MYRG (MYRG)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicFinancial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 7/9, Altman Z 5.7 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe fundamental economics of MYRG demonstrate a robust capital allocation framework, evidenced by an ROIC-WACC spread of +4.0%, indicating that the firm generates returns exceeding its cost of capital. This efficiency is underpinned by strong financial health metrics; a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 signals superior operational stability and balance sheet quality, while an Altman Z-Score of 5.7 suggests a low probability of distress. Furthermore, the Beneish M-Score of -3.27 points to minimal earnings manipulation risks. However, the DuPont decomposition reveals that profitability is constrained by thin margins, with net returns at just 3.2% and gross margins compressing to 11.6%, despite revenue growing at an 8.8% annualized rate. This divergence suggests growth is currently being achieved through volume rather than margin expansion or significant leverage effects.
Valuation metrics present a notable discrepancy between market pricing and intrinsic value models. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 35.3x, which appears elevated relative to the implied growth trajectory if one considers current profitability levels. Conversely, DCF analysis assigns a fair value of $430 per share, implying that the market may be discounting future cash flows more aggressively than the model assumes or pricing in lower long-term sustainability given the modest margin profile. Whether this premium is justified depends on whether investors believe management can successfully convert revenue growth into higher net margins over time to support such a multiple.
No risk factor deltas, insider activity data, or Fama-French alpha statistics were provided for this analysis; therefore, no synthesis of specific short-term catalysts or style-based performance drivers relative to the broader market is possible based on the available information.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.6% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $509 | $394 | $320 |
| 3% | $573 | $430 | $342 |
| 4% | $659 | $476 | $370 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=11.6%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $430 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like SLYG or SPSM, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell MYRG shares regardless of MYRG's individual fundamentals. We estimate $193M of passive capital is structurally linked to MYRG through 7 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on MYRG's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 7 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in MYRG to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If MYRG (MYRG) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with MYRG. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 7 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
MYRG Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest MYRG Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 7 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
MYRG Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does MYRG convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
MYRG converts 99% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag. The positive ROIC-WACC spread of 4.0% confirms that reinvested capital creates shareholder value.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 38 | $467.97 | $17,782.86 |
| 2026-05-04 | 1,399 | $433.49 | $606,452.51 |
| 2026-05-01 | 956 | $404.81 | $386,998.36 |
| 2026-04-28 | 4,274 | $346.37 | $1.5M |
| 2026-04-21 | 63 | $332.14 | $20,924.82 |
| 2026-03-30 | 4 | $273.47 | $1,093.88 |
| 2026-03-24 | 120 | $274.39 | $32,926.8 |
| 2026-03-09 | 43 | $260.90 | $11,218.7 |
| 2026-02-13 | 44 | $267.81 | $11,783.64 |
| 2026-02-04 | 463 | $263.96 | $122,213.48 |
| 2026-01-13 | 75 | $225.99 | $16,949.25 |
| 2026-01-09 | 49 | $221.80 | $10,868.2 |
| 2025-12-19 | 1,505 | $216.64 | $326,043.2 |
| 2025-12-12 | 7 | $226.32 | $1,584.24 |
| 2025-11-21 | 64 | $204.45 | $13,084.8 |
| 2025-11-20 | 1,454 | $216.41 | $314,660.14 |
| 2025-11-17 | 571 | $229.44 | $131,010.24 |
| 2025-11-04 | 139 | $227.46 | $31,616.94 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare MYRG to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.