Intel Corporation (INTC)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health is average: Piotroski 6/9, Altman Z 3.0.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe fundamental economics of the business reveal a stark divergence between operational efficiency and bottom-line profitability. While gross margins remain robust at 34.8%, indicating strong pricing power or cost control on core products, net margin has contracted to -0.5% amidst flat revenue growth of -0.5%. This structural weakness drives an ROIC of just 1.2% and a negative DuPont ROE of -0.2%, where the loss in profitability is compounded by low asset turnover of 0.25x rather than excessive leverage; however, equity multipliers stand at 1.67x. Despite these earnings headwinds, the balance sheet appears stable with a Beneish M-Score of -2.59 suggesting low manipulation risk, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 which signals moderate financial strength relative to peers.
Valuation metrics are difficult to contextualize without historical benchmarks or sector averages provided in the data set, though the negative earnings yield creates an inherent disconnect with traditional multiple analysis. The market pricing appears influenced significantly by factor exposures rather than pure growth narratives; specifically, the stock exhibits a strong Value Factor tilt (HML 0.673) which may support current levels if macro conditions favor value over growth, yet this is counterbalanced by a severe Profitability Factor drag of -1.375. Notably, the Fama-French Alpha stands at an annualized 5.45%, suggesting that recent price movements have outperformed what standard risk factors would predict based on its current characteristic profile.
Insider activity presents a cautionary signal with $731,015 in net selling over the last ninety days, potentially reflecting management's view of near-term headwinds despite the solid gross margin foundation. The synthesis of these data points portrays an entity currently struggling to translate top-line stability into bottom-line returns while maintaining a favorable risk profile regarding earnings quality and factor exposure. Investors must weigh the attractive value characteristics and positive alpha generation against the persistent erosion in net profitability and insider distribution before drawing conclusions on future trajectory.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Technical Setup
AI GeneratedIntel Corporation is currently trading at $118.50 within the technology sector, presenting a snapshot of its immediate market positioning relative to broader trends and momentum indicators. The price level serves as a critical reference point for assessing whether recent valuation movements align with established moving averages, which typically smooth out short-term volatility to reveal underlying directional strength or weakness. Observing where the current figure sits in relation to these averaged benchmarks provides insight into the prevailing trend's persistence; trading above key averages often signals sustained upward pressure, while positions below may indicate a corrective phase or bearish sentiment dominating recent price action. Simultaneously, the Relative Strength Index offers a nuanced view of short-term momentum by measuring the speed and change in price movements on an oscillating scale between zero and one hundred. A reading approaching overbought territory might suggest that buying pressure has intensified significantly, potentially inviting a pullback as profit-taking becomes more likely, whereas levels indicating oversold conditions could imply that selling pressure is exhausted and a rebound is technically feasible. These metrics collectively illustrate the dynamic interplay between immediate price fluctuations and longer-term structural trends without dictating specific future outcomes or investment actions for market participants to consider.
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)
Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Dividend History
| Date | Amount | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-07 | $0.1250 | 0.0% |
| 2024-05-06 | $0.1250 | 0.0% |
| 2024-02-06 | $0.1250 | 0.0% |
| 2023-11-06 | $0.1250 | 0.0% |
| 2023-08-04 | $0.1250 | 0.0% |
| 2023-05-04 | $0.1250 | -65.8% |
| 2023-02-06 | $0.3650 | 0.0% |
| 2022-11-04 | $0.3650 | 0.0% |
| 2022-08-04 | $0.3650 | 0.0% |
| 2022-05-05 | $0.3650 | 0.0% |
| 2022-02-04 | $0.3650 | +4.9% |
| 2021-11-04 | $0.3480 | 0.0% |
Dividend and split data from SEC filings and market data. Amounts are per share, not adjusted for splits. Source: yfinance.
Risk Profile
Sharpe = risk-adjusted return (higher is better). Max drawdown = largest peak-to-trough decline. 1,200+ trading days.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fama-French 5-Factor Exposure
Academic factor model decomposition — what's really driving this stock's returns.
Fama-French 5-Factor Model. Data: Kenneth French Data Library. Regression over 3 years of daily returns.
Fundamentals
Smart Money Flow
Institutional 13F filings from top hedge funds. Positions updated quarterly from SEC EDGAR.
| Fund | Quarter | Shares Change | % Change | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point72 Asset Mgmt | 2026-Q1 | +143,900 | +19.1% | Increased |
| Druckenmiller (Duquesne) | 2026-Q1 | +411,400 | +100.0% | New Position |
| Bridgewater Associates | 2026-Q1 | -12,859 | -100.0% | Exited |
| Citadel Advisors | 2026-Q1 | -12,139,500 | -28.6% | Decreased |
| Renaissance Technologies | 2026-Q1 | -2,489,973 | -25.2% | Decreased |
| Two Sigma Investments | 2026-Q1 | -3,172,337 | -96.6% | Decreased |
| DE Shaw | 2026-Q1 | +9,253,706 | +164.0% | Increased |
| Millennium Management | 2026-Q1 | +4,188,800 | +115.8% | Increased |
| Tiger Global | 2026-Q1 | +1,638,700 | +100.0% | New Position |
| DE Shaw | 2025-Q4 | -2,541,911 | -31.1% | Decreased |
| Renaissance Technologies | 2025-Q4 | +6,497,102 | +191.5% | Increased |
| Point72 Asset Mgmt | 2025-Q4 | -102,400 | -11.9% | Decreased |
Source: SEC 13F-HR filings. 13F data is delayed ~45 days after quarter end. Not investment advice.
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like VLUE or XNTK, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell INTC shares regardless of Intel Corporation's individual fundamentals. We estimate $51.5B of passive capital is structurally linked to INTC through 8 tracked ETFs. This substantial passive exposure means that ETF inflows and outflows — not company fundamentals — can dominate daily volume on this stock.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in Intel Corporation to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If Intel Corporation (INTC) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with INTC. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 37 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
INTC Ownership Dynamics
Passive funds hold 1 in every 7 INTC shares, reducing daily market volatility.
Intel Corporation (INTC) exerts measurable gravity on the passive index market, currently representing 9.3% of the VLUE (VLUE) and 7.2% of the XNTK (XNTK). Across 32 tracked ETFs, approximately 691M shares (13.7% of float) are held by passive funds and rarely trade on the open market. This level of passive ownership means index rebalances can create outsized volume events.
ETFs with Highest INTC Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 32 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
INTC Institutional Volume Profile
252-day volume distribution by price level. The Point of Control (POC) marks — the price where the most institutional volume transacted — an implicit support/resistance floor.
The highest-volume price zone for Intel Corporation over the past year sits near $21.81 (22% of 252-day volume). The current price of $107.93 trades 394.8% above this institutional floor — a sign of upside momentum, though a pullback to the POC zone is a common reversion target. The highly concentrated volume profile (22% at POC) indicates strong consensus on fair value — institutional participants have repeatedly transacted near this price.
Volume Profile computed from 252 trading days of OHLCV data. Volume allocated to price bins proportionally based on daily high-low range. Not investment advice.
INTC Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does Intel Corporation convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
Intel Corporation converts -34% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, negative FCF conversion — the company is consuming cash faster than it generates EBITDA, which is unsustainable long-term. The 134% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-10.8%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 64,235 | $120.29 | $7.7M |
| 2026-05-12 | 10 | $129.44 | $1,294.4 |
| 2026-05-11 | 57,900 | $124.92 | $7.2M |
| 2026-05-08 | 2 | $109.62 | $219.24 |
| 2026-05-04 | 19,300 | $99.62 | $1.9M |
| 2026-05-01 | 2,675,098 | $94.48 | $252.7M |
| 2026-04-30 | 1,096,708 | $94.75 | $103.9M |
| 2026-04-29 | 73,672 | $84.52 | $6.2M |
| 2026-04-28 | 299 | $84.99 | $25,412.01 |
| 2026-04-27 | 130,982 | $82.54 | $10.8M |
| 2026-04-24 | 127,599 | $66.78 | $8.5M |
| 2026-04-22 | 3,547 | $66.26 | $235,024.22 |
| 2026-04-21 | 12,453 | $65.70 | $818,162.1 |
| 2026-04-20 | 97,800 | $68.50 | $6.7M |
| 2026-04-17 | 20,815 | $68.50 | $1.4M |
| 2026-04-16 | 5,942 | $64.94 | $385,873.48 |
| 2026-04-15 | 298,622 | $63.81 | $19.1M |
| 2026-04-14 | 1,800 | $65.18 | $117,324 |
| 2026-04-13 | 78,309 | $62.38 | $4.9M |
| 2026-04-10 | 4,482 | $61.72 | $276,629.04 |
| 2026-04-07 | 13,199 | $50.78 | $670,245.22 |
| 2026-04-06 | 34,284 | $50.38 | $1.7M |
| 2026-04-02 | 18,374 | $48.03 | $882,503.22 |
| 2026-04-01 | 375 | $44.13 | $16,548.75 |
| 2026-03-30 | 346 | $43.13 | $14,922.98 |
| 2026-03-25 | 448 | $44.06 | $19,738.88 |
| 2026-03-24 | 143 | $44.01 | $6,293.43 |
| 2026-03-23 | 275 | $43.87 | $12,064.25 |
| 2026-03-19 | 1,333 | $45.03 | $60,024.99 |
| 2026-03-17 | 100 | $45.76 | $4,576 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Institutional Holdings (13F Filings)
Raw SEC 13F-HR filings from institutional investment managers. Shows exact share counts and portfolio values as reported to the SEC.
| Fund | Quarter | Shares | Value ($K) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Citadel Advisors | 2026-Q1 | 30,334,400 | $1,338,657,072K |
| DE Shaw | 2026-Q1 | 14,894,823 | $657,308,539K |
| Millennium Management | 2026-Q1 | 7,806,200 | $344,487,606K |
| Renaissance Technologies | 2026-Q1 | 7,399,394 | $326,535,257K |
| Tiger Global | 2026-Q1 | 1,638,700 | $72,315,831K |
| Point72 Asset Mgmt | 2026-Q1 | 898,700 | $39,659,631K |
| Two Sigma Investments | 2026-Q1 | 111,400 | $4,916,082K |
| Druckenmiller (Duquesne) | 2026-Q1 | 411,400 | $18,155K |
| Citadel Advisors | 2025-Q4 | 42,473,900 | $1,567,286,910K |
| Renaissance Technologies | 2025-Q4 | 9,889,367 | $364,920,598K |
| DE Shaw | 2025-Q4 | 5,641,117 | $208,157,217K |
| Millennium Management | 2025-Q4 | 3,617,400 | $133,482,060K |
| Two Sigma Investments | 2025-Q4 | 3,283,737 | $121,169,895K |
| Point72 Asset Mgmt | 2025-Q4 | 754,800 | $27,852,120K |
| Bridgewater Associates | 2025-Q4 | 12,859 | $474,497K |
Source: SEC 13F-HR filings. Values reported in thousands. 13F data is delayed ~45 days after quarter end.
SEC Comment Letters
SEC correspondence with the company regarding their filings. Comment letters often flag disclosure deficiencies, accounting concerns, or material omissions.
Source: SEC EDGAR correspondence. Comment letters are public records of SEC staff review of company filings.
Price Correlations
Statistical correlation of daily returns with other stocks. High correlations indicate stocks that move together; negative correlations can offer diversification.
| Peer | 252-Day (1Y) | 126-Day (6M) | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTGXX | NaN | NaN | |
| MPWR | 0.468 | 0.578 | Moderate |
| USN070592100 | 0.452 | 0.490 | Moderate |
| ASML | 0.452 | 0.490 | Moderate |
| LRCX | 0.450 | 0.514 | Moderate |
| MU | 0.442 | 0.492 | Moderate |
| AMAT | 0.426 | 0.491 | Moderate |
| CMI | 0.422 | 0.426 | Moderate |
| ON | 0.421 | 0.490 | Moderate |
| TER | 0.414 | 0.481 | Moderate |
Pearson correlation of daily log returns. 252d ≈ 1 trading year. Computed from price history. Not investment advice.
Compare INTC to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: 2026-06-02.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.