RBC (RBC)

$16.7B
Market Cap
62.0
P/E Ratio
1.50
Beta
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Altman Z 7.3 SafeBeneish M -2.33 CleanROIC−WACC -6.8%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health metrics are strong: Piotroski 7/9, Altman Z 7.3 (above 3.0 safe zone threshold).

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The company exhibits a robust fundamental profile characterized by strong profitability drivers and high-quality earnings, evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a negative Beneish M-Score of -2.33 that suggests minimal manipulation risk. The return on equity decomposition reveals an engine driven primarily by operational efficiency rather than leverage; specifically, the 8.1% ROE is fueled by healthy net margins of 15.0% and solid asset turnover of 0.35x, supported only modestly by a 1.55x equity multiplier. While the gross margin stands at 44.4%, revenue growth remains moderate at 4.9% year-over-year, indicating that current earnings power is more a function of pricing or cost control than top-line expansion.

Valuation metrics present a significant divergence from historical norms and sector peers, with the current price-to-earnings ratio of 62.0x implying substantial premium expectations for future performance not yet reflected in recent growth rates. This multiple appears disconnected from the underlying fundamentals, as the discounted cash flow model calculates a fair value of $106, suggesting the market is pricing in aggressive implied growth that exceeds the observed 4.9% revenue trajectory. The disparity between the high valuation multiple and moderate fundamental expansion indicates that current share prices may be detached from intrinsic value based on present earnings power.

Risk assessment highlights concerning insider activity, with net selling of $2,270,519 over the past ninety days potentially signaling management's caution regarding near-term prospects despite the strong balance sheet quality indicators. While the low debt and high F-Score suggest structural resilience, the combination of elevated valuation levels and active insider distribution creates a scenario where downside volatility could be amplified if earnings fail to accelerate meaningfully beyond current modest growth rates.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →11.5%13.5%15.5%
2%$127$98$77
3%$141$106$83
4%$158$117$90

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=13.5%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $106 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
7.3
Altman Z-Score
Safe Zone — above 3.0 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.33
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

44.4%
Gross Margin
15.0%
Net Margin
6.7%
ROIC
13.5%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -6.8%— Negative spread.
+4.9%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+17.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
243.8M
Free Cash Flow
7%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

15.0%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.35x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
1.55x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
8.1%
Return on Equity
✅ ROE driven primarily by strong profit margins — a sign of pricing power.

Balance Sheet Health

0.55x
Debt / Equity
3.26x
Current Ratio
6.2x
Interest Coverage
1.8x
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.39%
FCF Yield
491.7M
EBITDA

Insider Activity (Last 90 Days)

Net Insider Flow
-$2M
Net Selling
0
Buy Transactions
1
Sale Transactions
2026-02-17EDWARDS RICHARD JOSEPHSold 2/8 qtrsSale$2M
2026-02-17EDWARDS RICHARD JOSEPHSold 2/8 qtrsGrant$555,384

Open-market buys vs sells by company insiders. Source: yfinance.

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $2.70
Act: $2.83
+4.7%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $2.74
Act: $2.84
+3.6%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $2.73
Act: $2.88
+5.3%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $2.86
Act: $3.04
+6.2%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

37.9
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
5.12
Price/Book
199316
Avg Volume
$589.17
52W High
$297.28
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$1.7B
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding RBC
0.07%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$2.5T
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like MDYG or VBK, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell RBC shares regardless of RBC's individual fundamentals. We estimate $1.7B of passive capital is structurally linked to RBC through 8 tracked ETFs. Index rebalances and ETF creation/redemption cycles can create noticeable volume spikes unrelated to company news.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in RBC to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

RBC Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
RBCEpicenterVTIETFVBETFVXFETFCATLow RiskGELow RiskGEVLow RiskFLEXMed RiskRTXMed Risk
RBC Price Drop (%)0

If RBC (RBC) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with RBC. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 14 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

RBC Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
RBC

Float lock-up computed from 14 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

RBC Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does RBC convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$244M
EBITDA
$492M
FCF Conversion
50%
Reinvestment Rate
50%
50% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
6.7%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-6.7%

RBC converts 50% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a healthy conversion rate indicating efficient capital management — the business generates substantial cash after reinvestment. The 50% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-6.7%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-04-151$598.23$598.23
2026-04-1046$595.11$27,375.06
2026-03-3160$524.38$31,462.8
2026-03-0216$575.92$9,214.72
2026-02-04201$516.10$103,736.1
2026-02-0325$507.13$12,678.25
2026-01-291$508.95$508.95
2026-01-2360$504.99$30,299.4
2026-01-2232$504.71$16,150.72
2025-12-081$443.44$443.44
2025-11-2832$443.29$14,185.28
2025-11-24100$426.16$42,616
2025-11-174$432.04$1,728.16
2025-11-045$428.40$2,142
2025-11-0321$428.53$8,999.13
2025-10-31168$406.45$68,283.6
2025-10-14577$380.76$219,698.52
2025-10-108$384.43$3,075.44
2025-10-098$382.19$3,057.52
2025-10-088$373.47$2,987.76

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare RBC to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.