SKYT (SKYT)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicBelow-average fundamentals indicated by Piotroski score of 3/9. Beneish M-Score of -1.09 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe capital allocation efficiency for SKYT presents a distinct divergence from its top-line momentum, characterized by an ROIC of 21.0% that falls short of the company's weighted average cost of capital at 25.6%, resulting in a negative spread of -4.5%. While this value-destructive dynamic is underscored by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 2.3 suggesting elevated distress risk, the earnings quality metrics offer a counter-narrative; the firm maintains robust profitability with net margins at 26.9% and gross margins near 19.7%, supported by aggressive revenue expansion of 29.2%. The Beneish M-Score of -1.09 indicates low probability of financial manipulation, yet the fundamental economics reveal a business generating significant cash flows that are not being reinvested at rates sufficient to cover its cost of equity or debt.
Valuation metrics currently reflect a market discount relative to the company's growth trajectory, with a P/E ratio of 10.7x trading below historical norms and likely diverging from sector averages given the absence of comparable peer data in this analysis. A discounted cash flow perspective implies that while current earnings are supported by high margin expansion, the negative ROIC-WACC spread necessitates an assumption of future operational improvement to justify a fair value premium; without such leverage or efficiency gains, the intrinsic value may remain constrained despite the impressive 29.2% top-line velocity. The market appears to be pricing in skepticism regarding the sustainability of these margins and the ability of management to close the gap between return on invested capital and the cost of funds.
The risk-reward profile is bifurcated by conflicting signals: strong earnings growth and clean accruals (Beneish score) contrast sharply with deteriorating fundamental quality scores and a negative value creation spread. This asymmetry suggests that any upside potential relies entirely on future improvements in capital efficiency to reverse the -4.5% ROIC-WACC gap, whereas downside risks are anchored by the Altman Z-Score of 2.3, which flags potential financial distress if revenue momentum stalls or leverage increases further.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like XSD or VGT, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell SKYT shares regardless of SKYT's individual fundamentals. We estimate $16M of passive capital is structurally linked to SKYT through 2 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on SKYT's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 2 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in SKYT to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If SKYT (SKYT) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with SKYT. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 2 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
SKYT Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest SKYT Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 3 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
SKYT Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does SKYT convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
SKYT converts -39% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, negative FCF conversion — the company is consuming cash faster than it generates EBITDA, which is unsustainable long-term. The 139% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-4.5%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | 166,307 | $35.59 | $5.9M |
| 2026-05-11 | 66 | $33.72 | $2,225.52 |
| 2026-05-08 | 951 | $33.06 | $31,440.06 |
| 2026-05-05 | 53 | $32.19 | $1,706.07 |
| 2026-05-01 | 51 | $31.90 | $1,626.9 |
| 2026-04-30 | 48 | $30.51 | $1,464.48 |
| 2026-04-21 | 1,100 | $33.42 | $36,762 |
| 2026-04-20 | 71,890 | $32.89 | $2.4M |
| 2026-04-14 | 10,335 | $29.10 | $300,748.5 |
| 2026-04-06 | 28 | $28.37 | $794.36 |
| 2026-04-02 | 460 | $27.15 | $12,489 |
| 2026-03-26 | 7 | $28.83 | $201.81 |
| 2026-03-24 | 279 | $29.24 | $8,157.96 |
| 2026-03-23 | 15,411 | $27.54 | $424,418.94 |
| 2026-03-20 | 797 | $27.69 | $22,068.93 |
| 2026-03-17 | 9,747 | $27.86 | $271,551.42 |
| 2026-03-16 | 10,428 | $27.45 | $286,248.6 |
| 2026-03-13 | 397 | $27.36 | $10,861.92 |
| 2026-02-27 | 194 | $30.83 | $5,981.02 |
| 2026-02-23 | 1,223 | $28.14 | $34,415.22 |
| 2026-02-13 | 1,307 | $28.41 | $37,131.87 |
| 2026-02-11 | 352 | $30.00 | $10,560 |
| 2026-02-04 | 1,554 | $31.73 | $49,308.42 |
| 2026-02-02 | 9,854 | $31.66 | $311,977.64 |
| 2026-01-30 | 22,231 | $32.96 | $732,733.76 |
| 2026-01-29 | 22,904 | $33.64 | $770,490.56 |
| 2026-01-28 | 24,843 | $33.54 | $833,234.22 |
| 2026-01-27 | 94,653 | $32.35 | $3.1M |
| 2026-01-20 | 61,749 | $33.10 | $2.0M |
| 2026-01-16 | 151 | $32.03 | $4,836.53 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare SKYT to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.