BRPETRACNPR6 (BRPETRACNPR6)

$623.2B
Market Cap
5.9
P/E Ratio
0.16
Beta
8.23%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Altman Z 3.4 SafeBeneish M -2.59 CleanROIC−WACC +5.3%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 7/9, Altman Z 3.4 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The company demonstrates robust fundamental quality, evidenced by a ROIC-WACC spread of +5.2%, indicating capital allocation that generates returns exceeding the cost of equity. This efficiency is anchored in exceptional profitability metrics, with net margins at 22.0% and gross margins expanding to 47.6%, suggesting strong pricing power or low variable costs despite recent revenue contraction of -2.4%. Financial integrity appears solid based on a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 3.4, which places the entity in the safe zone from bankruptcy risk, while a Beneish M-Score of -2.59 signals low probability of earnings manipulation. The DuPont decomposition implies that high leverage or asset turnover may be compensating for margin compression, though the primary driver remains the superior net margin relative to peers.

Valuation metrics present a significant discount relative to historical norms and sector averages, with the current P/E ratio compressing to 5.9x. A DCF analysis suggests a fair value of $18, implying that the market is pricing in substantial downside risk or expecting persistent earnings deterioration beyond the recent revenue decline. The disparity between the low multiple and the implied intrinsic value indicates that sentiment has likely overreacted to the negative growth trajectory, potentially creating a divergence where fundamental quality supports a higher valuation floor than currently reflected in trading prices.

Risk assessment reveals a mixed profile; while the Piotroski score suggests improving fundamentals, the declining revenue stream introduces operational uncertainty not fully captured by static profitability ratios. The absence of insider activity data prevents confirmation of management's confidence level, but the combination of high margins and low valuation multiples suggests a scenario where future growth acceleration could trigger significant re-rating if the current contraction stabilizes.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6%7.8%9.8%
2%$22$15$11
3%$29$18$12
4%$42$21$14

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.8%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $18 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
3.4
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.59
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

47.6%
Gross Margin
22.0%
Net Margin
13.1%
ROIC
7.8%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: +5.3%— Positive value creation spread.
-2.4%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+160.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.5B
Free Cash Flow
49%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

1.93x
Debt / Equity
0.71x
Current Ratio
7.5x
Interest Coverage
0.4x
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.58%
FCF Yield
46.0B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $2.37
Act: $2.73
+15.1%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $1.81
Act: $2.52
+39.1%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $1.57
Act: $1.16
-26.1%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

4.3
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
1.50
Price/Book
48M
Avg Volume
$48.47
52W High
$28.86
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$233M
Tracked Passive Exposure
5
ETFs Holding BRPETRACNPR6
0.17%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$134B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like EMXC or SCHE, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell BRPETRACNPR6 shares regardless of BRPETRACNPR6's individual fundamentals. We estimate $233M of passive capital is structurally linked to BRPETRACNPR6 through 5 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on BRPETRACNPR6's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 5 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in BRPETRACNPR6 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

BRPETRACNPR6 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
BRPETRACNPR6EpicenterIXUSETFACWIETFEEMETFTW0002330008Low RiskTW0002330008Low RiskKR7005930003Low RiskKR7000660001Low RiskNVDALow Risk
BRPETRACNPR6 Price Drop (%)0

If BRPETRACNPR6 (BRPETRACNPR6) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TW0002330008) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 3 ETFs with BRPETRACNPR6. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 5 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

BRPETRACNPR6 Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
BRPETRACNPR6

Float lock-up computed from 5 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

BRPETRACNPR6 Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does BRPETRACNPR6 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$16.5B
EBITDA
$46.0B
FCF Conversion
36%
Reinvestment Rate
64%
36% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
13.1%
ROIC − WACC Spread
5.3%

BRPETRACNPR6 converts 36% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 64% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 5.3% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare BRPETRACNPR6 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.