IDR (IDR)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health is average: Piotroski 6/9, Altman Z 51.4. Beneish M-Score of -1.33 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe company demonstrates robust fundamental economics, evidenced by a wide net margin of 39.4% and gross margin expansion to 61.8%, which drives exceptional revenue growth of 64.6% year-over-year. This operational leverage is underpinned by an ROIC-WACC spread of +1.5%, indicating value creation that exceeds the cost of capital, while the DuPont decomposition suggests profitability rather than turnover or leverage is the primary engine for returns. Financial health metrics reinforce this quality profile; a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 signals strong financial stability and momentum, an Altman Z-Score of 51.4 places the firm well within safe bankruptcy territory, and a Beneish M-Score of -1.33 suggests earnings are unlikely to be manipulated.
Valuation metrics present a complex picture where current multiple compression contrasts with aggressive growth assumptions. The stock trades at 24.9x forward earnings, which requires scrutiny against historical averages and sector peers given the high-growth trajectory, while the DCF model implies a fair value of $11, suggesting potential downside if market expectations diverge from realized cash flows. This valuation gap indicates that current pricing may be incorporating optimistic growth rates or failing to account for margin sustainability at such elevated scales.
No specific risk factor deltas, insider activity data, or Fama-French alpha statistics were provided in the input; therefore, a quantitative assessment of systematic risk premiums or recent management signaling cannot be synthesized from the available dataset.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $13 | $10 | $8 |
| 3% | $15 | $11 | $9 |
| 4% | $18 | $12 | $9 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.5%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $11 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like XME or VFMO, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell IDR shares regardless of IDR's individual fundamentals. We estimate $46M of passive capital is structurally linked to IDR through 4 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on IDR's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 4 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in IDR to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If IDR (IDR) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NUCOR CORP (NUE) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with IDR. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 4 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
IDR Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest IDR Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 5 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
IDR Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does IDR convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
IDR converts 31% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 69% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 1.4% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | 1 | $42.90 | $42.9 |
| 2026-04-16 | 828 | $39.44 | $32,656.32 |
| 2026-04-09 | 87 | $36.62 | $3,185.94 |
| 2026-04-01 | 88,181 | $32.12 | $2.8M |
| 2026-03-31 | 973 | $28.74 | $27,964.02 |
| 2026-03-30 | 9,422 | $27.38 | $257,974.36 |
| 2026-03-26 | 9 | $27.29 | $245.61 |
| 2026-03-25 | 103 | $28.40 | $2,925.2 |
| 2026-03-20 | 12 | $29.20 | $350.4 |
| 2026-03-13 | 364 | $37.01 | $13,471.64 |
| 2026-03-12 | 30 | $38.25 | $1,147.5 |
| 2026-03-06 | 479 | $38.46 | $18,422.34 |
| 2026-02-27 | 2,365 | $43.17 | $102,097.05 |
| 2026-02-23 | 1,500 | $38.41 | $57,615 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2,572 | $34.58 | $88,939.76 |
| 2026-02-05 | 4,527 | $38.13 | $172,614.51 |
| 2026-01-30 | 1,044 | $41.28 | $43,096.32 |
| 2026-01-28 | 240 | $40.47 | $9,712.8 |
| 2026-01-27 | 6,216 | $41.27 | $256,534.32 |
| 2026-01-21 | 267 | $46.32 | $12,367.44 |
| 2026-01-16 | 4,122 | $46.28 | $190,766.16 |
| 2026-01-09 | 784 | $47.80 | $37,475.2 |
| 2026-01-07 | 174 | $47.91 | $8,336.34 |
| 2026-01-05 | 2,864 | $41.13 | $117,796.32 |
| 2025-12-31 | 206 | $41.49 | $8,546.94 |
| 2025-12-29 | 9,689 | $45.32 | $439,105.48 |
| 2025-12-23 | 2,727 | $45.23 | $123,342.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | 45,697 | $45.88 | $2.1M |
| 2025-12-19 | 146 | $42.94 | $6,269.24 |
| 2025-12-17 | 1,571 | $44.27 | $69,548.17 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare IDR to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.