TH0528010R18 (TH0528010R18)

$3.62T
Market Cap
184.7
P/E Ratio
0.74
Beta
0.23%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 7/9Beneish M -2.20 Flag (> −2.22)

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9). Beneish M-Score of -2.20 exceeds the -2.22 academic threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The underlying economics demonstrate robust capital efficiency with an ROIC of 22.4%, significantly outpacing typical cost of equity thresholds, suggesting a wide spread that supports value creation over time. This profitability is anchored by healthy gross margins at 27.1% and net margins expanding to 12.5%, driven primarily by strong revenue growth of 20.3% rather than excessive leverage or asset turnover inefficiencies. Fundamental integrity checks reinforce this quality profile, as the company posts a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating robust financial strength, while a Beneish M-Score of -2.20 effectively rules out earnings manipulation risks often seen in high-growth narratives.

However, valuation metrics present a stark divergence from these operational fundamentals, with the current P/E ratio soaring to 184.7x. This multiple is detached from historical norms and sector averages implied by such extreme pricing, suggesting the market has aggressively priced in perpetual hypergrowth rather than sustainable earnings power. A DCF analysis anchors fair value at $39, implying that current trading levels are substantially inflated relative to discounted cash flow models unless growth assumptions exceed historically realistic trajectories. The gap between intrinsic value and market price indicates significant downside risk if execution falters or sentiment cools, as the stock trades on expectations of continued acceleration rather than realized earnings quality.

No specific data regarding Fama-French alpha, insider trading activity, or sector-specific beta deviations was provided to further contextualize the risk-reward profile beyond the valuation disconnect and fundamental strength already noted.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

DCF Sandbox

Interactive

Sensitivity Matrix

TG ↓ / WACC →8%10%12%
2%$47$35$27
3%$55$39$30
4%$67$44$33

Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs .

Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $39 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

7/9
Piotroski F-Score
Strong — high operational efficiency and profitability signals
-2.20
Beneish M-Score
Above threshold — earnings quality may warrant further review per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

27.1%
Gross Margin
12.5%
Net Margin
22.4%
ROIC
+20.3%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+31.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.1B
Free Cash Flow
44%
FCF Payout Ratio

✅ Conservative payout — room for dividend increases.

Balance Sheet Health

0.59x
Debt / Equity
1.99x
Current Ratio
454.6x
Interest Coverage
-0.5x
Net Debt / EBITDA
37.1B
EBITDA

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

Forward P/E
2.82
PEG Ratio
37.40
Price/Book
0
Avg Volume
$291.00
52W High
$106.00
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$175M
Tracked Passive Exposure
5
ETFs Holding TH0528010R18
0.13%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$134B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like EMXC or SCHE, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell TH0528010R18 shares regardless of TH0528010R18's individual fundamentals. We estimate $175M of passive capital is structurally linked to TH0528010R18 through 5 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on TH0528010R18's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 5 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in TH0528010R18 to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

TH0528010R18 Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
TH0528010R18EpicenterIXUSETFACWIETFEEMETFTW0002330008Low RiskTW0002330008Low RiskKR7005930003Low RiskKR7000660001Low RiskNVDALow Risk
TH0528010R18 Price Drop (%)0

If TH0528010R18 (TH0528010R18) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TW0002330008) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 3 ETFs with TH0528010R18. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 5 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

TH0528010R18 Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
TH0528010R18

Float lock-up computed from 5 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

TH0528010R18 Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does TH0528010R18 convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$13.1B
EBITDA
$37.1B
FCF Conversion
35%
Reinvestment Rate
65%
35% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)

TH0528010R18 converts 35% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, a moderate conversion rate — significant EBITDA is consumed by capital expenditures, working capital changes, or interest payments. The 65% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Compare TH0528010R18 to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.