POR (POR)

$6.0B
Market Cap
18.9
P/E Ratio
0.65
Beta
4.06%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 5/9Altman Z 1.0 DistressBeneish M -2.80 CleanROIC−WACC -2.9%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 1.0.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency of this entity presents a notable constraint, as the 3.8% ROIC falls well below typical cost-of-capital thresholds required to generate value creation for shareholders. While the DuPont decomposition reveals that earnings power is driven by an 8.6% net margin and moderate leverage at a 3.20x equity multiplier rather than high asset turnover of only 0.27x, the underlying business quality signals mixed durability. The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 suggests average financial strength with potential weaknesses in profitability or liquidity trends over time, whereas the negative Beneish M-Score of -2.80 indicates a low probability of earnings manipulation and supports the credibility of the reported margins. However, revenue growth remains subdued at just 4% year-over-yo, limiting the scalability of current operational models despite healthy gross margin expansion to 48%.

Valuation metrics currently sit at an 18.9x P/E multiple, which requires contextualization against historical averages and sector peers to determine if the market is pricing in excessive optimism or reasonable growth expectations. Given the modest revenue trajectory and lack of explicit fair value data from a DCF model, the current price implies that investors are betting on margin expansion or an eventual acceleration in asset turnover rather than immediate top-line scaling. The disconnect between the low ROIC and the multiple suggests that future returns will depend heavily on improving capital efficiency; without significant leverage increases or margin widening beyond historical norms, sustaining this valuation level may be challenging given the limited organic growth runway visible in recent filings.

Recent insider activity over the last 90 days shows net selling of $266,140, a signal that management or affiliated parties are reducing their exposure while valuations remain elevated relative to fundamental cash generation capabilities. This divergence between insider disposition and public ownership often warrants heightened scrutiny regarding future capital allocation priorities or confidence in near-term earnings visibility. While the low Beneish score offers some assurance of reporting integrity, the combination of subpar ROIC, sluggish growth, and active insider selling creates a risk profile where downside protection relies on mean reversion rather than fundamental acceleration.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

5/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
1.0
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.80
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

48.0%
Gross Margin
8.6%
Net Margin
3.8%
ROIC
6.7%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -2.9%— Negative spread.
+4.0%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.0M
Free Cash Flow

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

8.6%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.27x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
3.20x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
7.4%
Return on Equity
⚠️ High equity multiplier — ROE is being amplified by leverage, not operational excellence.

Balance Sheet Health

2.20x
Debt / Equity
1.08x
Current Ratio
2.5x
Interest Coverage
3.9x
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.67%
FCF Yield
1.2B
EBITDA

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
$-266,140
Net Selling
0
Buy Transactions
1
Sale Transactions
2026-02-27FELTON BENJAMIN F.Sold 5/8 qtrsSale$266,140
2026-02-13MCFARLAND JOHN CARTERSold 1/8 qtrsGrant$304,560
2026-02-13ESPINOSA MARIA ANGELICASold 3/8 qtrsGrant$742,230
2026-02-13TRPIK JOSEPH R. JR.Sold 3/8 qtrsGrant$1M
2026-02-13FELTON BENJAMIN F.Sold 5/8 qtrsGrant$974,916

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✗ Miss
Est: $0.99
Act: $0.91
-7.8%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.64
Act: $0.66
+3.8%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.99
Act: $1.00
+1.3%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $0.56
Act: $0.47
-16.6%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

14.6
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
1.46
Price/Book
1M
Avg Volume
$54.39
52W High
$39.55
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$455M
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding POR
0.09%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$499B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like VPU or MDYV, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell POR shares regardless of POR's individual fundamentals. We estimate $455M of passive capital is structurally linked to POR through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on POR's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in POR to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

POR Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
POREpicenterVBETFVYMETFVXFETFNEEHigh RiskSOHigh RiskDUKHigh RiskCEGMed RiskAEPHigh Risk
POR Price Drop (%)0

If POR (POR) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with POR. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 11 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

POR Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
POR

Float lock-up computed from 11 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

POR Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does POR convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$-71,000,000
EBITDA
$1.2B
FCF Conversion
-6%
Reinvestment Rate
106%
-6% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
3.8%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-2.9%

POR converts -6% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, negative FCF conversion — the company is consuming cash faster than it generates EBITDA, which is unsustainable long-term. The 106% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-2.9%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-065,810$49.12$285,387.2
2026-05-0415$49.73$745.95
2026-04-014$52.77$211.08
2026-03-204,624$52.26$241,650.24
2026-02-2662$53.48$3,315.76
2026-02-201,686$52.09$87,823.74
2026-02-197,496$50.98$382,146.08
2026-02-0530$50.69$1,520.7
2026-01-2358$49.94$2,896.52
2025-12-31114$48.09$5,482.26
2025-12-111,359$47.83$65,000.97
2025-12-081,745$48.57$84,754.65
2025-12-043,666$49.33$180,843.78
2025-12-0330$49.50$1,485
2025-11-243$49.57$148.71
2025-11-131$50.52$50.52
2025-10-3113,248$45.80$606,758.4
2025-10-16308$43.81$13,493.48
2025-10-14514$43.22$22,215.08

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare POR to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.