SII (SII)

$3.5B
Market Cap
52.2
P/E Ratio
1.33
Beta
1.03%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 6/9Altman Z 14.5 SafeBeneish M -1.59 Flag (> −2.22)

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 6/9, Altman Z 14.5. Beneish M-Score of -1.59 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency and earnings quality metrics suggest a robust fundamental profile, anchored by an ROIC of 16.9% which significantly exceeds typical cost of equity thresholds for high-growth equities. The DuPont decomposition reveals that this return is primarily driven by exceptional operating leverage rather than financial engineering or asset turnover; specifically, the net margin expansion to 25.1% and gross margins holding at 37.4% indicate superior pricing power or favorable input cost dynamics. This operational strength is corroborated by a revenue growth rate of 51.6%, while integrity checks via the Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, Altman Z-Score of 14.5, and Beneish M-Score of -1.59 collectively signal low distress risk and minimal earnings manipulation concerns, positioning the firm as a high-quality compounder despite its sector classification remaining undefined in this dataset.

Valuation analysis presents a distinct divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic value models. The stock trades at 52.2x forward earnings, implying that the market is aggressively pricing in sustained hyper-growth trajectories consistent with the recent 51.6% revenue expansion. However, when compared against DCF-derived fair value of $136, this multiple suggests a significant premium to intrinsic worth unless implied growth rates substantially exceed historical averages or if terminal value assumptions are exceptionally optimistic for an entity without disclosed sector benchmarks. The current valuation implies that any deceleration in the observed top-line momentum would immediately compress multiples toward mean reversion levels, creating a scenario where downside protection relies heavily on continued execution of its margin expansion thesis.

Risk assessment highlights the tension between high earnings quality and elevated valuation sensitivity. While the strong Altman Z-Score mitigates bankruptcy risk and the negative Beneish M-Score supports earnings credibility, the 52.2x P/E multiple leaves little room for error regarding future growth sustainability. The absence of sector context prevents a precise assessment of relative valuation compression risks compared to industry peers, but the sheer magnitude of the premium suggests that downside volatility could be pronounced if macroeconomic headwinds impact consumer demand or input costs. Investors must weigh whether the 16.9% ROIC can persist at these margins as growth normalizes from its current 51.6% YoY pace, given that historical P/E expansions often precede mean reversion when valuations detach significantly from DCF anchors.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →8%10%12%
2%$165$122$97
3%$193$136$105
4%$235$155$115

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $136 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

6/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
14.5
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-1.59
Beneish M-Score
Above threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

37.4%
Gross Margin
25.1%
Net Margin
16.9%
ROIC
+51.6%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+36.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
95.8M
Free Cash Flow
35%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

0.43x
Debt / Equity
1.92x
Current Ratio
74.9x
Interest Coverage
2.82%
FCF Yield
94.1M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.48
Act: $0.62
+29.1%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.55
Act: $1.05
+90.6%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.66
Act: $0.92
+39.4%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.71
Act: $1.02
+43.2%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

23.3
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
9.57
Price/Book
259427
Avg Volume
$169.63
52W High
$39.33
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$11M
Tracked Passive Exposure
4
ETFs Holding SII
0.04%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$30B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like GWX or VSS, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell SII shares regardless of SII's individual fundamentals. We estimate $11M of passive capital is structurally linked to SII through 4 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on SII's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 4 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in SII to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

SII Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
SIIEpicenterSPEMETFVSSETFGWXETF700Unknown9988Unknown2454Unknown2308Unknown2317Unknown
SII Price Drop (%)0

If SII (SII) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD (700) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with SII. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 4 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

SII Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
SII

Float lock-up computed from 4 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

SII Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does SII convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$96M
EBITDA
$94M
FCF Conversion
102%
Reinvestment Rate
-2%
102% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)

SII converts 102% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-1412$142.66$1,711.92
2026-05-0755$152.30$8,376.5
2026-05-06262$126.77$33,213.74
2026-05-0561$130.61$7,967.21
2026-05-011,262$130.40$164,564.8
2026-04-2132,083$145.03$4.7M
2026-04-201,464$148.40$217,257.6
2026-04-1426$146.66$3,813.16
2026-04-1036$144.74$5,210.64
2026-04-02839$146.77$123,140.03
2026-03-30219$135.34$29,639.46
2026-03-2724$133.10$3,194.4
2026-03-26414$139.34$57,686.76
2026-03-23640$134.37$85,996.8
2026-03-20895$136.78$122,418.1
2026-03-19809$145.33$117,571.97
2026-03-17647$146.43$94,740.21
2026-03-134,356$156.72$682,672.32
2026-03-101,000$162.28$162,280
2026-03-06739$159.63$117,966.57
2026-02-27281$164.78$46,303.18
2026-02-2487,765$151.84$13.3M
2026-02-2362,850$143.98$9.0M
2026-02-192,709$123.99$335,888.91
2026-02-1310,789$118.27$1.3M
2026-02-103,625$122.66$444,642.5
2026-02-04204$123.88$25,271.52
2026-01-3018,150$130.47$2.4M
2026-01-2813,611$133.17$1.8M
2026-01-27753$134.14$101,007.42

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare SII to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.