JP3148800000 (JP3148800000)

$2.36T
Market Cap
71.3
P/E Ratio
1.02
Beta
0.24%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 8/9Altman Z 3.5 SafeROIC−WACC -4.9%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 8/9, Altman Z 3.5 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency presents a significant constraint, as the return on invested capital of 5.5% falls substantially below the weighted average cost of capital by nearly five percentage points, indicating value destruction at the margin despite a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 that signals strong financial health and balance sheet stability per Altman metrics. This divergence suggests earnings quality is being eroded not by insolvency risk or deteriorating fundamentals in the traditional sense, but rather by an inability to generate returns sufficient to cover financing costs, even while maintaining robust gross margins near 31% and net margins above nine percent. The revenue trajectory of a negligible decline year-over-year further complicates the picture, revealing that top-line stagnation is preventing leverage on existing profitability drivers despite the company's apparent operational resilience captured by its high F-Score.

Valuation metrics reflect extreme market divergence from traditional value parameters, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of 71.3x standing in stark contrast to the underlying economics where cash flows are being consumed rather than compounded relative to capital costs. Such a premium multiple implies that investors are pricing in aggressive future growth assumptions or specific idiosyncratic catalysts not evident in the historical data, as the current spread between ROIC and WACC offers no margin of safety under standard discounted cash flow frameworks where returns must exceed hurdle rates to create intrinsic value. The market appears willing to overlook the negative capital spread, potentially betting on a structural shift in profitability or sector dynamics that would eventually align future returns with these elevated multiples.

No specific risk factor deltas, insider trading activity, or Fama-French alpha data were provided for this instrument, limiting the ability to synthesize a comprehensive risk-adjusted reward profile beyond the fundamental valuation disconnect observed between current pricing and capital efficiency metrics.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

8/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
3.5
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

30.7%
Gross Margin
9.1%
Net Margin
5.5%
ROIC
10.4%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -4.9%— Negative spread.
-0.3%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.6B
Free Cash Flow

Balance Sheet Health

1.18x
Debt / Equity
1.68x
Current Ratio
45.5x
Interest Coverage
-1.3x
Net Debt / EBITDA
-3.58%
FCF Yield
106.8B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $22.28
Act: $31.88
+43.1%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $32.85
Act: $45.59
+38.8%
Q2
✗ Miss
Est: $34.09
Act: $33.45
-1.9%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $36.98
Act: $31.98
-13.5%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

27.4
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
4.36
Price/Book
6M
Avg Volume
$9980.00
52W High
$1478.00
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$132M
Tracked Passive Exposure
3
ETFs Holding JP3148800000
0.05%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$278B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like SCHF or IEFA, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell JP3148800000 shares regardless of JP3148800000's individual fundamentals. We estimate $132M of passive capital is structurally linked to JP3148800000 through 3 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on JP3148800000's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 3 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in JP3148800000 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

JP3148800000 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
JP3148800000EpicenterIEFAETFSCHFETFIXUSETFNL0010273215Low RiskTW0002330008Low RiskCH0012032048Low RiskCH0012005267Low RiskKR7005930003Low Risk
JP3148800000 Price Drop (%)0

If JP3148800000 (JP3148800000) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies ASML Holding N.V. (NL0010273215) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with JP3148800000. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 3 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

JP3148800000 Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
JP3148800000

Float lock-up computed from 3 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

JP3148800000 Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does JP3148800000 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$-79,629,000,000
EBITDA
$106.8B
FCF Conversion
-75%
Reinvestment Rate
175%
-75% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
5.5%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-4.9%

JP3148800000 converts -75% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, negative FCF conversion — the company is consuming cash faster than it generates EBITDA, which is unsustainable long-term. The 175% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-4.9%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare JP3148800000 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.