IDT (IDT)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 7/9, Altman Z 5.8 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe fundamental economics present a compelling divergence between capital efficiency and growth momentum. A robust ROIC-WACC spread of +16.0% indicates that the firm is deploying capital significantly above its cost of equity, while DuPont decomposition reveals this return is driven primarily by operational leverage rather than financial engineering or margin expansion; specifically, healthy gross margins at 36.2% are being compressed to net returns of just 6.2%. This structural profile is reinforced by strong solvency and earnings quality metrics: a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 suggests robust balance sheet health, an Altman Z-Score of 5.8 places the entity well within safe bankruptcy territory, and a Beneish M-Score of -3.02 signals low probability of financial statement manipulation despite modest revenue growth of only 2.1% year-over-year.
Valuation metrics currently trade at a discount relative to implied intrinsic value. The market assigns a P/E multiple of 14.8x, which appears compressed given the high return on invested capital and strong quality scores that typically command premium multiples in efficient markets. However, the DCF model implies a fair value of $150, suggesting the current price may not fully reflect the company's ability to generate excess returns over its cost of capital. This discrepancy indicates the market is likely pricing in persistent stagnation risks or sector-specific headwinds that are not immediately apparent from the fundamental quality indicators alone.
While no specific risk factor deltas, insider activity data, or Fama-French alpha figures were provided for this analysis, the combination of high-quality fundamentals and a wide ROIC-WACC spread theoretically offers significant upside if growth assumptions improve. Conversely, the low single-digit revenue expansion remains a critical constraint that could prevent valuation re-rating even as capital efficiency persists.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $186 | $133 | $103 |
| 3% | $224 | $150 | $113 |
| 4% | $286 | $174 | $125 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=9.2%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $150 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in IDT to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If IDT (IDT) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Facebook Inc. Class A (META) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with IDT. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 4 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
IDT Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest IDT Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 4 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
IDT Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does IDT convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
IDT converts 84% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 16.0% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | 18 | $51.79 | $932.22 |
| 2026-04-10 | 262 | $50.01 | $13,102.62 |
| 2026-03-13 | 3,107 | $49.16 | $152,740.12 |
| 2026-02-27 | 1,594 | $50.52 | $80,528.88 |
| 2026-02-09 | 2,182 | $48.26 | $105,303.32 |
| 2026-02-04 | 42 | $47.32 | $1,987.44 |
| 2026-01-15 | 1 | $52.05 | $52.05 |
| 2025-12-12 | 11,964 | $51.06 | $610,881.84 |
| 2025-12-11 | 2 | $50.32 | $100.64 |
| 2025-11-24 | 88 | $49.79 | $4,381.52 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare IDT to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.