AEE000301011 (AEE000301011)

$107.4B
Market Cap
6.1
P/E Ratio
0.25
Beta
7.84%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Altman Z 2.1 Gray ZoneROIC−WACC +10.0%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9) with Altman Z of 2.1.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The company demonstrates robust fundamental economics, characterized by a substantial ROIC-WACC spread of 10.0%, indicating that capital allocation significantly outpaces the cost of equity and debt financing. This value creation is primarily driven by exceptional profitability rather than leverage or asset turnover; with net margins expanding to 35.5% from gross margins of 54.9%, earnings quality appears high relative to revenue generation. Financial stability metrics further support this assessment, as a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 signals strong balance sheet health and operational momentum, while an Altman Z-Score of 2.1 suggests the firm remains in a zone where bankruptcy risk is moderate but warrants monitoring given its proximity to distress thresholds.

Valuation metrics present a compelling divergence between current pricing and intrinsic value estimates. Trading at a P/E ratio of just 6.1x, which likely trails both historical averages and sector peers for such high-margin entities, the stock appears significantly undervalued relative to its earnings power. This discount contrasts sharply with a DCF-derived fair value of $181, implying that current market prices may be failing to account for the sustainability of these margins or future growth trajectories inherent in the 39.6% year-over-year revenue expansion. The data suggests the market is pricing in significant downside risk or structural headwinds not yet reflected in the fundamental drivers of return on invested capital.

While specific Fama-French alpha, insider activity levels, and precise sector benchmarks are absent from the provided dataset, the combination of a high Piotroski score and low valuation multiple creates an asymmetric setup typical of deep-value candidates. The 39.6% revenue growth coupled with near-40% net margins indicates a potential inflection point where quantitative models often lag, resulting in a wide gap between implied fair value and trading price. Investors must weigh the safety margin offered by strong fundamentals against the uncertainty surrounding why such a high-quality cash flow generator trades at less than seven times earnings.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6%7.8%9.8%
2%$227$154$114
3%$294$181$127
4%$428$221$144

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.8%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $181 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
2.1
Altman Z-Score
Grey Zone — between 1.8 and 3.0 thresholds. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

54.9%
Gross Margin
35.5%
Net Margin
17.8%
ROIC
7.8%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: +10.0%— Positive value creation spread.
+39.6%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+30.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.5B
Free Cash Flow
34%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

0.73x
Debt / Equity
1.24x
Current Ratio
53.1x
Interest Coverage
-1.7x
Net Debt / EBITDA
54.77%
FCF Yield
27.8B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.38
Act: $0.42
+10.2%
Q3
✗ Miss
Est: $0.40
Act: $0.38
-5.1%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.39
Act: $0.49
+25.4%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.50
Act: $0.69
+36.8%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

4.9
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
1.14
Price/Book
22M
Avg Volume
$17.25
52W High
$10.15
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$193M
Tracked Passive Exposure
5
ETFs Holding AEE000301011
0.14%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$134B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like EMXC or SCHE, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell AEE000301011 shares regardless of AEE000301011's individual fundamentals. We estimate $193M of passive capital is structurally linked to AEE000301011 through 5 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on AEE000301011's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 5 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in AEE000301011 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

AEE000301011 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
AEE000301011EpicenterIXUSETFACWIETFEEMETFTW0002330008Low RiskTW0002330008Low RiskKR7005930003Low RiskKR7000660001Low RiskNVDALow Risk
AEE000301011 Price Drop (%)0

If AEE000301011 (AEE000301011) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TW0002330008) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 3 ETFs with AEE000301011. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 5 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

AEE000301011 Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
AEE000301011

Float lock-up computed from 5 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

AEE000301011 Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does AEE000301011 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$32.5B
EBITDA
$27.8B
FCF Conversion
117%
Reinvestment Rate
-17%
117% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
17.8%
ROIC − WACC Spread
10.0%

AEE000301011 converts 117% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 10.0% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare AEE000301011 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.