GB0007980591 (GB0007980591)

$89.4B
Market Cap
38.6
P/E Ratio
-0.20
Beta
4.29%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency appears strained, as the 5.1% ROIC falls below typical hurdle rates required to generate alpha in mature sectors, suggesting a potential mismatch between deployed capital and return generation capabilities. Despite this compression in value creation, the Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates robust fundamental health, signaling strong balance sheet quality and positive earnings momentum relative to peers. However, profitability metrics reveal significant structural fragility; while gross margins hold at 17.7%, the net margin sits precisely at 0.0%, implying that operating expenses completely erode top-line gains or that non-operating items dominate income statements. This dynamic is further underscored by stagnant revenue growth of just 0.1% year-over-year, highlighting a lack of organic expansion despite reasonable leverage within the DuPont framework driving returns.

Valuation metrics present a stark divergence between market pricing and intrinsic value estimates. The current multiple of 38.6x P/E stands at a significant premium relative to historical norms and sector averages for companies exhibiting such minimal growth and zero net profitability, suggesting the market is pricing in aggressive future expansion that has not yet materialized. This disconnect is reinforced by discount cash flow analysis, which calculates a fair value of $6, implying current trading levels are substantially elevated if the underlying assumptions regarding future free cash flows do not materially improve. The data suggests investors are currently betting on a turnaround or hidden growth catalysts rather than existing fundamentals, creating a scenario where downside protection relies heavily on mean reversion in multiples while upside remains contingent on margin expansion and revenue acceleration failing to materialize as priced.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →8%10%12%
2%$7$5$4
3%$8$6$4
4%$10$7$5

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $6 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals

Profitability & Value Creation

17.7%
Gross Margin
0.0%
Net Margin
5.1%
ROIC
+0.1%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-85.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.3B
Free Cash Flow
45%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

2.76x
Debt / Equity
1.26x
Current Ratio
2.5x
Interest Coverage
0.7x
Net Debt / EBITDA
30.7B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✗ Miss
Est: $0.10
Act: $0.09
-10.3%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.12
Act: $0.15
+26.2%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.13
Act: $0.14
+7.5%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $0.10
Act: $0.10
-1.2%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

11.3
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
2.27
Price/Book
56M
Avg Volume
$609.40
52W High
$0.00
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$1.4B
Tracked Passive Exposure
6
ETFs Holding GB0007980591
0.35%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$385B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like EFA or IEFA, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell GB0007980591 shares regardless of GB0007980591's individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.4B of passive capital is structurally linked to GB0007980591 through 6 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 6 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in GB0007980591 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

GB0007980591 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
GB0007980591EpicenterIEFAETFEFAETFSCHFETFNL0010273215Low RiskCH0012032048Low RiskNVDALow RiskCH0012005267Low RiskAAPLLow Risk
GB0007980591 Price Drop (%)0

If GB0007980591 (GB0007980591) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies ASML Holding N.V. (NL0010273215) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 3 ETFs with GB0007980591. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 6 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

GB0007980591 Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
GB0007980591

Float lock-up computed from 6 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

GB0007980591 Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does GB0007980591 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$11.3B
EBITDA
$30.7B
FCF Conversion
37%
Reinvestment Rate
63%
37% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)

GB0007980591 converts 37% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 63% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare GB0007980591 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.