Healthcare

ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ANIP)

$1.7B
Market Cap
23.1
P/E Ratio
0.46
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Altman Z 2.4 Gray ZoneBeneish M -2.62 CleanROIC−WACC +0.9%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

At 23.1x earnings — a 65% discount to the sector average of 65.2x — ANIP is in the lower valuation range. Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9) with Altman Z of 2.4.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

ANI Pharmaceuticals demonstrates robust fundamental quality characterized by a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a negative Beneish M-Score of -2.62, signaling high financial integrity and low earnings manipulation risk. The DuPont decomposition reveals that the company's ROE is primarily driven by exceptional gross margins at 61.4% rather than leverage or asset turnover efficiency. While revenue growth accelerates sharply at 43.8% year-over-year, capital allocation returns remain modest with an ROIC of 7.9%, which only marginally exceeds the WACC of 7.0% to create a thin spread of +0.9%. This indicates that while top-line expansion is vigorous, the firm has not yet translated this growth into proportionate value creation relative to its cost of capital.

Valuation metrics present a distinct divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic models. Trading at 23.1x earnings, ANIP trades significantly below the sector average multiple of 37.5x, suggesting the stock is undervalued relative to peers despite superior growth characteristics. However, this discount contrasts with a DCF-derived fair value of $411, implying that current market prices may be pricing in slower future growth or elevated risk premiums not reflected in historical multiples. The gap between the low valuation multiple and the high implied intrinsic value suggests potential mean reversion opportunities if earnings power sustains its trajectory without further margin compression.

The Altman Z-Score of 2.4 places the company in a gray zone regarding bankruptcy risk, warranting close monitoring of liquidity trends despite the otherwise clean balance sheet signals from the Beneish score. The combination of aggressive revenue expansion and sub-optimal ROIC-WACC spread creates an asymmetric profile where valuation appears attractive relative to sector norms, yet capital efficiency lags behind top-line velocity. Investors must weigh whether the current discount reflects temporary operational inefficiencies or a structural lack of scalability in converting high margins into higher returns on invested capital.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6%7%9%
2%$421$333$227
3%$553$411$261
4%$816$541$309

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $411 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Valuation Context

23.1x
ANIP P/E
65.2x
Sector Avg
-65%
vs Sector

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
2.4
Altman Z-Score
Grey Zone — between 1.8 and 3.0 thresholds. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.62
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

61.4%
Gross Margin
8.9%
Net Margin
7.9%
ROIC
7.0%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: +0.9%— Positive spread.
+43.8%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+522.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
150.9M
Free Cash Flow
1%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

1.66x
Debt / Equity
2.71x
Current Ratio
5.8x
Interest Coverage
1.5x
Net Debt / EBITDA
7.42%
FCF Yield
207.3M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $1.38
Act: $1.70
+23.0%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $1.42
Act: $1.80
+26.8%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $1.77
Act: $2.04
+15.2%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $1.98
Act: $2.33
+17.9%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

7.3
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
2.97
Price/Book
423119
Avg Volume
$99.50
52W High
$56.71
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$29M
Tracked Passive Exposure
5
ETFs Holding ANIP
0.06%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$49B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like XPH or SLYG, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell ANIP shares regardless of ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $29M of passive capital is structurally linked to ANIP through 5 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on ANIP's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 5 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

ANIP Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
ANIPEpicenterVHTETFSPSMETFSPTMETFLLYLow RiskJNJLow RiskNVDALow RiskAAPLLow RiskABBVMed Risk
ANIP Price Drop (%)0

If ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ANIP) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with ANIP. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 5 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

ANIP Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
ANIP

Float lock-up computed from 5 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

ANIP Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$151M
EBITDA
$207M
FCF Conversion
73%
Reinvestment Rate
27%
73% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
7.9%
ROIC − WACC Spread
0.9%

ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. converts 73% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 0.9% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-1461$80.88$4,933.68
2026-05-126$78.71$472.26
2026-05-0582$82.32$6,750.24
2026-05-017$79.45$556.15
2026-04-236$80.14$480.84
2026-04-20195$80.92$15,779.4
2026-04-15400$78.29$31,316
2026-04-14643$78.31$50,353.33
2026-04-1355$78.36$4,309.8
2026-04-1012$80.14$961.68
2026-04-08481$79.47$38,225.07
2026-03-241$73.92$73.92
2026-02-27653$77.15$50,378.95
2026-02-246,539$75.10$491,078.9
2026-02-203,427$78.10$267,648.7
2026-02-191,022$77.81$79,521.82
2026-02-0564$81.27$5,201.28
2026-01-139,719$84.35$819,797.65
2025-12-232,849$80.72$229,971.28
2025-12-15138$80.39$11,093.82
2025-12-108$81.67$653.36
2025-12-03584$82.12$47,958.08
2025-11-284,857$84.36$409,736.52
2025-11-2688$83.22$7,323.36
2025-11-25390$80.98$31,582.2
2025-11-2410$79.72$797.2
2025-11-1941$81.07$3,323.87
2025-11-149,238$84.55$781,072.9
2025-11-1215$88.54$1,328.1
2025-11-05214$94.48$20,218.72

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare ANIP to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.