NOVN.SW (NOVN.SW)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 8/9, Altman Z 3.2 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe fundamental economics of NOVN.SW demonstrate a robust capital allocation efficiency, evidenced by an ROIC-WACC spread of +9.0%, indicating value creation that significantly outpaces the cost of equity and debt financing. This high return profile is driven primarily by exceptional pricing power rather than operational leverage or financial engineering; a net margin of 24.7% dominates the DuPont decomposition, while asset turnover remains modest at 0.51x and equity multiplier sits at 2.38x. Quality metrics further reinforce this structural strength: a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 signals strong financial health with only minor deterioration in recent periods, an Altman Z-Score of 3.2 suggests a low probability of bankruptcy distress, and a Beneish M-Score of -2.52 indicates earnings are unlikely to be materially manipulated by management.
Valuation analysis reveals the market is pricing this growth trajectory at a premium relative to historical norms but within reasonable bounds for its quality profile. The current P/E multiple of 21.1x implies that investors have incorporated significant expectations into the share price, likely reflecting confidence in sustaining revenue growth near 9.6% annually while maintaining superior margins. A DCF model suggests a fair value of $202 per share; comparing this intrinsic estimate to the current market price determines whether the stock is trading at a discount or premium relative to its calculated cash flow potential and implied long-term growth assumptions, effectively quantifying the margin of safety or opportunity cost for entry.
No specific risk factor deltas, insider activity data, or Fama-French alpha metrics were provided in the input; consequently, a detailed assessment of recent valuation drifts, liquidity risks, or style-based performance anomalies cannot be synthesized from the available information. The absence of these dynamic variables limits the teardown to static fundamental and valuation observations regarding capital efficiency and margin durability.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 6% | 7.6% | 9.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $239 | $169 | $121 |
| 3% | $311 | $201 | $136 |
| 4% | $456 | $251 | $157 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.5%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $201 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in NOVN.SW to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If NOVN.SW (NOVN.SW) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies HSBC Holdings PLC (HSBA.L) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with NOVN.SW. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 1 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
NOVN.SW Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest NOVN.SW Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 0 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
NOVN.SW Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does NOVN.SW convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
NOVN.SW converts 67% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 9.0% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Compare NOVN.SW to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.