JKHY (JKHY)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 7/9, Altman Z 10.5 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe capital allocation efficiency of JKHY is robust, evidenced by an ROIC-WACC spread that suggests strong value creation relative to the cost of equity. The 21.4% return on equity is primarily driven by exceptional profitability rather than leverage or asset velocity; specifically, a net margin of 19.2% and gross margin expansion to 42.7% indicate durable pricing power and operational control over costs. This high-quality earnings profile is further corroborated by a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a Beneish M-Score of -2.77, signaling strong financial health with minimal likelihood of earnings manipulation despite moderate revenue growth of 7.2% year-over-year.
Valuation metrics present a nuanced picture where the current P/E multiple of 22.4x sits at a premium relative to typical software sector averages but remains justified by the company's superior margin expansion and low leverage profile, as indicated by an equity multiplier of only 1.43x. While the DuPont decomposition reveals that asset turnover is constrained at 0.78x, limiting total exposure growth compared to high-velocity peers, the DCF model implies a fair value of $132, suggesting the market may be pricing in conservative assumptions regarding future margin sustainment or growth acceleration beyond the current 7.2% trajectory.
Insider flow data over the past 90 days remains neutral at zero dollars, offering no immediate signal of management conviction shifts to counterbalance the strong fundamental scores. Collectively, the risk-reward profile appears skewed toward stability given the low leverage and clean audit signals, yet investors must weigh whether the current valuation adequately compensates for the sub-linear revenue growth rate against peers with higher asset turnover ratios.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 8% | 10% | 12% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $161 | $118 | $93 |
| 3% | $189 | $132 | $101 |
| 4% | $230 | $150 | $111 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $132 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition
Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like MOAT or SDY, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell JKHY shares regardless of JKHY's individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.7B of passive capital is structurally linked to JKHY through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in JKHY to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If JKHY (JKHY) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc (HII) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with JKHY. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 30 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
JKHY Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest JKHY Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 30 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
JKHY Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does JKHY convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
JKHY converts 51% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a healthy conversion rate indicating efficient capital management — the business generates substantial cash after reinvestment.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | 605 | $144.73 | $87,561.65 |
| 2026-04-27 | 11 | $151.15 | $1,662.65 |
| 2026-04-20 | 162 | $154.06 | $24,957.72 |
| 2026-04-08 | 256 | $158.32 | $40,529.92 |
| 2026-04-07 | 22 | $158.10 | $3,478.2 |
| 2026-04-01 | 169 | $158.04 | $26,708.76 |
| 2026-03-25 | 7 | $158.87 | $1,112.09 |
| 2026-03-19 | 2,924 | $165.15 | $482,898.6 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2,134 | $167.35 | $357,124.9 |
| 2026-03-16 | 17 | $168.77 | $2,869.09 |
| 2026-03-12 | 1,509 | $167.01 | $252,018.09 |
| 2026-03-09 | 5,364 | $171.83 | $921,696.12 |
| 2026-03-06 | 93 | $167.05 | $15,535.65 |
| 2026-03-05 | 93 | $168.43 | $15,663.99 |
| 2026-03-02 | 45 | $162.46 | $7,310.7 |
| 2026-02-27 | 75 | $161.08 | $12,081 |
| 2026-02-12 | 120,734 | $165.65 | $20.0M |
| 2026-02-06 | 59,266 | $176.96 | $10.5M |
| 2026-02-05 | 23 | $173.78 | $3,996.94 |
| 2026-02-02 | 236 | $179.21 | $42,293.56 |
| 2026-01-21 | 72,356 | $186.85 | $13.5M |
| 2026-01-07 | 3,586 | $185.56 | $665,418.16 |
| 2026-01-05 | 3,068 | $178.35 | $547,177.8 |
| 2026-01-02 | 1,575 | $182.48 | $287,406 |
| 2025-12-31 | 2,812 | $184.55 | $518,954.6 |
| 2025-12-26 | 9,105 | $185.18 | $1.7M |
| 2025-12-22 | 20,015 | $184.50 | $3.7M |
| 2025-12-12 | 12,876 | $187.18 | $2.4M |
| 2025-12-09 | 1 | $180.99 | $180.99 |
| 2025-12-08 | 16 | $181.71 | $2,907.36 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare JKHY to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.