high-return reinvestment, assuming no material deterioration in the margin structure or revenue trajectory.

Risk assessment reveals a mixed picture where strong profitability metrics contrast with moderate solvency indicators; while the Piotroski score signals operational resilience, the Altman Z-Score of 2.7 introduces uncertainty regarding long-term financial viability that could impact credit spreads and leverage capacity over time. Without specific data on insider trading activity or Fama-French alpha performance to gauge market mispricing or style exposure, the primary investment thesis rests entirely on whether the market has adequately priced in the durability of these 40% ROIC returns against the backdrop of moderate distress signals. The risk/reward balance hinges on the probability that current operations can sustain their margin profile without triggering a solvency crisis suggested by the Z-Score threshold.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →8.4%10.4%12.4%
2%$256$195$158
3%$294$215$169
4%$348$240$184

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.4%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $215 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
2.7
Altman Z-Score
Grey Zone — between 1.8 and 3.0 thresholds. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

46.9%
Gross Margin
23.0%
Net Margin
40.0%
ROIC
10.4%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: +29.6%— Positive value creation spread.
+12.5%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+1176.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.9B
Free Cash Flow
31%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

3.00x
Debt / Equity
0.93x
Current Ratio
77.1x
Interest Coverage
-0.4x
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.49%
FCF Yield
11.9B
EBITDA

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

22.7
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
7.91
Price/Book
567734
Avg Volume
$350.80
52W High
$190.70
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$1.8B
Tracked Passive Exposure
6
ETFs Holding FR0000073272
0.46%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$385B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like EFA or IEFA, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell FR0000073272 shares regardless of FR0000073272's individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.8B of passive capital is structurally linked to FR0000073272 through 6 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 6 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in FR0000073272 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

FR0000073272 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
FR0000073272EpicenterIEFAETFEFAETFSCHFETFNL0010273215Low RiskCH0012032048Low RiskNVDALow RiskCH0012005267Low RiskAAPLLow Risk
FR0000073272 Price Drop (%)0

If FR0000073272 (FR0000073272) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies ASML Holding N.V. (NL0010273215) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 3 ETFs with FR0000073272. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 6 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

FR0000073272 Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
FR0000073272

Float lock-up computed from 6 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

FR0000073272 Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does FR0000073272 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$3.9B
EBITDA
$11.9B
FCF Conversion
33%
Reinvestment Rate
67%
33% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
40.0%
ROIC − WACC Spread
29.6%

FR0000073272 converts 33% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 67% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 29.6% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare FR0000073272 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.