SAP.DE (SAP.DE)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 8/9, Altman Z 6.0 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe capital allocation efficiency of the enterprise demonstrates robust fundamental quality, evidenced by a Return on Invested Capital significantly exceeding its weighted average cost of capital by 7.0 percentage points. This spread indicates value creation that outpaces the hurdle rate required for shareholders, supported by a DuPont-style profile where high gross margins at 72.9% and net margins near 19.5% drive profitability without relying on excessive leverage or turnover acceleration. Creditworthiness and earnings integrity are further reinforced by an Altman Z-Score of 6.0, signaling low bankruptcy risk, while a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 suggests strong financial health with minimal manipulation concerns given the negative Beneish M-Score of -2.60.
Valuation metrics present a divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic value estimates derived from discounted cash flow modeling. The stock trades at a forward P/E multiple of 23.8x, which requires contextualization against historical averages and sector peers to determine if the premium is justified by growth expectations embedded in the DCF fair value target of $288. If current market prices fall substantially below this implied valuation floor, it may suggest the market is underpricing future cash flows relative to the company's demonstrated margin expansion capabilities; conversely, a price near or above this level implies that consensus expectations have already priced in significant growth durability.
Risk assessment remains moderate given the absence of specific risk factor deltas, insider trading anomalies, or Fama-French alpha data within the provided dataset. The combination of high profitability margins and strong credit metrics creates a defensive cushion against economic downturns, yet the 7.7% revenue growth rate indicates that top-line expansion is proceeding at a steady but not explosive pace. Investors must weigh whether the current multiple adequately compensates for this measured growth trajectory or if there remains upside potential as execution validates the high-margin business model over time.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 7% | 9% | 11% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $361 | $253 | $193 |
| 3% | $440 | $288 | $212 |
| 4% | $571 | $337 | $236 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=9.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $288 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like EWG or EZU, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell SAP.DE shares regardless of SAP.DE's individual fundamentals. We estimate $341M of passive capital is structurally linked to SAP.DE through 2 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on SAP.DE's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 2 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in SAP.DE to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If SAP.DE (SAP.DE) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Siemens AG (SIE.DE) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with SAP.DE. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 2 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
SAP.DE Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest SAP.DE Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 0 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
SAP.DE Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does SAP.DE convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
SAP.DE converts 70% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 7.0% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Compare SAP.DE to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.