Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicStrong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 8% | 10% | 12% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $68 | $34 | $14 |
| 3% | $90 | $45 | $20 |
| 4% | $123 | $59 | $28 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs $103.54.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $45 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Dividend History
| Date | Amount | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-14 | $0.6000 | 0.0% |
| 2024-02-14 | $0.6000 | 0.0% |
| 2023-11-14 | $0.6000 | 0.0% |
| 2023-08-14 | $0.6000 | -14.3% |
| 2020-02-28 | $0.7000 | 0.0% |
| 2019-11-21 | $0.7000 | 0.0% |
| 2019-09-19 | $0.7000 | 0.0% |
| 2019-06-13 | $0.7000 | 0.0% |
| 2019-02-28 | $0.7000 | 0.0% |
| 2018-11-21 | $0.7000 | 0.0% |
| 2018-08-16 | $0.7000 | 0.0% |
| 2018-05-17 | $0.7000 | 0.0% |
Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like XTN or SLYV, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell ALGT shares regardless of Allegiant Travel Company's individual fundamentals. We estimate $65M of passive capital is structurally linked to ALGT through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on ALGT's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in Allegiant Travel Company to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies MATSON INC (MATX) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 3 ETFs with ALGT. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 8 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
ALGT Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest ALGT Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 8 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
ALGT Institutional Volume Profile
252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks — the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.
The highest-volume price zone for Allegiant Travel Company over the past year sits near $85.94 (11% of 252-day volume). The current price of $103.54 trades 20.5% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target.
Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.
ALGT Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does Allegiant Travel Company convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
Allegiant Travel Company converts 23% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 77% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 250 | $75.21 | $18,802.5 |
| 2026-05-11 | 16 | $83.03 | $1,328.48 |
| 2026-05-06 | 75 | $75.75 | $5,681.25 |
| 2026-05-01 | 23 | $75.64 | $1,739.72 |
| 2026-04-22 | 89 | $85.57 | $7,615.73 |
| 2026-04-21 | 6 | $90.35 | $542.1 |
| 2026-04-20 | 3,753 | $91.79 | $344,487.87 |
| 2026-04-15 | 247 | $89.85 | $22,192.95 |
| 2026-04-13 | 63 | $85.58 | $5,391.54 |
| 2026-04-07 | 574 | $80.98 | $46,482.52 |
| 2026-04-01 | 329 | $81.04 | $26,662.16 |
| 2026-03-25 | 952 | $83.64 | $79,625.28 |
| 2026-03-17 | 356 | $74.66 | $26,578.96 |
| 2026-03-16 | 10,081 | $75.04 | $756,478.24 |
| 2026-03-06 | 4,552 | $84.13 | $382,959.76 |
| 2026-03-02 | 147 | $102.15 | $15,016.05 |
| 2026-02-27 | 5 | $106.50 | $532.5 |
| 2026-02-26 | 35 | $102.74 | $3,595.9 |
| 2026-02-24 | 530 | $103.69 | $54,955.7 |
| 2026-02-23 | 231 | $107.62 | $24,860.22 |
| 2026-02-20 | 1,580 | $104.18 | $164,604.4 |
| 2026-02-19 | 800 | $109.76 | $87,808 |
| 2026-02-18 | 659 | $114.04 | $75,152.36 |
| 2026-02-12 | 23,001 | $109.33 | $2.5M |
| 2026-02-11 | 23,045 | $114.34 | $2.6M |
| 2026-02-10 | 32,008 | $113.93 | $3.6M |
| 2026-02-09 | 118,796 | $114.79 | $13.6M |
| 2026-02-06 | 635 | $99.42 | $63,131.7 |
| 2026-02-05 | 394 | $99.86 | $39,344.84 |
| 2026-01-23 | 4,243 | $90.33 | $383,270.19 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare ALGT to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-23.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.