DK0062498333 (DK0062498333)

$1.06T
Market Cap
10.3
P/E Ratio
0.27
Beta
6.74%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 5/9Altman Z 3.6 SafeBeneish M -2.56 CleanROIC−WACC +24.9%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 3.6.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The fundamental economics present a compelling dichotomy between exceptional capital efficiency and modest top-line expansion. An ROIC of 32.5% against a WACC of 7.6% generates a substantial +24.9% spread, indicating that the company creates significant value by deploying capital at rates far exceeding its cost of equity; however, this profitability is underpinned by moderate revenue growth of only 6.4%, suggesting limited market share capture or pricing power constraints despite an impressive gross margin of 81%. The DuPont drivers appear heavily weighted toward high margins rather than asset turnover or leverage, while the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 signals a mixed financial trajectory and the Altman Z-Score of 3.6 places the firm in the "grey zone" regarding bankruptcy risk, though the negative Beneish M-Score of -2.56 effectively rules out earnings manipulation concerns.

Valuation metrics currently reflect a significant discount to intrinsic worth based on discounted cash flow analysis. With a current P/E ratio of 10.3x trading well below the DCF-derived fair value of $81, the market appears to be pricing in persistent growth stagnation or elevated risk premiums not fully captured by the static model inputs. This divergence suggests that while the operational machinery is highly efficient, the equity price has failed to accrete at a pace consistent with the underlying cash generation capabilities implied by the DCF framework.

The risk-reward profile hinges on whether the market's skepticism regarding future growth can be resolved without compromising the company's superior capital returns. The moderate Piotroski score introduces uncertainty about balance sheet stability, yet the robust spread between ROIC and WACC provides a wide margin of safety if operational leverage remains intact as margins hold steady above 30%.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6%7.6%9.6%
2%$100$67$45
3%$133$81$52
4%$200$104$61

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.6%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $81 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

Loading chart...
SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

5/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
3.6
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.56
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

81.0%
Gross Margin
33.1%
Net Margin
32.5%
ROIC
7.6%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: +24.9%— Positive value creation spread.
+6.4%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.0B
Free Cash Flow
179%
FCF Payout Ratio

⚠️ Dividend consumes >80% of FCF — sustainability risk.

Balance Sheet Health

1.80x
Debt / Equity
0.80x
Current Ratio
32.0x
Interest Coverage
0.5x
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.53%
FCF Yield
156.7B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $6.11
Act: $6.53
+6.8%
Q3
✗ Miss
Est: $6.07
Act: $5.96
-1.9%
Q2
✗ Miss
Est: $4.90
Act: $4.50
-8.1%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $5.78
Act: $6.04
+4.6%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

Loading drawdown chart...

Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

Loading beta chart...
Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

11.2
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
5.46
Price/Book
9M
Avg Volume
$533.40
52W High
$224.25
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$2.5B
Tracked Passive Exposure
6
ETFs Holding DK0062498333
0.64%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$385B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like EFA or IEFA, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell DK0062498333 shares regardless of DK0062498333's individual fundamentals. We estimate $2.5B of passive capital is structurally linked to DK0062498333 through 6 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 6 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in DK0062498333 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

DK0062498333 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
DK0062498333EpicenterIEFAETFEFAETFSCHFETFNL0010273215Low RiskCH0012032048Low RiskNVDALow RiskCH0012005267Low RiskAAPLLow Risk
DK0062498333 Price Drop (%)0

If DK0062498333 (DK0062498333) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies ASML Holding N.V. (NL0010273215) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 3 ETFs with DK0062498333. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 6 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

DK0062498333 Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
DK0062498333

Float lock-up computed from 6 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

DK0062498333 Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does DK0062498333 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$29.0B
EBITDA
$156.7B
FCF Conversion
18%
Reinvestment Rate
82%
18% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
32.5%
ROIC − WACC Spread
24.9%

DK0062498333 converts 18% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a low conversion rate suggesting heavy reinvestment. This may indicate a growth phase (building capacity) or structural capital intensity. The 82% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 24.9% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare DK0062498333 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.