WTRG (WTRG)

$11.6B
Market Cap
18.6
P/E Ratio
0.80
Beta
3.40%
Dividend Yield
Piotroski 5/9Altman Z 1.0 DistressBeneish M -2.36 CleanROIC−WACC -3.4%

Quantitative Summary

Deterministic

Financial health is average: Piotroski 5/9, Altman Z 1.0.

Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.

Algorithmic Teardown

AI-Generated

The capital allocation efficiency presents a notable divergence from the reported profitability metrics. While net margins of 24.9% and gross margins near 58% suggest strong pricing power or cost control, the return on invested capital sits at just 4.0%, indicating that high asset turnover is not driving value creation relative to the cost of debt and equity. This disconnect is further illuminated by the DuPont decomposition: a low asset turnover ratio of 0.13x forces management to rely heavily on an equity multiplier of 2.84x, or leverage, to achieve a 9% return on equity. Such reliance on financial leverage rather than operational efficiency often compresses ROIC over time. The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 signals moderate fundamental stability without clear signs of distress, while the Beneish M-Score of -2.36 suggests low probability of earnings manipulation, though it does not fully resolve concerns regarding the gap between margin quality and capital returns.

Valuation multiples currently trade at 18.6x forward earnings, a figure that must be weighed against the implied growth trajectory required to justify these levels given the modest ROIC profile. The market appears pricing in continued revenue expansion of roughly 18.6% year-over-year; however, sustaining such top-line growth while maintaining only marginally superior returns on capital creates pressure on future multiple compression if operational leverage does not improve asset efficiency. Without a meaningful increase in asset turnover or a reduction in the equity multiplier to boost organic ROIC toward levels commensurate with the sector average, current valuations may be predicated more on revenue momentum than on durable cash flow generation relative to invested capital.

Insider activity over the past ninety days remains neutral at zero net flow, offering no clear signal of management conviction or distress regarding near-term equity positioning. In the absence of insider trading data suggesting a shift in risk appetite, investors must rely primarily on the structural metrics provided: specifically whether the company can convert its high-margin revenue into higher returns on invested capital without increasing financial leverage further. The combination of moderate Piotroski fundamentals and low Beneish manipulation scores provides some confidence in earnings quality, but the core investment thesis hinges on resolving the disconnect between impressive margins and subpar ROIC through improved asset utilization rather than continued reliance on leverage.

Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.

Price Chart with Moving Averages

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SMA 50 SMA 200

Quant Health Deep Dive

5/9
Piotroski F-Score
Average — mixed operational signals
1.0
Altman Z-Score
Distress Zone — below 1.8 threshold per academic model. Thresholds: >3 safe, 1.8–3 grey, <1.8 distress.
-2.36
Beneish M-Score
Below threshold — no statistical earnings quality concern per Beneish model. Threshold: <-2.22 = below threshold.

Profitability & Value Creation

57.8%
Gross Margin
24.9%
Net Margin
4.0%
ROIC
7.4%
WACC
ROIC − WACC Spread: -3.4%— Negative spread.
+18.6%
Revenue Growth (YoY)
+3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-419.5M
Free Cash Flow

DuPont Analysis — ROE Decomposition

Breaking down Return on Equity to see how the company generates its ROE — efficiency, margins, or leverage.

24.9%
Net Profit Margin
NI ÷ Revenue
×
0.13x
Asset Turnover
Revenue ÷ Assets
×
2.84x
Equity Multiplier
Assets ÷ Equity
=
9.0%
Return on Equity
✅ ROE driven primarily by strong profit margins — a sign of pricing power.

Balance Sheet Health

1.84x
Debt / Equity
0.80x
Current Ratio
2.9x
Interest Coverage
5.9x
Net Debt / EBITDA
-2.14%
FCF Yield
1.4B
EBITDA

Earnings Surprise History

Q4
✓ Beat
Est: $0.80
Act: $1.03
+29.1%
Q3
✓ Beat
Est: $0.30
Act: $0.38
+27.4%
Q2
✓ Beat
Est: $0.28
Act: $0.33
+15.9%
Q1
✓ Beat
Est: $0.40
Act: $0.47
+17.2%

EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.

Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)

How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.

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Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)

How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.

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Rolling Beta Market (β = 1.0)

Fundamentals

16.8
Forward P/E
PEG Ratio
1.69
Price/Book
2M
Avg Volume
$42.37
52W High
$36.32
52W Low
52W Range Position

Passive Flow Attribution

ETF Draft Effect
$929M
Tracked Passive Exposure
8
ETFs Holding WTRG
0.15%
Avg Weight in ETFs
$641B
Total ETF AUM

When investors buy or sell ETFs like VPU or MDYV, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell WTRG shares regardless of WTRG's individual fundamentals. We estimate $929M of passive capital is structurally linked to WTRG through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on WTRG's daily trading dynamics.

Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.

ETF Contagion Visualizer

Simulate a price drop in WTRG to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.

WTRG Shock
-0%
Est. Passive Redemption
$0
Systemic Risk
STABLE
WTRGEpicenterVBETFVIGETFVYMETFNEEHigh RiskSOHigh RiskDUKHigh RiskCEGMed RiskAEPHigh Risk
WTRG Price Drop (%)0

If WTRG (WTRG) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 1 ETFs with WTRG. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.

Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 16 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.

WTRG Ownership Dynamics

Ticker
WTRG

Float lock-up computed from 17 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).

WTRG Capital Efficiency

How efficiently does WTRG convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.

Free Cash Flow
$-419,521,000
EBITDA
$1.4B
FCF Conversion
-31%
Reinvestment Rate
131%
-31% of EBITDA → Free Cash
0% (cash burn)25% (low)50% (efficient)100% (pure cash)
ROIC
4.0%
ROIC − WACC Spread
-3.4%

WTRG converts -31% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, negative FCF conversion — the company is consuming cash faster than it generates EBITDA, which is unsustainable long-term. The 131% reinvestment rate signals aggressive capacity expansion. However, the ROIC-WACC spread is negative (-3.4%), suggesting reinvested capital is destroying shareholder value.

Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.

Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History

SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.

DateFailed SharesClose PriceNotional Value
2026-04-091,598$40.32$64,431.36
2026-04-081,598$40.47$64,671.06
2026-04-0199$40.27$3,986.73
2026-03-311,651$41.05$67,773.55
2026-03-24145$40.00$5,800
2026-03-23317$39.93$12,657.81
2026-03-20121$40.47$4,896.87
2026-03-1716,750$41.04$687,420
2026-03-02242$39.97$9,672.74
2026-02-2654,920$39.90$2.2M
2026-02-173,874$39.73$153,914.02
2026-02-02176,041$38.79$6.8M
2026-01-2329$39.60$1,148.4
2026-01-2271$39.23$2,785.33
2026-01-2117$39.32$668.44
2026-01-0943$38.48$1,654.64
2026-01-0718$38.48$692.64
2026-01-05411$38.67$15,893.37
2025-12-3111$38.45$422.95
2025-12-11344$37.16$12,783.04
2025-12-09159$37.46$5,956.14
2025-12-0893$38.00$3,534
2025-11-183,396$39.94$135,636.24
2025-11-175,496$39.67$218,026.32
2025-11-143$39.95$119.85
2025-11-04152$38.08$5,788.16
2025-10-14744$39.78$29,596.32
2025-10-033,197$38.57$123,308.29
2025-10-0243$38.82$1,669.26
2025-10-0113$39.90$518.7

Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.

Compare WTRG to Peers

Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.

SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.