JP3497400006 (JP3497400006)

$6943.00
-3.90%
$2.69T
Market Cap
36.1
P/E Ratio
1.00
Beta
1.12%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 8/9Altman Z 7.4 SafeROIC−WACC +6.3%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 8/9, Altman Z 7.4 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency demonstrates robust fundamental quality, characterized by a 16.5% ROIC that significantly outpaces the 10.2% cost of equity to generate a +6.3% spread. This economic moat is reinforced by a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 7.4, indicating strong balance sheet stability and consistent earnings generation supported by an 11.8% net margin. While the DuPont decomposition suggests high profitability margins rather than operational leverage or asset turnover as primary drivers, the company's ability to sustain these returns is further validated by a Fama-French alpha of 27.35%, signaling performance that materially exceeds standard market factor benchmarks over the annual period.

Valuation metrics present a notable divergence between current pricing and historical norms, with the stock trading at a P/E ratio of 32.1x compared to its five-year average of 17.7x, representing an 81% premium relative to recent history. This elevated multiple implies that market participants are pricing in aggressive future growth expectations rather than relying on current earnings power alone, as the DCF fair value would likely be compressed if such high-growth assumptions were not met. The significant deviation from the sector's historical mean suggests a potential re-rating risk should revenue expansion fail to keep pace with these embedded valuations, despite the underlying quality of the business model remaining intact.

Risk and reward dynamics are mixed, as evidenced by the Value Factor (HML) score of 0.184 which indicates a slight tilt toward value characteristics, contrasting sharply with the high profitability factor alpha that rewards growth-oriented strategies. While the Profitability Factor (RMW) registers at only 0.014, reflecting neutral positioning in this specific dimension relative to peers, the substantial Fama-French alpha suggests the stock has successfully decoupled from traditional valuation traps often associated with low-value stocks. Investors must weigh whether the current premium adequately compensates for the potential mean reversion of P/E multiples against the continued delivery of above-average risk-adjusted returns driven by superior capital efficiency and margin expansion capabilities.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Technical Setup

AI Generated

The current price of $7,153.00 serves as the baseline for assessing immediate market positioning relative to historical trends. Without specific moving average data points provided in this snapshot, a definitive determination regarding whether the asset is trading above or below its key trend lines cannot be established solely from this figure. Consequently, any conclusion about long-term bullishness or bearish momentum relies on missing comparative metrics that would typically define the slope and direction of these averages over varying timeframes. Regarding short-term velocity, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is not included in the supplied information, preventing an analysis of whether the asset is experiencing potential exhaustion near oversold levels or overheating close to resistance zones. In the absence of RSI readings, it remains impossible to gauge if recent price movements reflect sustained acceleration or a temporary spike that may lack underlying breadth. The available data confirms only the absolute valuation at $7,153.00 but lacks the necessary comparative context—such as rolling averages and oscillator thresholds—to characterize the current phase of momentum or trend strength with certainty.

RSI (14)
SMA 50
SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

8/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
7.4
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

24.5%
Gross Margin
11.8%
Net Margin
16.5%
ROIC
10.2%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: +6.3%— Positive value creation spread.
+8.1%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+71.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)

Balance Sheet Health

0.67x
Debt / Equity
2.57x
Current Ratio
399.5x
Interest Coverage
-1.7x
Net Debt / EBITDA
118.6B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✗ Miss
Est: $47.24
Act: $45.86
-2.9%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $42.63
Act: $56.46
+32.4%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $43.13
Act: $56.69
+31.4%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $51.98
Act: $53.38
+2.7%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Dividend History

$44.0000
Latest Dividend
$78.00
2025 Total
-3.7%
YoY Growth
Annual Dividends per Share
$3.33
2006
$8.33
2007
$8.67
2008
$8.67
2009
$5.00
2010
$5.00
2011
$5.00
2012
$5.00
2013
$6.67
2014
$8.33
2015
$10.67
2016
$18.33
2017
$25.00
2018
$30.00
2019
$25.00
2020
$26.67
2021
$31.67
2022
$37.33
2023
$81.00
2024
$78.00
2025
DateAmountChange
2025-12-29$44.0000+29.4%
2025-06-27$34.0000+6.3%
2024-12-27$32.0000+39.1%
2024-09-27$23.0000-11.5%
2024-03-28$26.0000+85.7%
2023-09-28$14.0000-40.0%
2023-03-30$23.3333+75.0%
2022-09-29$13.3333-27.3%
2022-03-30$18.3333+57.1%
2021-09-29$11.6667-22.2%
2021-03-30$15.0000+50.0%
2020-09-29$10.0000-33.3%
Stock Splits
2023-03-30: 3:1

Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.

Risk Profile

37.1%
Annual Volatility
1.65
Sharpe (1Y)
0.96
Sharpe (3Y)
-45.3%
Max Drawdown (3Y)
-46.6%
Max Drawdown (5Y)

Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure

Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.

0.16
Market β
Mkt-RF
+0.007
Size (SMB)
Neutral
+0.184
Value (HML)
Value tilt
+0.014
Profit (RMW)
Neutral
-0.314
Invest (CMA)
Aggressive
Alpha (annual): +27.35%
R²: 0.9%of variance explained by 5 factors

Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.

Fundamentals

50.9
Forward P/E
5.55
PEG Ratio
5.87
Price/Book
2M
Avg Volume
$7857.00
52W High
$3564.00
52W Low
79%
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$320M
Tracked Passive Exposure
7
ETFs Holding JP3497400006
0.08%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$388B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like BOTZ or EFA, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell JP3497400006 shares regardless of JP3497400006's individual fundamentals. We estimate $320M of passive capital is structurally linked to JP3497400006 through 7 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on JP3497400006's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 7 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in JP3497400006 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

JP3497400006 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
JP3497400006EpicenterIEFAETFEFAETFSCHFETFCH0012221716Low RiskJP3802400006Low RiskNVDALow RiskJP3236200006Low RiskNL0010273215Low Risk
JP3497400006 Price Drop (%)0

If JP3497400006 (JP3497400006) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies ABB Ltd (CH0012221716) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 5 ETFs with JP3497400006. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 7 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

JP3497400006 Ownership Dynamics

Passive funds hold 1 in every 40 JP3497400006 shares, reducing daily market volatility.

Ticker
JP3497400006
Total Shares
368M
ETF Lock-Up
2.5%
Display Mode
Total Float Impact
2.5%Locked Float

JP3497400006 (JP3497400006) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 5.3% of the Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (BOTZ) and 0.1% of the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA). Across 7 tracked ETFs, approximately 9M shares (2.5% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. As passive ownership grows, index inclusion changes may increasingly drive price discovery.

Float lock-up computed from 7 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

JP3497400006 Institutional Volume Profile

252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.

TICKER
JP3497400006
PRICE
$6943.00
FLOOR (POC)
$4915.89
STRENGTH
High
$360911%$38278%$4044$4262$44808%$469811%$4916POC 15%$5134$5352$55696%$57878%$6005$6223$6441$6659$6877$6943.00$7094$7312$7530$7748
Focus Zone
Point of Control (POC) Support (below price) Resistance (above price) Current Price

The highest-volume price zone for JP3497400006 over the past year sits near $4915.89 (15% of 252-day volume). The current price of $6943.00 trades 41.2% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target. The highly concentrated volume profile (15% at POC) indicates strong consensus on fair value — institutional participants have repeatedly transacted near this price.

Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.

Price Correlations

Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.

Peer252-Day (1Y)126-Day (6M)Direction
WTGXXNaNNaN
JP39320000070.6040.626Moderate
JP38024000060.5910.602Moderate
JP31978000000.5220.564Moderate
JP31626000050.5210.619Moderate
JP32362000060.5140.468Moderate
TW00023300080.4170.517Moderate
KR70059300030.4110.490Moderate
CH00122217160.3710.312Moderate
KR70006600010.3350.429Moderate

Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.

Compare JP3497400006 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.