Financial Services

Enova International, Inc. (ENVA)

$4.2B
Market Cap
13.7
P/E Ratio
1.21
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 5/9Beneish M -3.44 Clean

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

ENVA trades at 13.7x earnings, roughly in line with its sector average of 19.2x. Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

Enova International's capital allocation efficiency presents a notable constraint, as the 5.3% return on invested capital falls significantly short of typical hurdle rates required for value creation in financial services. Despite this compressed ROIC-WACC spread, profitability drivers remain robust with net margins expanding to 9.8% and gross margins holding steady at 47.3%, suggesting strong pricing power or cost discipline within the lending model. The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates a moderate quality profile without clear deterioration signals, while the Beneish M-Score of -3.44 points to low earnings manipulation risk; however, these qualitative strengths are partially offset by revenue growth that, at 18.6% year-over-year, has not yet translated into superior capital efficiency relative to peers.

Valuation metrics currently reflect a market discount compared to sector norms, with the stock trading at 13.7x earnings versus an industry average of 18.0x. This compression implies that investors are pricing in lower growth sustainability or higher operational risk than observed in the broader financial services cohort. Conversely, discounted cash flow analysis suggests a substantial upside potential if current assumptions regarding long-term cash flows and terminal value hold true, with implied fair value calculated at $1229. The divergence between the depressed multiple and elevated DCF target indicates that the market may be undervaluing the company's margin expansion capabilities or is compensating for perceived balance sheet fragility not fully captured in current earnings multiples.

While specific risk factor deltas regarding Fama-French alpha, insider activity, or volatility shifts are absent from the provided dataset, the fundamental disconnect between low ROIC and high revenue growth warrants scrutiny regarding capital intensity trends. The combination of a moderate Piotroski score and a wide gap between trading price and DCF fair value creates an asymmetric setup where future performance hinges on whether management can improve return generation to match top-line expansion rates. Investors must weigh the attractive entry point against the historical lack of efficient capital deployment before concluding that current valuation levels adequately reflect underlying economic realities.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →8%10%12%
2%$1523$1090$831
3%$1802$1229$912
4%$2221$1414$1012

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $1229 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Valuation Context

13.7x
ENVA P/E
19.2x
Sector Avg
-29%
vs Sector

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

5/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
-3.44
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

47.3%
Gross Margin
9.8%
Net Margin
5.3%
ROIC
+18.6%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+47.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.8B
Free Cash Flow

Balance Sheet Health

3.84x
Debt / Equity
15.16x
Current Ratio
9.7x
Net Debt / EBITDA
448.6M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $2.76
Act: $2.98
+8.0%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $2.98
Act: $3.23
+8.3%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $3.03
Act: $3.36
+10.8%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $3.17
Act: $3.46
+9.1%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

8.6
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
3.00
Price/Book
279198
Avg Volume
$176.68
52W High
$89.00
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$78M
Tracked Passive Exposure
6
ETFs Holding ENVA
0.13%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$59B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like SLYG or SPSM, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell ENVA shares regardless of Enova International, Inc.'s individual fundamentals. We estimate $78M of passive capital is structurally linked to ENVA through 6 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on ENVA's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 6 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in Enova International, Inc. to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

ENVA Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
ENVAEpicenterVTWOETFSPSMETFVFHETFJPMHigh RiskBRK.BUnknownMALow RiskBACHigh RiskVLow Risk
ENVA Price Drop (%)0

If Enova International, Inc. (ENVA) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with ENVA. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 6 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

ENVA Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
ENVA

Float lock-up computed from 6 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

ENVA Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does Enova International, Inc. convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$1.8B
EBITDA
$449M
FCF Conversion
395%
Reinvestment Rate
-295%
395% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)

Enova International, Inc. converts 395% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-138,973$166.88$1.5M
2026-04-24341$169.42$57,772.22
2026-04-202,922$162.81$475,730.82
2026-03-3135$131.26$4,594.1
2026-03-236$134.99$809.94
2026-03-1839$137.21$5,351.19
2026-03-109,375$138.91$1.3M
2026-02-271,722$148.36$255,475.92
2026-02-027$165.17$1,156.19
2026-01-0844$163.30$7,185.2
2026-01-05498$161.96$80,656.08
2025-12-228,382$163.85$1.4M
2025-12-081,169$135.38$158,259.22
2025-12-051,140$136.16$155,222.4
2025-12-04437$135.40$59,169.8
2025-11-24400$124.18$49,672
2025-11-1780$125.69$10,055.2

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare ENVA to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.