ID1000117609 (ID1000117609)

$100.67T
Market Cap
119.9
P/E Ratio
0.84
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 6/9Altman Z 227058.8 SafeROIC−WACC -4.6%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 6/9, Altman Z 227058.8.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency presents a stark contradiction to the reported profitability metrics. Despite generating robust margins with a net margin of 20.1% and gross margin expansion at 56.2%, coupled with revenue accelerating by 53.6% year-over-year, the company's Return on Invested Capital sits at merely 5.5%. This figure falls significantly below the estimated Weighted Average Cost of Capital of 10.0%, creating a negative ROIC-WACC spread of -4.6% that suggests value destruction in deployed capital, even as earnings per share likely surge due to high leverage or low base effects. While the Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates strong fundamental stability and momentum relative to peers, an Altman Z-Score exceeding 200,000 renders traditional bankruptcy probability models statistically irrelevant, implying a unique capital structure or asset base that distorts standard solvency signals.

Valuation multiples reflect extreme market optimism regarding future scalability rather than current operational efficiency. Trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 120x, the stock commands a premium vastly superior to historical norms and sector averages where such high valuations are typically reserved for firms with proven ROIC-WACC spreads above zero. A discounted cash flow analysis would likely reveal that this multiple implies an unrealistically high implied growth rate required to justify current pricing given the negative spread between returns and capital costs. The market appears to be pricing in a fundamental transformation of the business model or entry into a new growth phase where historical margin profiles will translate into superior reinvestment efficiency, effectively betting on future structural changes rather than present-day economic reality.

The divergence between exceptional top-line velocity and sub-par capital productivity creates a distinct risk-reward asymmetry. While the high F-Score mitigates immediate distress risks indicated by the anomalous Z-score, the negative spread exposes shareholders to significant downside if growth decelerates or capital intensity increases without corresponding margin expansion. Investors must weigh whether the current valuation incorporates sufficient safety margins for potential operational inefficiencies or if it assumes a perfect execution path that has yet to be validated by improved ROIC trends.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

6/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
227058.8
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

56.2%
Gross Margin
20.1%
Net Margin
5.5%
ROIC
10.0%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -4.6%— Negative spread.
+53.6%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+104.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)

Balance Sheet Health

0.25x
Debt / Equity
3.04x
Current Ratio
4.7x
Interest Coverage
1.5x
Net Debt / EBITDA
85.5M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $3.88
Act: $1.35
-65.1%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

51.0
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
78888.89
Price/Book
486M
Avg Volume
$1385.00
52W High
$274.00
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$225M
Tracked Passive Exposure
2
ETFs Holding ID1000117609
0.60%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$37B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like GDXJ or GDX, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell ID1000117609 shares regardless of ID1000117609's individual fundamentals. We estimate $225M of passive capital is structurally linked to ID1000117609 through 2 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on ID1000117609's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 2 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in ID1000117609 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

ID1000117609 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
ID1000117609EpicenterGDXETFGDXJETF008474108UnknownNEMLow Risk011532108Unknown192108504Unknown29446Y502Unknown
ID1000117609 Price Drop (%)0

If ID1000117609 (ID1000117609) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd (008474108) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with ID1000117609. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 2 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

ID1000117609 Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
ID1000117609

ETFs with Highest ID1000117609 Exposure

Float lock-up computed from 3 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

Compare ID1000117609 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.