NTST (NTST)

Market Cap
P/E Ratio
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Beneish M -2.61 Clean

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The company exhibits a stark dichotomy between exceptional top-line efficiency and negligible capital allocation returns. While the gross margin of 90% indicates strong pricing power or high-value intangible assets, this advantage is entirely negated by an asset turnover rate of just 0.07x, resulting in a net margin of only 3.8%. This structural inefficiency drives the Return on Invested Capital to a mere 1.7%, which fails to generate value relative to typical cost of capital assumptions. Despite this poor return profile and low DuPont ROE components driven by sluggish turnover rather than leverage or margins, the firm maintains robust financial health metrics, evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a Beneish M-Score of -2.61, suggesting high-quality earnings without significant manipulation risk.

Valuation analysis reveals a significant divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic value estimates derived from discounted cash flow models. The DCF fair value calculation places the stock at $30, implying that the market is currently undervaluing the asset relative to its projected growth trajectory of 20.9% year-over-year revenue expansion. This substantial gap suggests the market has not yet fully priced in the sustainability of such high single-digit margins combined with accelerating top-line growth, although the low capital efficiency remains a headwind for future compounding potential.

Risk assessment data indicates a stable internal governance environment with neutral insider flow over the past 90 days, offering no immediate signals of management distress or opportunistic trading activity. However, the fundamental constraint lies in the inability to convert high-margin revenue into efficient asset utilization; unless asset turnover improves significantly, the low ROIC will continue to cap long-term shareholder value creation despite strong earnings quality scores and favorable valuation multiples relative to intrinsic worth.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →8%10%12%
2%$39$26$17
3%$48$30$20
4%$61$36$23

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $30 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
-2.61
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

90.0%
Gross Margin
3.8%
Net Margin
1.7%
ROIC
+20.9%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+157.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
109.5M
Free Cash Flow
64%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

3.8%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.07x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
1.80x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
0.5%
Return on Equity
Balanced ROE composition across margins, turnover, and leverage.

Balance Sheet Health

0.80x
Debt / Equity
7.06x
Current Ratio
1.1x
Interest Coverage
7.7x
Net Debt / EBITDA
140.6M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✗ Miss
Est: $0.05
Act: $0.05
-9.0%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.04
Act: $0.05
+28.2%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.05
Act: $0.06
+16.2%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $0.06
Act: $0.05
-19.1%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
Price/Book
Avg Volume
52W High
52W Low
52W Range Position

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in NTST to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

NTST Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
NTSTEpicenterVNQETFVRTPXUnknownWELLLow RiskPLDMed RiskEQIXMed RiskAMTHigh Risk
NTST Price Drop (%)0

If NTST (NTST) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Vanguard Real Estate II Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares (VRTPX) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with NTST. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 1 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

NTST Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
NTST

Float lock-up computed from 1 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

NTST Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does NTST convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$109M
EBITDA
$141M
FCF Conversion
78%
Reinvestment Rate
22%
78% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)

NTST converts 78% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-146,641$20.46$135,874.86
2026-05-1318,042$20.73$374,010.66
2026-05-121,746$20.70$36,142.2
2026-05-0845,138$20.36$919,009.68
2026-05-0745,153$20.57$928,797.21
2026-05-05497$20.15$10,014.55
2026-04-308,031$20.57$165,197.67
2026-04-2712$20.56$246.72
2026-04-244,506$20.75$93,499.5
2026-04-2313,529$20.85$282,079.65
2026-04-2246,991$20.91$982,581.81
2026-04-2153,160$20.89$1.1M
2026-04-203,146$20.84$65,562.64
2026-04-17924$20.41$18,858.84
2026-04-142,075$20.16$41,832
2026-04-1379$20.26$1,600.54
2026-04-1059$20.04$1,182.36
2026-04-0723,905$19.26$460,410.3
2026-03-3148,781$19.04$928,790.24
2026-03-252$19.01$38.02
2026-03-11403$20.57$8,289.71
2026-03-10293$20.91$6,126.63
2026-03-041,653$20.93$34,597.29
2026-02-271,175$20.61$24,216.75
2026-02-23400$20.39$8,156
2026-02-1950$19.90$995
2026-02-18656$20.50$13,448
2026-02-171,000$20.20$20,200
2026-02-131,019$19.85$20,227.15
2026-02-056,763$19.12$129,308.56

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare NTST to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.