KYG070341048 (KYG070341048)

$286.1B
Market Cap
62.9
P/E Ratio
0.39
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 1/9Altman Z 2.2 Gray ZoneBeneish M -2.14 Flag (> −2.22)ROIC−WACC -5.2%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Below-average fundamentals indicated by Piotroski score of 1/9. Beneish M-Score of -2.14 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency for KYG070341048 is severely compromised, as the return on invested capital of 2.1% falls significantly below the weighted average cost of capital of 7.3%, resulting in a negative spread that erodes intrinsic value over time. This fundamental weakness is underscored by a deteriorating Piotroski F-Score of just 1 out of 9, signaling acute financial distress or declining operational quality, while revenue contraction of -3.0% YoY further validates the inability to generate top-line momentum despite maintaining robust gross margins at 43.9%. The Altman Z-Score of 2.2 places the entity in a gray zone between safety and bankruptcy risk, suggesting potential liquidity concerns that are not fully captured by the negative Beneish M-Score of -2.14, which typically indicates low manipulation risk but may reflect genuine operational fragility rather than accounting integrity.

Valuation metrics present a stark disconnect from underlying economic reality, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of 62.9x implying that the market expects sustained high-growth trajectories inconsistent with negative revenue trends and value-destructive capital deployment. Such a premium multiple suggests investors are pricing in aggressive future expansion or turnaround success that is not supported by historical performance data where net margins have compressed to merely 4.3%. Without evidence of accelerating growth rates aligning with this valuation tier, the current market price appears detached from the fundamental constraints imposed by the negative ROIC-WACC spread and shrinking revenue base.

The synthesis of these factors reveals a high-risk profile characterized by capital destruction and operational decline, yet the absence of insider activity data or specific Fama-French alpha metrics prevents a definitive assessment of relative security performance against market benchmarks. While the low Beneish score offers some comfort regarding earnings manipulation, it does not mitigate the structural risks posed by the negative spread and declining revenue. The risk/reward dynamic appears skewed toward downside protection given the fundamental deterioration, leaving the valuation gap between current pricing and implied fair value as a critical area for further scrutiny before any capital allocation decision is made based on these metrics alone.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

1/9
Piotroski F-Score
Weak — below-average operational and profitability metrics
2.2
Altman Z-Score
Grey Zone — between 1.8 and 3.0 thresholds. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.14
Beneish M-Score
Above threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

43.9%
Gross Margin
4.3%
Net Margin
2.1%
ROIC
7.3%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -5.2%— Negative spread.
-3.0%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-76.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.4B
Free Cash Flow

Balance Sheet Health

0.55x
Debt / Equity
1.76x
Current Ratio
3.4x
Interest Coverage
1.2x
Net Debt / EBITDA
-5.09%
FCF Yield
30.9B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $1.98
Act: $2.34
+18.5%
Q3
✗ Miss
Est: $1.84
Act: $1.76
-4.4%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $1.20
Act: $1.39
+15.8%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $1.17
Act: $1.42
+21.4%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

11.3
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
0.12
Price/Book
13M
Avg Volume
$161.20
52W High
$73.25
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$49M
Tracked Passive Exposure
2
ETFs Holding KYG070341048
0.12%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$39B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like SCHE or ACWI, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell KYG070341048 shares regardless of KYG070341048's individual fundamentals. We estimate $49M of passive capital is structurally linked to KYG070341048 through 2 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on KYG070341048's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 2 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in KYG070341048 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

KYG070341048 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
KYG070341048EpicenterACWIETFSCHEETFTW0002330008Low RiskNVDALow RiskKYG875721634Low RiskAAPLLow RiskKYG017191142Low Risk
KYG070341048 Price Drop (%)0

If KYG070341048 (KYG070341048) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TW0002330008) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with KYG070341048. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 2 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

KYG070341048 Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
KYG070341048

ETFs with Highest KYG070341048 Exposure

Float lock-up computed from 2 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

KYG070341048 Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does KYG070341048 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$-16,430,000,000
EBITDA
$30.9B
FCF Conversion
-53%
Reinvestment Rate
153%
-53% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
2.1%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-5.2%

KYG070341048 converts -53% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, negative FCF conversion — the company is consuming cash faster than it generates EBITDA, which is unsustainable long-term. The 153% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-5.2%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare KYG070341048 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.