Real Estate

Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN)

Market Cap
P/E Ratio
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 3/9Beneish M -2.85 Clean

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Below-average fundamentals indicated by Piotroski score of 3/9.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The fundamental economics of Brandywine Realty Trust reveal a distressed operational profile characterized by significant capital inefficiency and earnings erosion. A negative ROIC-WACC spread indicates the firm is currently destroying value relative to its cost of capital, exacerbated by a DuPont-decomposed Return on Equity of -22.3%. This poor equity return stems primarily from a severe contraction in profitability, with net margins collapsing to -36.8%, despite maintaining healthy gross margin expansion at 61.8%. The low asset turnover ratio of 0.14x suggests inefficient utilization of the balance sheet, while the high equity multiplier of 4.49x implies substantial leverage that amplifies these operational losses rather than mitigating them. Compounding this financial stress is a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and negative revenue growth of -4.2% year-over-year, signaling deteriorating business fundamentals without the counterbalancing reassurance typically found in low Beneish M-Scores.

Valuation metrics present an extreme divergence between market pricing and historical norms within the real estate sector. The current P/E multiple stands at 89.5x compared to a sector average of 89.5x, suggesting that while relative valuation appears neutral on a comparative basis, it masks the absolute reality of negative earnings generation which renders traditional multiples mathematically anomalous for a loss-making entity. Without provided DCF fair value data or implied growth rates, the market pricing must be interpreted through the lens of this sector-wide multiple alignment occurring amidst specific company-level deterioration. The absence of positive revenue momentum and the widening gap between gross profitability and net losses indicate that current prices may not fully reflect the underlying operational decay unless a significant turnaround in margin compression is anticipated by investors.

Risk assessment data offers limited directional clarity regarding future volatility or insider conviction. Insider flow over the past 90 days remains neutral at zero, providing no signal of management alignment with shareholder interests during this period of financial stress. While the Beneish M-Score of -2.85 suggests low manipulation risk, it does not offset the structural risks posed by a negative Fama-French alpha profile implied by such poor fundamental performance relative to market benchmarks. The combination of high leverage, shrinking top-line growth, and persistent losses creates a skewed risk-reward dynamic where downside protection relies heavily on potential asset revaluation rather than operational improvement.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

3/9
Piotroski F-Score
Weak — below-average operational and profitability metrics
-2.85
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

61.8%
Gross Margin
-36.8%
Net Margin
-0.9%
ROIC
-4.2%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3M
Free Cash Flow
2815%
FCF Payout Ratio

⚠️ Dividend consumes >80% of FCF — sustainability risk.

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

-36.8%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.14x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
4.49x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
-22.3%
Return on Equity
⚠️ High equity multiplier — ROE is being amplified by leverage, not operational excellence.

Balance Sheet Health

3.49x
Debt / Equity
1.48x
Current Ratio
-0.3x
Interest Coverage
18.3x
Net Debt / EBITDA
137.7M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q3
✗ Miss
Est: $-0.10
Act: $-0.15
-49.2%
Q2
✗ Miss
Est: $-0.12
Act: $-0.15
-26.9%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $-0.23
Act: $-0.21
+8.8%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
Price/Book
Avg Volume
52W High
52W Low
52W Range Position

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Brandywine Realty Trust to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

BDN Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
BDNEpicenterVNQETFVRTPXUnknownWELLLow RiskPLDMed RiskEQIXMed RiskAMTHigh Risk
BDN Price Drop (%)0

If Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Vanguard Real Estate II Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares (VRTPX) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with BDN. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 1 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

BDN Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
BDN

Float lock-up computed from 1 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

BDN Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does Brandywine Realty Trust convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$3M
EBITDA
$138M
FCF Conversion
2%
Reinvestment Rate
98%
2% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)

Brandywine Realty Trust converts 2% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a low conversion rate suggesting heavy reinvestment. This may indicate a growth phase (building capacity) or structural capital intensity. The 98% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-147,334$3.02$22,148.68
2026-05-1371,251$3.04$216,603.04
2026-05-0612,172$3.03$36,881.16
2026-05-0524,444$2.92$71,376.48
2026-04-308,021$3.00$24,063
2026-04-241,916$2.93$5,613.88
2026-04-161$2.81$2.81
2026-03-2781,447$2.60$211,762.2
2026-03-25146,784$2.69$394,848.96
2026-03-2392$2.78$255.76
2026-03-204,942$2.88$14,232.96
2026-03-092,833$3.06$8,668.98
2026-03-035,245$3.19$16,731.55
2026-02-231,202$3.22$3,870.44
2026-02-1720,516$3.15$64,625.4
2026-02-068,092$3.23$26,137.16
2026-01-0810$2.93$29.3
2025-12-224,266,440$3.00$12.8M
2025-12-12272$3.01$818.72
2025-12-10840$3.01$2,528.4
2025-11-24322$3.46$1,114.12
2025-10-245$3.69$18.45
2025-10-093$3.90$11.7

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare BDN to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.