SKYT (SKYT)

$1.3B
Market Cap
10.7
P/E Ratio
3.52
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 3/9Altman Z 2.3 Gray ZoneBeneish M -1.09 Flag (> −2.22)ROIC−WACC -4.5%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Below-average fundamentals indicated by Piotroski score of 3/9. Beneish M-Score of -1.09 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency for SKYT presents a distinct divergence from its top-line momentum, characterized by an ROIC of 21.0% that falls short of the company's weighted average cost of capital at 25.6%, resulting in a negative spread of -4.5%. While this value-destructive dynamic is underscored by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 2.3 suggesting elevated distress risk, the earnings quality metrics offer a counter-narrative; the firm maintains robust profitability with net margins at 26.9% and gross margins near 19.7%, supported by aggressive revenue expansion of 29.2%. The Beneish M-Score of -1.09 indicates low probability of financial manipulation, yet the fundamental economics reveal a business generating significant cash flows that are not being reinvested at rates sufficient to cover its cost of equity or debt.

Valuation metrics currently reflect a market discount relative to the company's growth trajectory, with a P/E ratio of 10.7x trading below historical norms and likely diverging from sector averages given the absence of comparable peer data in this analysis. A discounted cash flow perspective implies that while current earnings are supported by high margin expansion, the negative ROIC-WACC spread necessitates an assumption of future operational improvement to justify a fair value premium; without such leverage or efficiency gains, the intrinsic value may remain constrained despite the impressive 29.2% top-line velocity. The market appears to be pricing in skepticism regarding the sustainability of these margins and the ability of management to close the gap between return on invested capital and the cost of funds.

The risk-reward profile is bifurcated by conflicting signals: strong earnings growth and clean accruals (Beneish score) contrast sharply with deteriorating fundamental quality scores and a negative value creation spread. This asymmetry suggests that any upside potential relies entirely on future improvements in capital efficiency to reverse the -4.5% ROIC-WACC gap, whereas downside risks are anchored by the Altman Z-Score of 2.3, which flags potential financial distress if revenue momentum stalls or leverage increases further.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

3/9
Piotroski F-Score
Weak — below-average operational and profitability metrics
2.3
Altman Z-Score
Grey Zone — between 1.8 and 3.0 thresholds. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-1.09
Beneish M-Score
Above threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

19.7%
Gross Margin
26.9%
Net Margin
21.0%
ROIC
25.6%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -4.5%— Negative spread.
+29.2%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+1850.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.2M
Free Cash Flow

Balance Sheet Health

2.75x
Debt / Equity
0.60x
Current Ratio
8.0x
Interest Coverage
0.1x
Net Debt / EBITDA
-4.41%
FCF Yield
144.8M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $-0.13
Act: $-0.08
+37.5%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $-0.18
Act: $-0.11
+38.9%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $-0.17
Act: $0.24
+239.8%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $-0.02
Act: $-0.03
-80.0%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

-127.8
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
6.73
Price/Book
2M
Avg Volume
$36.27
52W High
$5.67
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$16M
Tracked Passive Exposure
2
ETFs Holding SKYT
0.01%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$124B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like XSD or VGT, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell SKYT shares regardless of SKYT's individual fundamentals. We estimate $16M of passive capital is structurally linked to SKYT through 2 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on SKYT's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 2 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in SKYT to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

SKYT Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
SKYTEpicenterVGTETFXSDETFNVDALow RiskAAPLLow RiskMSFTLow RiskMXLUnknownAVGOLow Risk
SKYT Price Drop (%)0

If SKYT (SKYT) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with SKYT. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 2 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

SKYT Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
SKYT

ETFs with Highest SKYT Exposure

Float lock-up computed from 3 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

SKYT Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does SKYT convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$-56,172,000
EBITDA
$145M
FCF Conversion
-39%
Reinvestment Rate
139%
-39% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
21.0%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-4.5%

SKYT converts -39% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, negative FCF conversion — the company is consuming cash faster than it generates EBITDA, which is unsustainable long-term. The 139% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-4.5%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-13166,307$35.59$5.9M
2026-05-1166$33.72$2,225.52
2026-05-08951$33.06$31,440.06
2026-05-0553$32.19$1,706.07
2026-05-0151$31.90$1,626.9
2026-04-3048$30.51$1,464.48
2026-04-211,100$33.42$36,762
2026-04-2071,890$32.89$2.4M
2026-04-1410,335$29.10$300,748.5
2026-04-0628$28.37$794.36
2026-04-02460$27.15$12,489
2026-03-267$28.83$201.81
2026-03-24279$29.24$8,157.96
2026-03-2315,411$27.54$424,418.94
2026-03-20797$27.69$22,068.93
2026-03-179,747$27.86$271,551.42
2026-03-1610,428$27.45$286,248.6
2026-03-13397$27.36$10,861.92
2026-02-27194$30.83$5,981.02
2026-02-231,223$28.14$34,415.22
2026-02-131,307$28.41$37,131.87
2026-02-11352$30.00$10,560
2026-02-041,554$31.73$49,308.42
2026-02-029,854$31.66$311,977.64
2026-01-3022,231$32.96$732,733.76
2026-01-2922,904$33.64$770,490.56
2026-01-2824,843$33.54$833,234.22
2026-01-2794,653$32.35$3.1M
2026-01-2061,749$33.10$2.0M
2026-01-16151$32.03$4,836.53

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare SKYT to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.