Financial Services

Citigroup Inc. (C)

$131.26
+1.68%
$214.7B
Market Cap
15.5
P/E Ratio
1.12
Beta
1.91%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 2/9Altman Z 0.2 Distress

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

C trades at 15.5x earnings, roughly in line with its sector average of 19.2x. Below-average fundamentals indicated by Piotroski score of 2/9; Altman Z of 0.2 falls in the academic distress zone.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Valuation Context

15.5x
C P/E
19.2x
Sector Avg
14.5x
5Y Avg P/E
-19%
vs Sector

Currently trading 23% above its 5-year average P/E of 14.5x.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Technical Setup

AI Generated

The current technical configuration for Citigroup Inc. presents a complex interplay between price momentum and volume dynamics that may reflect shifting institutional positioning. While the stock trades at $124.82, the presence of moving average crossovers often serves as a focal point where larger market participants adjust their exposure based on trend validation or rejection signals. If short-term averages have recently crossed above longer-term counterparts amidst rising volume, this could suggest that institutions are accumulating shares in anticipation of an upward trajectory, potentially viewing current levels as attractive entry points following a period of consolidation. Conversely, if price action is failing to sustain gains despite increasing trading activity while moving averages remain bearish or neutral, it might indicate that sophisticated players are distributing positions or waiting for clearer directional confirmation before committing significant capital. Volume trends act as the critical filter in this scenario; elevated volume during price advances typically corroborates institutional conviction, whereas high volume on stagnation or minor pullbacks can signal underlying weakness or profit-taking by major holders. The specific alignment of these factors at $124.82 requires careful interpretation to determine whether larger entities are acting as net buyers seeking a new trend or net sellers capping further appreciation. Ultimately, the convergence of price levels with technical indicators provides a snapshot of where market sentiment is leaning, but it does not dictate future performance. Observers should weigh these signals against broader sector conditions and fundamental catalysts before forming any view on whether current pricing represents value or overextension for institutional portfolios.

RSI (14)
SMA 50
SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

2/9
Piotroski F-Score
Weak — below-average operational and profitability metrics
0.2
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

16.8%
Net Margin
7.0%
WACC
+5.6%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.2B
Free Cash Flow

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

16.8%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.03x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
12.43x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
6.7%
Return on Equity
⚠️ High equity multiplier — ROE is being amplified by leverage, not operational excellence.

Balance Sheet Health

11.43x
Debt / Equity
-40.33%
FCF Yield

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
-$18M
Net Selling
0
Buy Transactions
6
Sale Transactions
2026-02-20MASON MARK A.L.Sold 2/8 qtrsSale$416,045
2026-02-13CANTU ERNESTO TORRESSold 1/8 qtrsSale$7M
2026-02-12LUCHETTI GONZALOSold 3/8 qtrsSale$2M
2026-02-12HABNER PAMELASold 1/8 qtrsSale$3M
2026-02-12MCINTOSH BRENTSold 1/8 qtrsOther4,798 shares

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $1.85
Act: $1.96
+5.9%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $1.59
Act: $2.04
+28.3%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $1.93
Act: $2.26
+17.4%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $1.62
Act: $1.24
-23.4%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Dividend History

$0.6000
Latest Dividend
$2.32
2025 Total
+6.4%
YoY Growth
3 yrs
Consecutive Increases
Annual Dividends per Share
$0.32
2016
$0.96
2017
$1.54
2018
$1.92
2019
$2.04
2020
$2.04
2021
$2.04
2022
$2.08
2023
$2.18
2024
$2.32
2025
$1.20
2026
DateAmountChange
2026-05-04$0.60000.0%
2026-02-02$0.60000.0%
2025-11-03$0.60000.0%
2025-08-04$0.6000+7.1%
2025-05-05$0.56000.0%
2025-02-03$0.56000.0%
2024-11-04$0.56000.0%
2024-08-05$0.5600+5.7%
2024-05-03$0.53000.0%
2024-02-02$0.53000.0%
2023-11-03$0.53000.0%
2023-08-04$0.5300+3.9%
Stock Splits
2011-05-09: 0.1:12000-08-28: 1.333333:11999-06-01: 1.5:11997-11-20: 1.5:11996-11-25: 1.333333:11996-05-28: 1.5:11995-10-03: 1.004016:11993-08-30: 1.333333:11993-03-01: 1.5:11987-03-13: 2:1

Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.

Risk Profile

28.9%
Annual Volatility
2.44
Sharpe (1Y)
1.28
Sharpe (3Y)
-31.3%
Max Drawdown (3Y)
-47.8%
Max Drawdown (5Y)

Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure

Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.

1.35
Market β
Mkt-RF
-0.181
Size (SMB)
Large-cap tilt
+1.203
Value (HML)
Value tilt
-0.508
Profit (RMW)
Weak
-0.062
Invest (CMA)
Neutral
Alpha (annual): +6.78%
R²: 62.6%of variance explained by 5 factors

Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.

Fundamentals

10.0
Forward P/E
0.69
PEG Ratio
1.12
Price/Book
13M
Avg Volume
$135.29
52W High
$74.30
52W Low
93%
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$23.6B
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding C
0.38%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$6.2T
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like IYF or XLF, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell C shares regardless of Citigroup Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $23.6B of passive capital is structurally linked to C through 8 tracked ETFs. This substantial passive exposure means that ETF inflows and outflows — not company fundamentals — can dominate daily volume on this stock.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Citigroup Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

C Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
CEpicenterVTIETFVOOETFIVVETFJPMHigh RiskBRK.BUnknownMULow RiskBRK-BMed RiskJPMHigh Risk
C Price Drop (%)0

If Citigroup Inc. (C) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies JPMORGAN CHASE + CO (JPM) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with C. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 33 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

C Ownership Dynamics

Passive funds hold 1 in every 9 C shares, reducing daily market volatility.

Ticker
C
Total Shares
1.7B
ETF Lock-Up
11.7%
Display Mode
Total Float Impact
11.7%Locked Float

Citigroup Inc. (C) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 3.6% of the IYF (IYF) and 3.0% of the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF). Across 31 tracked ETFs, approximately 199M shares (11.7% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. This level of passive ownership means index rebalances can create outsized volume events.

Float lock-up computed from 31 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

C Institutional Volume Profile

252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.

TICKER
C
PRICE
$131.26
FLOOR (POC)
$93.24
STRENGTH
Medium
$75$78$81$84$87$90$93POC 11%$969%$9910%$103$106$1097%$1129%$11510%$118$121$124$127$131$131.26$134
Focus Zone
Point of Control (POC) Support (below price) Resistance (above price) Current Price

The highest-volume price zone for Citigroup Inc. over the past year sits near $93.24 (11% of 252-day volume). The current price of $131.26 trades 40.8% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target.

Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-0537,730$125.63$4.7M
2026-05-041,395$127.44$177,778.8
2026-05-013,192$127.98$408,512.16
2026-04-271,964$127.98$251,352.72
2026-04-2017,173$132.18$2.3M
2026-04-177$129.34$905.38
2026-04-1512$129.58$1,554.96
2026-04-141$126.28$126.28
2026-04-1332,725$124.39$4.1M
2026-04-10631$124.92$78,824.52
2026-04-0710$117.36$1,173.6
2026-04-069,110$115.25$1.0M
2026-03-25233$113.74$26,501.42
2026-03-241,364$111.64$152,276.96
2026-03-2328,124$109.52$3.1M
2026-03-20294$109.85$32,295.9
2026-03-192$108.67$217.34
2026-03-163,000$105.69$317,070
2026-03-09309,665$106.53$33.0M
2026-03-045,121$110.76$567,201.96
2026-03-03958$111.45$106,769.1
2026-02-18411$113.78$46,763.58
2026-02-177,058$110.86$782,449.88
2026-02-137,058$111.15$784,496.7
2026-02-1237,040$117.39$4.3M
2026-02-0924,358$122.69$3.0M
2026-02-064,000$115.74$462,960
2026-02-04309$117.71$36,372.39
2026-02-021$115.71$115.71
2026-01-304,449$115.20$512,524.8

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Price Correlations

Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.

Peer252-Day (1Y)126-Day (6M)Direction
WTGXXNaNNaN
MS0.7990.802High co-movement
BAC0.7950.811High co-movement
GS0.7650.760High co-movement
JPM0.7520.756High co-movement
WFC0.7380.792High co-movement
COF0.7280.716High co-movement
CFG0.7070.696High co-movement
USB0.7070.741High co-movement
KEY0.7020.705High co-movement

Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.

Compare C to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.