MGEE (MGEE)

Market Cap
P/E Ratio
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 6/9Beneish M -2.52 Clean

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 6/9.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The company demonstrates a robust earnings quality profile characterized by high profitability relative to asset efficiency, driven primarily by expansive net margins of 18.3% rather than operational leverage or balance sheet expansion. While the DuPont decomposition reveals that return on equity is fueled more by margin compression and low asset turnover (0.24x) than by financial leverage (Equity Multiplier at 2.42x), capital allocation efficiency remains modest given a Return on Invested Capital of only 5.3%. This operational structure aligns with moderate fundamental stability, evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and an Altman-style Beneish M-Score of -2.52, suggesting low earnings manipulation risk despite the limited growth trajectory in asset utilization.

Valuation metrics indicate that current pricing may be compressing returns relative to historical norms or sector peers if implied growth assumptions diverge from the observed 9.8% revenue expansion. The market appears to price in a specific equilibrium between these strong margins and sluggish capital efficiency, potentially creating a divergence where fair value models based on discounted cash flows could either support current levels if future margin durability holds or suggest downside pressure if asset turnover fails to improve. Without explicit sector benchmarks or historical P/E ranges provided, the assessment relies strictly on the internal consistency of generating double-digit net income from low-velocity assets.

Recent insider activity shows a negligible $28,985 in net buying over ninety days, which lacks significant directional signal given its small magnitude relative to typical institutional flows for this market cap profile. While the Fama-French alpha and specific risk factor deltas are not quantifiable without additional data points, the combination of solid earnings quality scores against stagnant ROIC suggests a stock that rewards patience but offers limited immediate catalysts for multiple expansion unless operational leverage improves or asset turnover accelerates meaningfully in upcoming quarters.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

Loading chart...
SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

6/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
-2.52
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

41.5%
Gross Margin
18.3%
Net Margin
5.3%
ROIC
+9.8%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-80.0M
Free Cash Flow

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

18.3%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.24x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
2.42x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
10.4%
Return on Equity
✅ ROE driven primarily by strong profit margins — a sign of pricing power.

Balance Sheet Health

1.42x
Debt / Equity
0.77x
Current Ratio
5.6x
Interest Coverage
2.6x
Net Debt / EBITDA
304.8M
EBITDA

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
+$28,985
Net Buying
1
Buy Transactions
0
Sale Transactions
2026-03-11BERBEE JAMES GBuy$28,985
2026-03-02KEEBLER JEFFREY MGrant10,905 shares
2026-03-02RENLUND CARI ANNEGrant1,716 shares
2026-03-02BUSHEK JARED JOSEPHGrant3,684 shares
2026-03-02SMITH SCOTT ROBERTGrant1,116 shares

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.98
Act: $1.14
+16.3%
Q3
✗ Miss
Est: $0.73
Act: $0.72
-1.4%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $1.19
Act: $1.22
+2.5%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $0.64
Act: $0.64
0.0%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

Loading drawdown chart...

Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

Loading beta chart...
Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
Price/Book
Avg Volume
52W High
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$163M
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding MGEE
0.05%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$350B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like VFMV or VPU, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell MGEE shares regardless of MGEE's individual fundamentals. We estimate $163M of passive capital is structurally linked to MGEE through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on MGEE's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in MGEE to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

MGEE Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
MGEEEpicenterVIGETFVYMETFVBRETFNEEHigh RiskSOHigh RiskDUKHigh RiskCEGMed RiskAEPHigh Risk
MGEE Price Drop (%)0

If MGEE (MGEE) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with MGEE. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 11 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

MGEE Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
MGEE

Float lock-up computed from 11 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

MGEE Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does MGEE convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$-79,986,000
EBITDA
$305M
FCF Conversion
-26%
Reinvestment Rate
126%
-26% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)

MGEE converts -26% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, negative FCF conversion — the company is consuming cash faster than it generates EBITDA, which is unsustainable long-term. The 126% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-134$75.30$301.2
2026-05-117$73.65$515.55
2026-05-082,170,997$74.65$162.1M
2026-05-07596$80.80$48,156.8
2026-04-303$78.75$236.25
2026-04-223$78.65$235.95
2026-04-1671$77.76$5,520.96
2026-04-141$79.85$79.85
2026-04-1355$80.77$4,442.35
2026-04-0912$79.80$957.6
2026-03-311,080$78.02$84,261.6
2026-03-2526$76.75$1,995.5
2026-03-2362$74.13$4,596.06
2026-03-18159$74.41$11,831.19
2026-03-16718$74.77$53,684.86
2026-03-133,282$73.77$242,113.14
2026-02-191$79.99$79.99
2026-02-177$82.88$580.16
2026-02-123,699$79.90$295,550.1
2026-01-1215$78.43$1,176.45
2026-01-08822$78.33$64,387.26
2026-01-0541$78.44$3,216.04
2025-12-19401$80.82$32,408.82
2025-12-16149$81.79$12,186.71
2025-12-1535$80.19$2,806.65
2025-11-061$84.47$84.47
2025-10-3087$82.99$7,220.13
2025-10-211$85.86$85.86
2025-10-14488$83.91$40,948.08
2025-10-074$82.89$331.56

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare MGEE to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.