PETR3.SA (PETR3.SA)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 7/9, Altman Z 3.7 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe capital allocation efficiency demonstrates robust value creation, evidenced by a ROIC of 13.1% that comfortably exceeds the WACC of 7.9%, generating a +5.2% spread indicative of strong economic moats and superior reinvestment potential. This profitability is underpinned by exceptional margin quality, with net margins at 22.0% and gross margins holding steady at 47.6%, suggesting pricing power or significant cost advantages rather than volume-driven growth; however, revenue contraction of -2.4% YoY indicates the current ROE expansion relies heavily on leverage or asset turnover improvements rather than top-line scaling. Fundamental integrity metrics reinforce this stability, as a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 signals strong financial health, while an Altman Z-Score of 3.7 places the entity firmly in the safe zone against bankruptcy risk and a Beneish M-Score of -2.59 effectively rules out earnings manipulation concerns.
Valuation appears deeply discounted relative to its intrinsic worth, trading at a current P/E multiple of 6.8x which implies market skepticism regarding future growth trajectories despite the company's high-margin profile. The disconnect between these low multiples and a DCF-derived fair value of $17 suggests the market is pricing in persistent revenue headwinds or sector-specific tail risks that may not be fully reflected in current cash flow assumptions, potentially leaving significant upside if macro conditions stabilize to support the observed margin durability.
No specific risk factor deltas, insider transaction data, or Fama-French alpha metrics were provided for this analysis; consequently, a detailed assessment of style-based anomalies or recent management sentiment cannot be synthesized from the available dataset.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 6% | 7.9% | 9.9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $22 | $15 | $11 |
| 3% | $29 | $17 | $12 |
| 4% | $42 | $21 | $14 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.9%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $17 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in PETR3.SA to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If PETR3.SA (PETR3.SA) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Vale SA (VALE3.SA) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with PETR3.SA. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 1 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
PETR3.SA Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest PETR3.SA Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 0 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
PETR3.SA Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does PETR3.SA convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
PETR3.SA converts 36% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 64% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 5.2% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Compare PETR3.SA to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.