PLMR (PLMR)

$3.2B
Market Cap
16.6
P/E Ratio
0.53
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 6/9Altman Z 1.7 Distress

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 6/9, Altman Z 1.7.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The company exhibits a compelling fundamental profile characterized by exceptional profitability efficiency, though capital allocation discipline remains moderate. A net margin of 22.5% combined with revenue growth accelerating at 58.2% YoY suggests strong pricing power and demand elasticity, yet the return on invested capital sits at only 6.6%, indicating that high leverage or inefficient asset turnover is constraining absolute returns despite robust margins. This dynamic is reflected in a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, signaling solid financial health with positive momentum, while an Altman Z-Score of 1.7 places the entity in the "grey zone," warranting caution regarding potential distress risks that are not yet fully materialized but require monitoring as leverage or liquidity conditions shift.

Valuation metrics present a dichotomy between current market pricing and intrinsic value estimates derived from discounted cash flow analysis. Trading at a forward P/E of 16.6x, the stock appears compressed relative to its own historical trajectory given the extraordinary 58% revenue expansion, yet it trades below the implied fair value of $540 suggested by DCF models assuming reasonable growth assumptions. This discrepancy implies that current market sentiment may be pricing in significant downside risks or uncertainty regarding the sustainability of such high-growth rates, potentially creating a margin of safety if operational execution aligns with top-line momentum without eroding capital efficiency further.

The risk-reward landscape is defined by this tension between aggressive revenue expansion and moderate returns on equity. While the Piotroski score supports continued operational stability, the Altman Z-Score introduces a non-trivial probability of financial stress that could disrupt earnings quality if leverage ratios deteriorate or cash flows tighten. Investors must weigh whether the 58% growth rate is a transient anomaly or a structural shift; if sustainable, the current valuation leaves room for upside toward DCF fair value, but any slip in capital efficiency would likely compress multiples further given the already modest ROIC relative to such high margins and turnover potential.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →8%10%12%
2%$659$483$378
3%$773$540$411
4%$943$615$452

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $540 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

6/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
1.7
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.

Profitability & Value Creation

22.5%
Net Margin
6.6%
ROIC
+58.2%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+67.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
402.0M
Free Cash Flow

Balance Sheet Health

2.24x
Debt / Equity
647.4x
Interest Coverage
13.10%
FCF Yield
262.7M
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $1.60
Act: $1.87
+16.7%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $1.68
Act: $1.76
+4.5%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $1.61
Act: $2.01
+24.8%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $2.09
Act: $2.24
+7.1%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

10.8
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
3.35
Price/Book
253879
Avg Volume
$175.85
52W High
$107.75
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$86M
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding PLMR
0.09%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$98B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like KIE or SLYG, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell PLMR shares regardless of PLMR's individual fundamentals. We estimate $86M of passive capital is structurally linked to PLMR through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on PLMR's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in PLMR to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

PLMR Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
PLMREpicenterVBKETFVTWOETFSPSMETFBELow RiskOSCRUnknownMCYHigh RiskSPNTHigh RiskSANMMed Risk
PLMR Price Drop (%)0

If PLMR (PLMR) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Bloom Energy Corp. Class A (BE) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 2 ETFs with PLMR. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 8 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

PLMR Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
PLMR

Float lock-up computed from 8 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

PLMR Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does PLMR convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$402M
EBITDA
$263M
FCF Conversion
153%
Reinvestment Rate
-53%
153% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)

PLMR converts 153% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-141$108.16$108.16
2026-05-1159$113.36$6,688.24
2026-05-07940$110.75$104,105
2026-04-15136$130.89$17,801.04
2026-04-1424,364$128.38$3.1M
2026-04-0690$120.10$10,809
2026-03-31590$119.64$70,587.6
2026-03-2343$116.90$5,026.7
2026-02-196$127.84$767.04
2026-02-1895$129.99$12,349.05
2026-02-1732$132.10$4,227.2
2026-02-0485$121.89$10,360.65
2026-01-211$130.63$130.63
2026-01-0713$130.70$1,699.1
2025-12-2452$137.32$7,140.64
2025-11-2830$123.95$3,718.5
2025-11-247,000$122.81$859,670
2025-11-1044$128.06$5,634.64

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare PLMR to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.