JP3456000003 (JP3456000003)

$550.3B
Market Cap
16.3
P/E Ratio
-0.05
Beta
1.81%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 9/9Altman Z 1.3 DistressROIC−WACC -1.2%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 9/9) with Altman Z of 1.3.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The company exhibits a robust Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, signaling exceptional fundamental strength and balance sheet quality according to standard scoring models. However, the capital allocation efficiency presents a mixed picture; while net margins remain healthy at 7.9%, supported by strong gross margins of 60.1% driven by high revenue turnover rather than leverage or margin expansion alone, the Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) sits at just 5.8%. This generates a relatively narrow spread against the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of only +1.3%, suggesting that current profitability does not significantly outpace the cost of capital despite the pristine financial health indicators from the Altman Z-Scope context implied by the high F-score.

Valuation metrics indicate the stock trades at a multiple of 16.3x earnings, which requires comparison against historical averages and sector peers to determine if it is priced for perfection or modest growth. Given the revenue expansion rate of 6.9% YoY, the market appears to be pricing in steady but not explosive top-line execution. The DCF model assigns a fair value of $29,353; assessing whether this figure represents an upside premium or a discount relative to current trading levels depends entirely on how closely the actual share price aligns with this calculated anchor and what growth trajectory is implicitly embedded within the 16.3x multiple versus long-term sustainable rates.

The divergence between the flawless Piotroski score of 9/9 and the narrow ROIC-WACC spread creates an intriguing risk-reward dynamic that warrants further scrutiny regarding capital intensity or market saturation not captured by simple margin metrics. While the Altman Z-Score context suggests low distress probability, the limited excess return over the cost of equity implies that future value creation will hinge on improving operational leverage or expanding margins rather than relying solely on organic volume growth at 6.9%. Investors must evaluate whether the current valuation compresses potential upside given these specific capital efficiency constraints.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6%7.1%9.1%
2%$8983$6934$4777
3%$11772$8492$5472
4%$17348$11064$6442

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.1%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $8492 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

9/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
1.3
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

60.1%
Gross Margin
7.9%
Net Margin
5.8%
ROIC
7.1%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -1.2%— Negative spread.
+6.9%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+25.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
43.7B
Free Cash Flow
16%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

1.59x
Debt / Equity
0.80x
Current Ratio
8.3x
Interest Coverage
0.7x
Net Debt / EBITDA
7.00%
FCF Yield
98.3B
EBITDA

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

14.3
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
1.15
Price/Book
3M
Avg Volume
$2479.00
52W High
$999.30
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$34M
Tracked Passive Exposure
3
ETFs Holding JP3456000003
0.01%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$278B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like IEFA or SCHF, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell JP3456000003 shares regardless of JP3456000003's individual fundamentals. We estimate $34M of passive capital is structurally linked to JP3456000003 through 3 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on JP3456000003's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 3 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in JP3456000003 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

JP3456000003 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
JP3456000003EpicenterIEFAETFSCHFETFIXUSETFNL0010273215Low RiskTW0002330008Low RiskCH0012032048Low RiskCH0012005267Low RiskKR7005930003Low Risk
JP3456000003 Price Drop (%)0

If JP3456000003 (JP3456000003) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies ASML Holding N.V. (NL0010273215) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with JP3456000003. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 3 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

JP3456000003 Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
JP3456000003

Float lock-up computed from 3 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

JP3456000003 Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does JP3456000003 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$43.7B
EBITDA
$98.3B
FCF Conversion
44%
Reinvestment Rate
56%
44% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
5.8%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-1.2%

JP3456000003 converts 44% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a healthy conversion rate indicating efficient capital management — the business generates substantial cash after reinvestment. The 56% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-1.2%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare JP3456000003 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.