GB00BKDRYJ47 (GB00BKDRYJ47)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health is average: Piotroski 6/9, Altman Z 1.4.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe capital allocation efficiency presents a compelling dichotomy between high profitability per dollar of invested capital and significant revenue headwinds. A robust 13.2% ROIC, generating a 5.5% spread over the cost of equity, indicates that management is effectively deploying assets to create value above the hurdle rate. This return quality is primarily driven by exceptional gross margins at 70.3%, suggesting strong pricing power or favorable product mix, though this strength is partially offset by thin net margins of just 4.4%. While the Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 signals solid fundamental health with positive operating leverage and profitability trends, the Altman Z-Score of 1.4 raises a cautionary flag regarding potential financial distress or liquidity constraints that warrant close monitoring alongside the stagnant revenue trajectory of -0.5% year-over-year.
Valuation metrics currently reflect an aggressive premium relative to historical norms and sector peers, pricing in substantial future growth expectations that are not yet evident in current earnings performance. The 32.0x forward P/E multiple implies a high-growth narrative, which stands in stark contrast to the recent revenue contraction and suggests the market is anticipating a rapid turnaround or margin expansion that has not materialized recently. This disconnect between current fundamentals and valuation multiples is further highlighted by the DCF-derived fair value of $14; if this intrinsic value estimate holds against prevailing market prices, the security appears materially overvalued based on discounted cash flow analysis. The combination of high multiple compression risk and a Z-score hovering near distress territory suggests that any deterioration in operating leverage could trigger a significant re-rating lower.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 6% | 7.6% | 9.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $12 | $8 | $6 |
| 3% | $15 | $10 | $7 |
| 4% | $22 | $12 | $8 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.6%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $10 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in GB00BKDRYJ47 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If GB00BKDRYJ47 (GB00BKDRYJ47) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (KR7005930003) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with GB00BKDRYJ47. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 1 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
GB00BKDRYJ47 Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest GB00BKDRYJ47 Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 1 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
GB00BKDRYJ47 Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does GB00BKDRYJ47 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
GB00BKDRYJ47 converts 66% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 5.5% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Compare GB00BKDRYJ47 to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.