FHN (FHN)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 0.2. DCF fair value of $18 implies 25% downside based on model assumptions.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
DCF Sandbox
Interactive5-year two-stage DCF. Terminal growth 3%. Default sliders match the pre-computed base case. Drag to explore scenarios. Not investment advice.
The growth rate the market implicitly expects over the next 10 years to justify today's price. Compare with historical growth of 7% YoY revenue.
Sensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $23 | $16 | $13 |
| 3% | $28 | $18 | $14 |
| 4% | $38 | $21 | $15 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs $24.00.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=8.3%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $18 (-24.8%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Technical Setup
AI GeneratedFHN is currently trading at $23.59, a price point that establishes the asset's immediate valuation relative to its recent history without reference to specific moving average envelopes or other technical bands in this limited dataset. In isolation, this figure represents the market's current consensus value but lacks sufficient context regarding mean-reversion potential because there are no comparative metrics such as standard deviation bands, Bollinger limits, or long-term simple moving averages provided to gauge whether the price is statistically extended or aligned with its trend channel. Without knowing where $23.59 sits relative to an upper or lower envelope boundary, it remains impossible to determine if the stock is poised for a bounce toward a central mean or if downward pressure might be accumulating due to overextension above such thresholds. The absence of additional technical indicators means that any assessment of relative value must remain purely speculative regarding future price behavior. Observers cannot yet identify specific support levels where historical reversion typically occurs, nor can they confirm if the current pricing action suggests a deviation from fair value based on volatility metrics. Consequently, while the absolute dollar amount is fixed at $23.59, its strategic significance within a mean-reversion framework remains undefined until further data regarding moving average crossovers or envelope breaches becomes available for analysis.
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)
Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Dividend History
| Date | Amount | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | $0.1700 | +13.3% |
| 2025-12-12 | $0.1500 | 0.0% |
| 2025-09-12 | $0.1500 | 0.0% |
| 2025-06-13 | $0.1500 | 0.0% |
| 2025-03-14 | $0.1500 | 0.0% |
| 2024-12-13 | $0.1500 | 0.0% |
| 2024-09-13 | $0.1500 | 0.0% |
| 2024-06-14 | $0.1500 | 0.0% |
| 2024-03-14 | $0.1500 | 0.0% |
| 2023-12-14 | $0.1500 | 0.0% |
| 2023-09-14 | $0.1500 | 0.0% |
| 2023-06-15 | $0.1500 | 0.0% |
Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.
Risk Profile
Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like KRE or DVY, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell FHN shares regardless of FHN's individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.1B of passive capital is structurally linked to FHN through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in FHN to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If FHN (FHN) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies PINNACLE FINANCIAL PARTNERS (PNFP) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 4 ETFs with FHN. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 17 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
FHN Ownership Dynamics
Passive funds hold 1 in every 10 FHN shares, reducing daily market volatility.
FHN (FHN) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 1.5% of the KRE (KRE) and 1.0% of the iShares Select Dividend ETF (DVY). Across 17 tracked ETFs, approximately 46M shares (9.7% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. As passive ownership grows, index inclusion changes may increasingly drive price discovery.
ETFs with Highest FHN Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 17 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
FHN Institutional Volume Profile
252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks — the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.
The highest-volume price zone for FHN over the past year sits near $22.31 (14% of 252-day volume). The current price of $24.00 trades 7.6% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target. The highly concentrated volume profile (14% at POC) indicates strong consensus on fair value — institutional participants have repeatedly transacted near this price.
Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 41,229 | $23.43 | $965,995.47 |
| 2026-05-05 | 81 | $24.63 | $1,995.03 |
| 2026-04-27 | 14,396 | $24.21 | $348,527.16 |
| 2026-04-23 | 83 | $24.58 | $2,040.14 |
| 2026-04-21 | 741 | $24.79 | $18,369.39 |
| 2026-04-20 | 308,111 | $24.29 | $7.5M |
| 2026-04-15 | 16,713 | $24.25 | $405,290.25 |
| 2026-03-31 | 10,036 | $22.05 | $221,293.8 |
| 2026-03-25 | 742 | $22.69 | $16,835.98 |
| 2026-03-20 | 711 | $21.73 | $15,450.03 |
| 2026-02-26 | 1 | $24.49 | $24.49 |
| 2026-02-23 | 680 | $25.25 | $17,170 |
| 2026-02-11 | 9,426 | $25.64 | $241,682.64 |
| 2026-02-10 | 1,164 | $26.03 | $30,298.92 |
| 2026-02-09 | 3,307 | $26.23 | $86,742.61 |
| 2026-02-04 | 3 | $25.72 | $77.16 |
| 2026-02-02 | 5,243 | $24.49 | $128,401.07 |
| 2026-01-22 | 414 | $24.95 | $10,329.3 |
| 2026-01-21 | 229 | $23.91 | $5,475.39 |
| 2026-01-20 | 500 | $24.12 | $12,060 |
| 2026-01-16 | 201 | $24.44 | $4,912.44 |
| 2025-12-26 | 6,082 | $24.51 | $149,069.82 |
| 2025-12-22 | 12,917 | $24.43 | $315,562.31 |
| 2025-12-15 | 235 | $23.59 | $5,543.65 |
| 2025-12-12 | 225,103 | $23.96 | $5.4M |
| 2025-12-08 | 26 | $22.76 | $591.76 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2 | $22.34 | $44.68 |
| 2025-11-17 | 38,519 | $21.40 | $824,306.6 |
| 2025-11-14 | 38,691 | $21.42 | $828,761.22 |
| 2025-11-13 | 29,290 | $21.80 | $638,522 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Price Correlations
Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.
| Peer | 252-Day (1Y) | 126-Day (6M) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTGXX | NaN | NaN | |
| HWC | 0.846 | 0.864 | High co-movement |
| WTFC | 0.841 | 0.851 | High co-movement |
| FNB | 0.832 | 0.829 | High co-movement |
| CFG | 0.830 | 0.802 | High co-movement |
| KEY | 0.828 | 0.807 | High co-movement |
| ASB | 0.827 | 0.816 | High co-movement |
| TFC | 0.816 | 0.802 | High co-movement |
| ZION | 0.804 | 0.789 | High co-movement |
| PNC | 0.802 | 0.806 | High co-movement |
Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.
Compare FHN to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.