JP3497400006 (JP3497400006)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 8/9, Altman Z 7.4 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe capital allocation efficiency demonstrates robust fundamental quality, characterized by a 16.5% ROIC that significantly outpaces the 10.2% cost of equity to generate a +6.3% spread. This economic moat is reinforced by a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 7.4, indicating strong balance sheet stability and consistent earnings generation supported by an 11.8% net margin. While the DuPont decomposition suggests high profitability margins rather than operational leverage or asset turnover as primary drivers, the company's ability to sustain these returns is further validated by a Fama-French alpha of 27.35%, signaling performance that materially exceeds standard market factor benchmarks over the annual period.
Valuation metrics present a notable divergence between current pricing and historical norms, with the stock trading at a P/E ratio of 32.1x compared to its five-year average of 17.7x, representing an 81% premium relative to recent history. This elevated multiple implies that market participants are pricing in aggressive future growth expectations rather than relying on current earnings power alone, as the DCF fair value would likely be compressed if such high-growth assumptions were not met. The significant deviation from the sector's historical mean suggests a potential re-rating risk should revenue expansion fail to keep pace with these embedded valuations, despite the underlying quality of the business model remaining intact.
Risk and reward dynamics are mixed, as evidenced by the Value Factor (HML) score of 0.184 which indicates a slight tilt toward value characteristics, contrasting sharply with the high profitability factor alpha that rewards growth-oriented strategies. While the Profitability Factor (RMW) registers at only 0.014, reflecting neutral positioning in this specific dimension relative to peers, the substantial Fama-French alpha suggests the stock has successfully decoupled from traditional valuation traps often associated with low-value stocks. Investors must weigh whether the current premium adequately compensates for the potential mean reversion of P/E multiples against the continued delivery of above-average risk-adjusted returns driven by superior capital efficiency and margin expansion capabilities.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Technical Setup
AI GeneratedThe current price of $7,153.00 serves as the baseline for assessing immediate market positioning relative to historical trends. Without specific moving average data points provided in this snapshot, a definitive determination regarding whether the asset is trading above or below its key trend lines cannot be established solely from this figure. Consequently, any conclusion about long-term bullishness or bearish momentum relies on missing comparative metrics that would typically define the slope and direction of these averages over varying timeframes. Regarding short-term velocity, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is not included in the supplied information, preventing an analysis of whether the asset is experiencing potential exhaustion near oversold levels or overheating close to resistance zones. In the absence of RSI readings, it remains impossible to gauge if recent price movements reflect sustained acceleration or a temporary spike that may lack underlying breadth. The available data confirms only the absolute valuation at $7,153.00 but lacks the necessary comparative context—such as rolling averages and oscillator thresholds—to characterize the current phase of momentum or trend strength with certainty.
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Dividend History
| Date | Amount | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | $44.0000 | +29.4% |
| 2025-06-27 | $34.0000 | +6.3% |
| 2024-12-27 | $32.0000 | +39.1% |
| 2024-09-27 | $23.0000 | -11.5% |
| 2024-03-28 | $26.0000 | +85.7% |
| 2023-09-28 | $14.0000 | -40.0% |
| 2023-03-30 | $23.3333 | +75.0% |
| 2022-09-29 | $13.3333 | -27.3% |
| 2022-03-30 | $18.3333 | +57.1% |
| 2021-09-29 | $11.6667 | -22.2% |
| 2021-03-30 | $15.0000 | +50.0% |
| 2020-09-29 | $10.0000 | -33.3% |
Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.
Risk Profile
Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure
Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.
Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like BOTZ or EFA, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell JP3497400006 shares regardless of JP3497400006's individual fundamentals. We estimate $320M of passive capital is structurally linked to JP3497400006 through 7 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on JP3497400006's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 7 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in JP3497400006 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If JP3497400006 (JP3497400006) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies ABB Ltd (CH0012221716) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 5 ETFs with JP3497400006. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 7 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
JP3497400006 Ownership Dynamics
Passive funds hold 1 in every 40 JP3497400006 shares, reducing daily market volatility.
JP3497400006 (JP3497400006) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 5.3% of the Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (BOTZ) and 0.1% of the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA). Across 7 tracked ETFs, approximately 9M shares (2.5% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. As passive ownership grows, index inclusion changes may increasingly drive price discovery.
ETFs with Highest JP3497400006 Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 7 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
JP3497400006 Institutional Volume Profile
252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks — the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.
The highest-volume price zone for JP3497400006 over the past year sits near $4915.89 (15% of 252-day volume). The current price of $6943.00 trades 41.2% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target. The highly concentrated volume profile (15% at POC) indicates strong consensus on fair value — institutional participants have repeatedly transacted near this price.
Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.
Price Correlations
Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.
| Peer | 252-Day (1Y) | 126-Day (6M) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTGXX | NaN | NaN | |
| JP3932000007 | 0.604 | 0.626 | Moderate |
| JP3802400006 | 0.591 | 0.602 | Moderate |
| JP3197800000 | 0.522 | 0.564 | Moderate |
| JP3162600005 | 0.521 | 0.619 | Moderate |
| JP3236200006 | 0.514 | 0.468 | Moderate |
| TW0002330008 | 0.417 | 0.517 | Moderate |
| KR7005930003 | 0.411 | 0.490 | Moderate |
| CH0012221716 | 0.371 | 0.312 | Moderate |
| KR7000660001 | 0.335 | 0.429 | Moderate |
Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.
Compare JP3497400006 to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.