TTI (TTI)

$10.24
+0.69%
$1.2B
Market Cap
285.7
P/E Ratio
1.24
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 5/9Altman Z 2.8 Gray ZoneBeneish M -3.33 CleanROIC−WACC -4.6%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 2.8.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The fundamental economics present a stark contradiction between the company's valuation and its capital efficiency. A negative ROIC-WACC spread of -4.6% indicates that the firm is currently destroying value, as returns on invested capital fall significantly short of the cost of equity. This inefficiency persists despite modest revenue growth of 5.3%, which fails to offset a razor-thin net margin of just 0.5%. While the gross margin sits at a respectable 24.7% and insider fraud indicators remain low with a Beneish M-Score of -3.33, the balance sheet shows signs of stress; an Altman Z-Score of 2.8 places the firm in the "gray zone" regarding bankruptcy risk, suggesting elevated financial fragility relative to peers. The DuPont components appear skewed by leverage or asset turnover issues that prevent the conversion of top-line growth into bottom-line profitability.

Valuation metrics reflect a severe disconnect from intrinsic worth. Trading at a current P/E ratio of 285.7x, which is astronomically high compared to typical sector benchmarks for industrial firms with such thin margins, implies the market is pricing in extraordinary future expansion that has not yet materialized. This exuberance renders discounted cash flow models incapable of generating a positive fair value estimate, resulting in a DCF output of $0. The combination of negative economic profit and an inflated multiple suggests that current share prices rely entirely on optimistic assumptions about margin expansion or leverage increases to justify the premium over historical averages.

The risk/reward profile is heavily skewed toward downside volatility given the structural inefficiencies. While the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates a moderately strong financial position with no immediate distress signals, it does not compensate for the core value destruction evident in the negative spread. Investors must weigh whether the current price has already priced in a complete restructuring or if there is sufficient catalyst to reverse the -4.6% capital drag before any meaningful recovery occurs.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive
Market Price
$10.24
Fair Value
$0
Implied Upside
-95.7%
$0IMPLIED FAIR VALUEOVERVALUEDOVERUNDER
Growth Rate (Y1–5)-7%
-10%20%50%
Discount Rate (WACC)11.3%
5%12.5%20%

5-year two-stage DCF. Terminal growth 3%. Default sliders match the pre-computed base case. Drag to explore scenarios. Not investment advice.

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →9.3%11.3%13.3%
2%$1$0$0
3%$1$0$0
4%$1$1$0

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs $10.24.

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=11.3%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $0 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

5/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
2.8
Altman Z-Score
Grey Zone — between 1.8 and 3.0 thresholds. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-3.33
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

24.7%
Gross Margin
0.5%
Net Margin
6.7%
ROIC
11.3%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -4.6%— Negative spread.
+5.3%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-97.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.5M
Free Cash Flow

Balance Sheet Health

1.39x
Debt / Equity
2.02x
Current Ratio
2.5x
Interest Coverage
1.3x
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.55%
FCF Yield
80.9M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.06
Act: $0.11
+73.7%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.08
Act: $0.09
+17.4%
Q2
✗ Miss
Est: $0.04
Act: $0.04
0.0%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $0.02
Act: $0.02
0.0%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

20.9
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
4.05
Price/Book
2M
Avg Volume
$12.54
52W High
$2.03
52W Low
78%
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$28M
Tracked Passive Exposure
3
ETFs Holding TTI
0.19%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$15B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like XES or VFMO, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell TTI shares regardless of TTI's individual fundamentals. We estimate $28M of passive capital is structurally linked to TTI through 3 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on TTI's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 3 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in TTI to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

TTI Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
TTIEpicenterVDEETFVFMOETFXESETFXOMLow RiskCVXLow RiskSEILow RiskCOPLow RiskKGSHigh Risk
TTI Price Drop (%)0

If TTI (TTI) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with TTI. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 3 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

TTI Ownership Dynamics

Passive funds hold 1 in every 38 TTI shares, reducing daily market volatility.

Ticker
TTI
Total Shares
112M
ETF Lock-Up
2.6%
Display Mode
Total Float Impact
2.6%Locked Float

TTI (TTI) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 3.0% of the XES (XES) and 0.1% of the VFMO (VFMO). Across 4 tracked ETFs, approximately 3M shares (2.6% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. As passive ownership grows, index inclusion changes may increasingly drive price discovery.

ETFs with Highest TTI Exposure

Float lock-up computed from 4 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

TTI Institutional Volume Profile

252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.

TICKER
TTI
PRICE
$10.24
FLOOR (POC)
$8.55
STRENGTH
Medium
$37%$47%$4$5$5$6$6$7$77%$89%$88%$9POC 11%$9$97%$106%$10$10.24$11$11$12$12
Focus Zone
Point of Control (POC) Support (below price) Resistance (above price) Current Price

The highest-volume price zone for TTI over the past year sits near $8.55 (11% of 252-day volume). The current price of $10.24 trades 19.7% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target.

Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.

TTI Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does TTI convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$20M
EBITDA
$81M
FCF Conversion
24%
Reinvestment Rate
76%
24% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
6.7%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-4.6%

TTI converts 24% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 76% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-4.6%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-1137,762$9.78$369,312.36
2026-05-072,220$9.86$21,889.2
2026-05-014,500$9.52$42,840
2026-04-06321$8.73$2,802.33
2026-03-24559$8.17$4,567.03
2026-03-1345,359$8.29$376,026.11
2026-03-09643$8.16$5,246.88
2026-02-2413$11.01$143.13
2026-02-2317,975$11.11$199,702.25
2026-02-198,616$11.15$96,068.4
2026-02-102$11.79$23.58
2026-01-303,538$11.56$40,899.28
2026-01-2710,279$11.59$119,133.61
2026-01-2633,572$11.29$379,027.88
2026-01-2029,393$11.57$340,077.01
2026-01-158,651$11.19$96,804.69
2026-01-142,928$10.45$30,597.6
2026-01-133,155$10.41$32,843.55
2026-01-0510,419$9.79$102,002.01
2025-12-23708$9.33$6,605.64
2025-12-22155$9.02$1,398.1
2025-12-17223$8.73$1,946.79
2025-12-1251$9.10$464.1
2025-12-0527$8.84$238.68
2025-12-0136,057$7.77$280,162.89
2025-11-2833,184$7.82$259,498.88
2025-11-19701$7.67$5,376.67
2025-11-173,301$7.70$25,417.7
2025-11-14877$7.51$6,586.27
2025-11-1225,284$8.24$208,340.16

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare TTI to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-18.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.