Industrials

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH)

$9.7B
Market Cap
11.9
P/E Ratio
0.36
Beta
3.01%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Altman Z 4.0 SafeBeneish M -2.45 CleanROIC−WACC +13.5%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

At 11.9x earnings — a 73% discount to the sector average of 44.7x — BAH is in the lower valuation range. Financial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 7/9, Altman Z 4.0 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

Booz Allen Hamilton exhibits robust fundamental economics characterized by a high-quality capital allocation profile, evidenced by an ROIC of 20.4% which suggests efficient generation of returns relative to the cost of equity. The DuPont decomposition reveals that this strong performance is driven primarily by significant financial leverage (Equity Multiplier of 7.29x) rather than operational efficiency in terms of asset turnover or margin expansion, as net margins sit at a moderate 7.8%. This structural reliance on leverage is reinforced by the equity multiplier component while maintaining solid profitability metrics; the company posts a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a Beneish M-Score of -2.45, indicating strong financial health with low probability of earnings manipulation despite the aggressive use of debt to boost return ratios.

Valuation analysis presents a stark divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic value models. The stock trades at a P/E multiple of 11.9x, which is substantially discounted relative to both its historical norms and the broader Industrials sector average of 45.2x. This significant compression suggests the market may be underweighting the company's growth prospects or reacting negatively to specific risk factors not fully captured in standard multiples. Meanwhile, a DCF model implies a fair value of $416, suggesting that if the firm can sustain its revenue growth trajectory of 12.4% and maintain current margin profiles, there is potential for substantial re-rating as valuation gaps close over time.

Risk assessment highlights conflicting signals regarding ownership dynamics versus fundamental quality. While the Piotroski score points to operational stability, recent insider activity shows $27,506 in net selling over the last 90 days, a delta that warrants scrutiny given the company's otherwise strong balance sheet indicators. This outflow contrasts with the high F-Score and low manipulation risk, potentially signaling concerns about short-term positioning or management outlook despite the attractive long-term valuation metrics derived from cash flow assumptions. Investors must weigh whether this insider selling reflects private knowledge of near-term headwinds or simply portfolio rebalancing in a fundamentally sound asset trading at a deep discount to its intrinsic value.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6%6.8%8.8%
2%$342$276$185
3%$451$345$214
4%$669$461$256

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=6.8%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $345 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Valuation Context

11.9x
BAH P/E
44.7x
Sector Avg
-73%
vs Sector

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
4.0
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.45
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

54.8%
Gross Margin
7.8%
Net Margin
20.4%
ROIC
6.8%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: +13.5%— Positive value creation spread.
+12.4%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+54.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
911.0M
Free Cash Flow
29%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

7.8%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
1.64x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
7.29x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
93.2%
Return on Equity
⚠️ High equity multiplier — ROE is being amplified by leverage, not operational excellence.

Balance Sheet Health

6.29x
Debt / Equity
1.79x
Current Ratio
7.4x
Interest Coverage
1.9x
Net Debt / EBITDA
7.15%
FCF Yield
1.6B
EBITDA

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
$-27,506
Net Selling
0
Buy Transactions
1
Sale Transactions
2026-02-26METZFIELD DENNISSold 1/8 qtrsSale$27,506
2025-12-30METZFIELD DENNISSold 1/8 qtrsGrant1,175 shares
2025-12-30LABEN NANCY JSold 2/8 qtrsGrant5,829 shares

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✗ Miss
Est: $1.61
Act: $1.61
-0.3%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $1.45
Act: $1.48
+2.2%
Q2
✗ Miss
Est: $1.51
Act: $1.49
-1.4%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $1.29
Act: $1.77
+37.1%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

12.8
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
9.49
Price/Book
2M
Avg Volume
$130.91
52W High
$73.93
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$681M
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding BAH
0.11%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$648B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like MDYV or ONEY, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell BAH shares regardless of Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation's individual fundamentals. We estimate $681M of passive capital is structurally linked to BAH through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on BAH's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

BAH Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
BAHEpicenterVBETFVIGETFVYMETFRSLow RiskUPSMed RiskSNXMed RiskFLEXMed RiskCAHLow Risk
BAH Price Drop (%)0

If Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies RELIANCE INC (RS) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 4 ETFs with BAH. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 15 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

BAH Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
BAH

Float lock-up computed from 15 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

BAH Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$911M
EBITDA
$1.6B
FCF Conversion
58%
Reinvestment Rate
42%
58% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
20.4%
ROIC − WACC Spread
13.5%

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation converts 58% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a healthy conversion rate indicating efficient capital management — the business generates substantial cash after reinvestment. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 13.5% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-04-2963$76.24$4,803.12
2026-04-08134$84.08$11,266.72
2026-03-263,038$80.12$243,404.56
2026-03-239,472$79.95$757,286.4
2026-03-10142$81.43$11,563.06
2026-03-0927,882$81.89$2.3M
2026-02-1375,622$77.93$5.9M
2026-02-1114,080$89.95$1.3M
2026-01-30281$88.73$24,933.13
2026-01-29568$91.10$51,744.8
2026-01-2189,019$93.46$8.3M
2026-01-20620$97.40$60,388
2026-01-0978,803$94.22$7.4M
2026-01-0865$90.26$5,866.9
2026-01-07122,877$90.04$11.1M
2025-12-23236,656$86.49$20.5M
2025-12-2221,232$85.26$1.8M
2025-12-12553$94.38$52,192.14
2025-11-26112,810$83.65$9.4M
2025-11-2127$79.90$2,157.3
2025-11-103,771$87.45$329,773.95
2025-11-06651$86.61$56,383.11
2025-10-27420$91.40$38,388
2025-10-2063,821$98.04$6.3M
2025-10-03143$103.11$14,744.73

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare BAH to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.