ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ANIP)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicAt 23.1x earnings — a 65% discount to the sector average of 65.2x — ANIP is in the lower valuation range. Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9) with Altman Z of 2.4.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedANI Pharmaceuticals demonstrates robust fundamental quality characterized by a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a negative Beneish M-Score of -2.62, signaling high financial integrity and low earnings manipulation risk. The DuPont decomposition reveals that the company's ROE is primarily driven by exceptional gross margins at 61.4% rather than leverage or asset turnover efficiency. While revenue growth accelerates sharply at 43.8% year-over-year, capital allocation returns remain modest with an ROIC of 7.9%, which only marginally exceeds the WACC of 7.0% to create a thin spread of +0.9%. This indicates that while top-line expansion is vigorous, the firm has not yet translated this growth into proportionate value creation relative to its cost of capital.
Valuation metrics present a distinct divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic models. Trading at 23.1x earnings, ANIP trades significantly below the sector average multiple of 37.5x, suggesting the stock is undervalued relative to peers despite superior growth characteristics. However, this discount contrasts with a DCF-derived fair value of $411, implying that current market prices may be pricing in slower future growth or elevated risk premiums not reflected in historical multiples. The gap between the low valuation multiple and the high implied intrinsic value suggests potential mean reversion opportunities if earnings power sustains its trajectory without further margin compression.
The Altman Z-Score of 2.4 places the company in a gray zone regarding bankruptcy risk, warranting close monitoring of liquidity trends despite the otherwise clean balance sheet signals from the Beneish score. The combination of aggressive revenue expansion and sub-optimal ROIC-WACC spread creates an asymmetric profile where valuation appears attractive relative to sector norms, yet capital efficiency lags behind top-line velocity. Investors must weigh whether the current discount reflects temporary operational inefficiencies or a structural lack of scalability in converting high margins into higher returns on invested capital.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 6% | 7% | 9% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $421 | $333 | $227 |
| 3% | $553 | $411 | $261 |
| 4% | $816 | $541 | $309 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $411 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Valuation Context
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like XPH or SLYG, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell ANIP shares regardless of ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $29M of passive capital is structurally linked to ANIP through 5 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on ANIP's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 5 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ANIP) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with ANIP. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 5 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
ANIP Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest ANIP Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 5 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
ANIP Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. converts 73% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 0.9% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 61 | $80.88 | $4,933.68 |
| 2026-05-12 | 6 | $78.71 | $472.26 |
| 2026-05-05 | 82 | $82.32 | $6,750.24 |
| 2026-05-01 | 7 | $79.45 | $556.15 |
| 2026-04-23 | 6 | $80.14 | $480.84 |
| 2026-04-20 | 195 | $80.92 | $15,779.4 |
| 2026-04-15 | 400 | $78.29 | $31,316 |
| 2026-04-14 | 643 | $78.31 | $50,353.33 |
| 2026-04-13 | 55 | $78.36 | $4,309.8 |
| 2026-04-10 | 12 | $80.14 | $961.68 |
| 2026-04-08 | 481 | $79.47 | $38,225.07 |
| 2026-03-24 | 1 | $73.92 | $73.92 |
| 2026-02-27 | 653 | $77.15 | $50,378.95 |
| 2026-02-24 | 6,539 | $75.10 | $491,078.9 |
| 2026-02-20 | 3,427 | $78.10 | $267,648.7 |
| 2026-02-19 | 1,022 | $77.81 | $79,521.82 |
| 2026-02-05 | 64 | $81.27 | $5,201.28 |
| 2026-01-13 | 9,719 | $84.35 | $819,797.65 |
| 2025-12-23 | 2,849 | $80.72 | $229,971.28 |
| 2025-12-15 | 138 | $80.39 | $11,093.82 |
| 2025-12-10 | 8 | $81.67 | $653.36 |
| 2025-12-03 | 584 | $82.12 | $47,958.08 |
| 2025-11-28 | 4,857 | $84.36 | $409,736.52 |
| 2025-11-26 | 88 | $83.22 | $7,323.36 |
| 2025-11-25 | 390 | $80.98 | $31,582.2 |
| 2025-11-24 | 10 | $79.72 | $797.2 |
| 2025-11-19 | 41 | $81.07 | $3,323.87 |
| 2025-11-14 | 9,238 | $84.55 | $781,072.9 |
| 2025-11-12 | 15 | $88.54 | $1,328.1 |
| 2025-11-05 | 214 | $94.48 | $20,218.72 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare ANIP to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.