TH0528010R18 (TH0528010R18)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicStrong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9). Beneish M-Score of -2.20 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe underlying economics demonstrate robust capital efficiency with an ROIC of 22.4%, significantly outpacing typical cost of equity thresholds, suggesting a wide spread that supports value creation over time. This profitability is anchored by healthy gross margins at 27.1% and net margins expanding to 12.5%, driven primarily by strong revenue growth of 20.3% rather than excessive leverage or asset turnover inefficiencies. Fundamental integrity checks reinforce this quality profile, as the company posts a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating robust financial strength, while a Beneish M-Score of -2.20 effectively rules out earnings manipulation risks often seen in high-growth narratives.
However, valuation metrics present a stark divergence from these operational fundamentals, with the current P/E ratio soaring to 184.7x. This multiple is detached from historical norms and sector averages implied by such extreme pricing, suggesting the market has aggressively priced in perpetual hypergrowth rather than sustainable earnings power. A DCF analysis anchors fair value at $39, implying that current trading levels are substantially inflated relative to discounted cash flow models unless growth assumptions exceed historically realistic trajectories. The gap between intrinsic value and market price indicates significant downside risk if execution falters or sentiment cools, as the stock trades on expectations of continued acceleration rather than realized earnings quality.
No specific data regarding Fama-French alpha, insider trading activity, or sector-specific beta deviations was provided to further contextualize the risk-reward profile beyond the valuation disconnect and fundamental strength already noted.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 8% | 10% | 12% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $47 | $35 | $27 |
| 3% | $55 | $39 | $30 |
| 4% | $67 | $44 | $33 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $39 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.
Balance Sheet Health
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like EMXC or SCHE, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell TH0528010R18 shares regardless of TH0528010R18's individual fundamentals. We estimate $175M of passive capital is structurally linked to TH0528010R18 through 5 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on TH0528010R18's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 5 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in TH0528010R18 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If TH0528010R18 (TH0528010R18) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TW0002330008) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 3 ETFs with TH0528010R18. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 5 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
TH0528010R18 Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest TH0528010R18 Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 5 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
TH0528010R18 Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does TH0528010R18 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
TH0528010R18 converts 35% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 65% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Compare TH0528010R18 to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.