CorMedix Inc. (CRMD)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicAt 3.9x earnings — a 94% discount to the sector average of 65.2x — CRMD is in the lower valuation range. Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9. Beneish M-Score of 15.29 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe company exhibits a distinct dichotomy between exceptional profitability metrics and significant earnings quality concerns. While the ROIC of 18.5% suggests capital efficiency, this is supported by an unusually high Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 alongside a Beneish M-Score of 15.29, which typically flags potential financial manipulation or aggressive accounting practices rather than clean fundamentals. The DuPont decomposition reveals that the robust ROE is driven almost entirely by extraordinary margins—a net margin of 52.3% and gross margin of 88.5%—rather than asset turnover or leverage, indicating a business model reliant on pricing power or low cost structure that warrants scrutiny given the elevated M-Score.
Valuation metrics present a stark divergence from historical norms and sector peers, creating a complex risk-reward profile. The current P/E ratio of 3.9x sits at a severe discount to the healthcare sector average of 37.5x, suggesting the market has priced in substantial distress or expects future earnings reversals rather than sustainable growth. Despite reported revenue expansion of 617.0% year-over-year, the DCF model implies a fair value of $35, which may represent an optimistic scenario if the underlying business quality aligns with the top-line numbers; however, such a wide gap between current market pricing and intrinsic value often reflects uncertainty regarding the durability of these margins amidst the red flags raised by the Beneish score.
The convergence of explosive revenue growth with low valuation multiples and elevated earnings risk indicators suggests the stock is trading on an assumption that future performance will normalize or accelerate without repeating past accounting irregularities. Investors must weigh whether the 617% revenue surge validates the high margins despite the M-Score, or if the market correctly anticipates a contraction in profitability that would justify the current depressed multiple relative to sector peers.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 8% | 10% | 12% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $42 | $32 | $25 |
| 3% | $49 | $35 | $27 |
| 4% | $59 | $39 | $30 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $35 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Valuation Context
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in CorMedix Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If CorMedix Inc. (CRMD) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with CRMD. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 2 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
CRMD Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest CRMD Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 3 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
CRMD Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does CorMedix Inc. convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
CorMedix Inc. converts 103% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | 499 | $7.51 | $3,747.49 |
| 2026-05-12 | 385 | $7.66 | $2,949.1 |
| 2026-05-11 | 1,992 | $7.92 | $15,776.64 |
| 2026-05-08 | 1,210 | $7.92 | $9,583.2 |
| 2026-05-07 | 1,308 | $8.05 | $10,529.4 |
| 2026-05-05 | 131 | $7.90 | $1,034.9 |
| 2026-05-04 | 2,385 | $7.79 | $18,579.15 |
| 2026-04-23 | 736 | $7.49 | $5,512.64 |
| 2026-04-22 | 1,545 | $7.38 | $11,402.1 |
| 2026-04-20 | 2,541 | $7.39 | $18,777.99 |
| 2026-04-17 | 35,071 | $7.13 | $250,056.23 |
| 2026-04-15 | 18,352 | $7.30 | $133,969.6 |
| 2026-04-08 | 32,143 | $7.17 | $230,465.31 |
| 2026-04-07 | 6,764 | $7.08 | $47,889.12 |
| 2026-04-06 | 382 | $7.05 | $2,693.1 |
| 2026-03-31 | 68 | $6.57 | $446.76 |
| 2026-03-27 | 64,348 | $6.70 | $431,131.6 |
| 2026-03-26 | 18,059 | $6.61 | $119,369.99 |
| 2026-03-25 | 118,677 | $6.46 | $766,653.42 |
| 2026-03-24 | 3,655 | $6.42 | $23,465.1 |
| 2026-03-23 | 2,830 | $6.25 | $17,687.5 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2,071 | $6.30 | $13,047.3 |
| 2026-03-18 | 150,392 | $6.46 | $971,532.32 |
| 2026-03-17 | 107,439 | $6.54 | $702,651.06 |
| 2026-03-16 | 8,229 | $6.45 | $53,077.05 |
| 2026-03-13 | 3,640 | $6.40 | $23,296 |
| 2026-03-12 | 2,065 | $6.69 | $13,814.85 |
| 2026-03-11 | 4,724 | $6.72 | $31,745.28 |
| 2026-03-10 | 963 | $6.56 | $6,317.28 |
| 2026-03-09 | 62,830 | $6.46 | $405,881.8 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare CRMD to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.