PSKY (PSKY)

$10.0B
Market Cap
300.8
P/E Ratio
1.26
Beta
2.17%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 4/9Altman Z 0.8 DistressBeneish M -3.35 CleanROIC−WACC -19.0%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 4/9, Altman Z 0.8.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency of PSKY is severely compromised, evidenced by an ROIC-WACC spread of -19.0%, indicating that the firm's investments are actively eroding shareholder value rather than generating returns above its cost of capital. This fundamental weakness is further underscored by a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and negative net margins at -21.2%, suggesting deteriorating financial health despite maintaining a gross margin of 29.6% that appears insufficient to cover operating expenses. The Altman Z-Score of 0.8 places the entity in the zone of potential distress, while the revenue contraction of -1.5% YoY signals an inability to sustain top-line momentum, creating a precarious operational environment where leverage and asset turnover are likely failing to offset margin compression.

Valuation metrics reflect extreme skepticism regarding future cash flow generation, with a current P/E ratio of 300.8x standing in stark contrast to the implied fair value derived from DCF modeling at $22. Such a massive discrepancy suggests that market pricing is either detached from intrinsic worth or anticipates significant recovery scenarios not currently supported by earnings data; however, given the negative net income, traditional P/E multiples offer limited utility for assessing true equity value relative to book assets or liquidation potential. The combination of high valuation multiples and deeply negative fundamentals implies that any current price level carries substantial downside risk unless a structural turnaround occurs that drastically improves profitability and growth trajectories.

Risk profiles are amplified by the low Altman Z-Score, which historically correlates with elevated bankruptcy probabilities for firms in similar distress zones. While the Beneish M-Score of -3.35 indicates no obvious signs of financial statement manipulation, the underlying economic reality remains fragile due to negative operating cash flows and shrinking revenues. Without a clear path to reversing the ROIC-WACC deficit or stabilizing margins, the risk/reward asymmetry heavily favors downside scenarios, making the current capital structure vulnerable to further deterioration if market conditions tighten or operational inefficiencies persist unchecked.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →6%7.5%9.5%
2%$18$10$4
3%$26$14$6
4%$43$20$8

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=7.5%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $14 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

4/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
0.8
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-3.35
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

29.6%
Gross Margin
-21.2%
Net Margin
-11.5%
ROIC
7.5%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -19.0%— Negative spread.
-1.5%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-918.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
489.0M
Free Cash Flow
34%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

1.75x
Debt / Equity
1.30x
Current Ratio
-6.2x
Interest Coverage
2.24%
FCF Yield
-4.9B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q2
✗ Miss
Est: $0.41
Act: $-0.12
-129.6%
Q1
✗ Miss
Est: $-0.01
Act: $-0.12
-732.2%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

9.6
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
0.87
Price/Book
11M
Avg Volume
$20.86
52W High
$8.62
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$501M
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding PSKY
0.03%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$1.9T
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like XLC or VOX, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell PSKY shares regardless of PSKY's individual fundamentals. We estimate $501M of passive capital is structurally linked to PSKY through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on PSKY's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in PSKY to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

PSKY Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
PSKYEpicenterIVVETFSPYETFSPLGETFMETALow RiskGOOGLLow RiskMETALow RiskGOOGLow RiskGOOGLLow Risk
PSKY Price Drop (%)0

If PSKY (PSKY) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Facebook Inc. Class A (META) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with PSKY. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 13 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

PSKY Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
PSKY

Float lock-up computed from 13 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-05-13371$10.69$3,965.99
2026-05-1259,051$10.90$643,655.9
2026-05-1139,678$11.09$440,029.02
2026-05-0819$10.76$204.44
2026-05-076,289$10.91$68,612.99
2026-05-0638,876$10.66$414,418.16
2026-05-0522,442$11.13$249,779.46
2026-05-0438,884$11.09$431,223.56
2026-05-012,600$10.24$26,624
2026-04-301,051$10.34$10,867.34
2026-04-29827$10.52$8,700.04
2026-04-28998$10.59$10,568.82
2026-04-27158,038$10.97$1.7M
2026-04-24507$11.27$5,713.89
2026-04-23441,498$11.80$5.2M
2026-04-2222,927$11.61$266,182.47
2026-04-2117,791$11.82$210,289.62
2026-04-20133,955$11.74$1.6M
2026-04-17104,136$11.73$1.2M
2026-04-1678,160$11.67$912,127.2
2026-04-1547,530$11.08$526,632.4
2026-04-1434,871$10.73$374,165.83
2026-04-137,166$10.62$76,102.92
2026-04-109,739$10.85$105,668.15
2026-04-09162,729$10.82$1.8M
2026-04-0836,998$10.90$403,278.2
2026-04-07101,757$9.85$1.0M
2026-04-0666,589$9.52$633,927.28
2026-04-0218,363$9.25$169,857.75
2026-04-01401$9.02$3,617.02

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare PSKY to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.