JP3795300007 (JP3795300007)

$77.5B
Market Cap
12.1
P/E Ratio
0.98
Beta
2.56%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Altman Z 2.5 Gray ZoneROIC−WACC -3.5%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9) with Altman Z of 2.5.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency reveals a structural disconnect, as the company generates an ROIC of 6.5% that falls short of its 9.9% cost of equity, resulting in a negative spread of -3.5%. This indicates value destruction relative to the required return for shareholders despite maintaining a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, which suggest moderate financial stability but do not fully offset the capital inefficiency. The DuPont decomposition highlights that profitability is driven by modest net margins at 5.4% against gross margins of 21.4%, while revenue growth remains subdued at 6.8% year-over-year; these factors collectively constrain returns on invested capital and limit potential leverage effects on overall equity performance.

Valuation metrics present a divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic value estimates derived from discounted cash flow models, which place fair value at $3,602 per share. The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 12.1x, requiring an assessment of whether this multiple reflects the limited growth trajectory or compensates for the negative ROIC-WACC spread. Without explicit sector benchmarks to contextualize the current multiple against peers, it remains unclear if the market is pricing in significant downside risk from capital inefficiency or discounting future margin expansion potential inherent in the 6.8% revenue expansion rate.

The data suggests a complex risk-reward profile where strong balance sheet metrics like a healthy Altman Z-Score coexist with fundamental headwinds regarding return generation relative to cost of capital. Investors must weigh whether the current valuation adequately compensates for the -3.5% spread or if the 12.1x P/E multiple fails to account for the limitations imposed by sub-par ROIC and stagnant margin profiles, potentially leaving upside capped unless operational efficiency improves significantly in future periods.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →7.9%9.9%11.9%
2%$4354$3252$2594
3%$5062$3602$2796
4%$6128$4070$3049

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=9.9%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $3602 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

Loading chart...
SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
2.5
Altman Z-Score
Grey Zone — between 1.8 and 3.0 thresholds. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

21.4%
Gross Margin
5.4%
Net Margin
6.5%
ROIC
9.9%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -3.5%— Negative spread.
+6.8%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.1B
Free Cash Flow
15%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

0.89x
Debt / Equity
2.03x
Current Ratio
29.4x
Interest Coverage
-0.1x
Net Debt / EBITDA
9.32%
FCF Yield
9.1B
EBITDA

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

Loading drawdown chart...

Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

Loading beta chart...
Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

4.2
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
1.07
Price/Book
353500
Avg Volume
$3060.00
52W High
$1099.00
52W Low
52W Range Position

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in JP3795300007 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

JP3795300007 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
JP3795300007EpicenterBOTZETFCH0012221716Low RiskNVDALow RiskJP3802400006Low RiskJP3236200006Low RiskISRGLow Risk
JP3795300007 Price Drop (%)0

If JP3795300007 (JP3795300007) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies ABB Ltd (CH0012221716) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with JP3795300007. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 1 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

JP3795300007 Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
JP3795300007

ETFs with Highest JP3795300007 Exposure

Float lock-up computed from 1 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

JP3795300007 Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does JP3795300007 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$7.1B
EBITDA
$9.1B
FCF Conversion
78%
Reinvestment Rate
22%
78% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
6.5%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-3.5%

JP3795300007 converts 78% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-3.5%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare JP3795300007 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.