GPOR (GPOR)

$4.1B
Market Cap
10.0
P/E Ratio
0.60
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Altman Z 4.0 SafeBeneish M -2.96 CleanROIC−WACC +9.7%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 7/9, Altman Z 4.0 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The fundamental economics demonstrate robust capital efficiency, evidenced by a 17.6% ROIC that generates an attractive +9.7% spread over the cost of equity at 7.9%. This high return profile is primarily driven by exceptional profitability rather than operational leverage or asset turnover, as indicated by net margins expanding to 32.3% and gross margins reaching 70.7%, while revenue growth accelerates at a compound annual rate of 42.5% year-over-year. Financial integrity metrics further corroborate this quality; the company posts a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, signaling robust financial health, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 4.0 that places it in safe territory away from distress zones. The Beneish M-Score of -2.96 suggests earnings are unlikely to be subject to significant manipulation, reinforcing the credibility of these high-margin figures within a sector where such performance is uncommon without leverage or aggressive accounting practices.

Despite the impressive operational metrics and implied growth trajectory supporting a DCF fair value estimate of $286, the market currently prices the stock at only 10.0x forward earnings. This valuation implies that investors are applying a significant discount relative to the company's ability to generate returns on invested capital, potentially reflecting skepticism about the sustainability of such high margins or concerns regarding future growth deceleration compared to current year-over-year revenue expansion. The disparity between the intrinsic value derived from cash flow modeling and the prevailing market multiple suggests the stock may be trading below its calculated fair value, though this gap also highlights the risk premium the market is demanding for holding an asset with unknown sector classification and potentially volatile earnings expectations.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6%7.9%9.9%
2%$373$239$167
3%$492$286$190
4%$731$357$221

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.9%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $286 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
4.0
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.96
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

70.7%
Gross Margin
32.3%
Net Margin
17.6%
ROIC
7.9%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: +9.7%— Positive value creation spread.
+42.5%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+263.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
275.6M
Free Cash Flow
1%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

0.65x
Debt / Equity
0.68x
Current Ratio
12.1x
Interest Coverage
0.9x
Net Debt / EBITDA
5.59%
FCF Yield
896.5M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $5.23
Act: $5.63
+7.6%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $5.20
Act: $5.42
+4.2%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $4.67
Act: $4.93
+5.7%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $5.64
Act: $5.75
+1.9%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

7.5
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
2.20
Price/Book
331672
Avg Volume
$225.78
52W High
$153.27
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$116M
Tracked Passive Exposure
4
ETFs Holding GPOR
0.37%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$32B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like XOP or VDE, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell GPOR shares regardless of GPOR's individual fundamentals. We estimate $116M of passive capital is structurally linked to GPOR through 4 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on GPOR's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 4 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in GPOR to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

GPOR Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
GPOREpicenterVTWOETFVDEETFXOPETFXOMLow RiskCVXLow RiskCOPLow RiskEOGLow RiskMPCLow Risk
GPOR Price Drop (%)0

If GPOR (GPOR) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with GPOR. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 4 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

GPOR Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
GPOR

Float lock-up computed from 4 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

GPOR Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does GPOR convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$276M
EBITDA
$896M
FCF Conversion
31%
Reinvestment Rate
69%
31% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
17.6%
ROIC − WACC Spread
9.7%

GPOR converts 31% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 69% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 9.7% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-083$178.80$536.4
2026-04-2929$191.55$5,554.95
2026-04-0819,644$207.76$4.1M
2026-04-06311$207.00$64,377
2026-03-31774$214.85$166,293.9
2026-03-1264$195.75$12,528
2026-03-1163$190.06$11,973.78
2026-03-104,408$197.06$868,640.48
2026-02-1723,624$203.97$4.8M
2026-02-062,733$206.54$564,473.82
2026-01-211,831$187.09$342,561.79
2026-01-097$179.49$1,256.43
2025-12-10244$209.04$51,005.76
2025-12-09103$208.26$21,450.78
2025-11-26105$211.98$22,257.9
2025-11-202,169$212.06$459,958.14
2025-11-1243$211.88$9,110.84
2025-11-07315$196.27$61,825.05

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare GPOR to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.