CorVel Corporation (CRVL)
Quantitative Summary
DeterministicCRVL trades at 28.2x earnings — a 47% premium to its sector average of 19.2x — without a dominant ROIC-WACC spread. Strong operational fundamentals (Piotroski 7/9).
Generated deterministically from quant metrics and financial statements. Not a recommendation.
Algorithmic Teardown
AI-GeneratedThe fundamental economics of CorVel Corporation demonstrate robust capital efficiency, evidenced by a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 27.9%, which suggests the firm generates substantial value relative to its cost of equity. This high ROIC is underpinned by strong profitability metrics, specifically net and gross margins of 10.6% and 23.4% respectively, while revenue expansion tracks at a 12.6% year-over-year pace. Qualitative indicators further reinforce financial stability; a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 signals healthy balance sheet strength and earnings quality, whereas the Beneish M-Score of -2.75 indicates management actions are unlikely to be manipulating reported results. Collectively, these metrics paint a picture of an operation with durable competitive advantages and transparent financial reporting within the Financial Services sector.
Valuation analysis reveals a notable divergence between current market pricing and intrinsic value estimates derived from discounted cash flow modeling. The stock currently trades at 28.2x forward earnings, significantly exceeding the sector average multiple of 17.8x, which implies the market is pricing in aggressive growth expectations or premium quality factors not fully reflected in peer valuations. However, this elevated entry point contrasts sharply with a DCF-derived fair value estimate of $20 per share; without knowing the current price to calculate an exact discount or premium percentage, the gap between the implied intrinsic value and the multiple expansion suggests potential overvaluation if consensus growth assumptions fail to materialize. Investors must weigh whether the 12.6% revenue trajectory justifies such a steep valuation differential compared to historical norms and sector peers.
While specific risk factor deltas, insider activity data, or Fama-French alpha metrics were not provided in this dataset, the existing profile presents a classic high-multiple growth scenario where downside protection relies heavily on sustaining top-line momentum. The combination of superior profitability and low earnings manipulation risk offers structural resilience, yet the wide gap between current multiples and sector averages introduces sensitivity to any deceleration in revenue growth or margin compression.
Generated by LLM from quantitative data inputs. May contain inaccuracies. Not investment advice.
DCF Sandbox
InteractiveSensitivity Matrix
| TG ↓ / WACC → | 8% | 10% | 12% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2% | $25 | $18 | $15 |
| 3% | $29 | $20 | $16 |
| 4% | $35 | $23 | $17 |
Center = base case. Green = >10% upside, Red = >10% downside vs —.
Pre-computed DCF: WACC=10.0%, terminal growth 3%. Fair value $20 (+0.0%). Not investment advice.
Valuation Context
Price Chart with Moving Averages
Quant Health Deep Dive
Profitability & Value Creation
Balance Sheet Health
Earnings Surprise History
EPS estimates vs actuals for the most recent reported quarters. Source: yfinance.
Underwater (Drawdown from Peak)
How far below the all-time high the price has been over time. Deeper = more pain for holders.
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs S&P 500 (VOO)
How the stock's sensitivity to market moves changes over time. β > 1 = more volatile than the market.
Fundamentals
Passive Flow Attribution
ETF Draft EffectWhen investors buy or sell ETFs like XHS or VFQY, the fund manager is mechanically forced to buy or sell CRVL shares regardless of CorVel Corporation's individual fundamentals. We estimate $53M of passive capital is structurally linked to CRVL through 8 tracked ETFs. Passive flows have a limited but growing influence on CRVL's daily trading dynamics.
Passive exposure = Σ (ETF AUM × stock weight in ETF) across 8 tracked ETFs. Actual passive ownership is larger (includes mutual funds). Not investment advice.
ETF Contagion Visualizer
Simulate a price drop in CorVel Corporation to visualize passive redemption contagion across ETFs and collateral stocks.
If CorVel Corporation (CRVL) experiences a significant drawdown, ETF redemptions can create collateral selling pressure on co-held stocks. Our model identifies BRIGHTSPRING HEALTH SERVICES (BTSG) as the most exposed collateral stock, sharing 3 ETFs with CRVL. This is the "Passive Contagion" effect described in the Inelastic Market Hypothesis.
Contagion model based on shared ETF exposure and constituent weights across 8 tracked ETFs. Estimated selling pressure is a simplified model — actual impact depends on market liquidity, ETF redemption mechanics, and market-maker activity.
CRVL Ownership Dynamics
ETFs with Highest CRVL Exposure
Float lock-up computed from 8 ETFs tracked by SecuritiesDB. Actual passive ownership is higher (includes mutual funds, pension funds, etc.).
CRVL Capital Efficiency
How efficiently does CorVel Corporation convert operating profits into free cash? The FCF Conversion ratio measures the gap between accounting earnings and real cash generation.
CorVel Corporation converts 61% of its EBITDA into free cash flow, an exceptional conversion rate indicating an asset-light business model with minimal capital reinvestment drag.
Capital efficiency = Free Cash Flow ÷ EBITDA. Reinvestment = (EBITDA − FCF) ÷ EBITDA. Metrics from latest annual filings. Not investment advice.
Fails-to-Deliver (FTD) History
SEC-reported settlement failures. Elevated FTDs can indicate high short-selling pressure, operational settlement issues, or naked shorting activity.
| Date | Failed Shares | Close Price | Notional Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | 2 | $55.96 | $111.92 |
| 2026-04-14 | 1 | $54.30 | $54.3 |
| 2026-04-13 | 9,016 | $52.77 | $475,774.32 |
| 2026-04-10 | 8,342 | $54.14 | $451,635.88 |
| 2026-03-24 | 86 | $54.20 | $4,661.2 |
| 2026-02-26 | 3 | $50.72 | $152.16 |
| 2026-02-24 | 4 | $49.82 | $199.28 |
| 2026-02-20 | 6 | $48.21 | $289.26 |
| 2026-02-19 | 46 | $48.42 | $2,227.32 |
| 2026-02-17 | 189 | $49.20 | $9,298.8 |
| 2026-02-13 | 113 | $47.27 | $5,341.51 |
| 2026-02-05 | 44 | $49.08 | $2,159.52 |
| 2026-01-23 | 1 | $71.05 | $71.05 |
| 2026-01-14 | 58 | $68.41 | $3,967.78 |
| 2026-01-09 | 62 | $72.00 | $4,464 |
| 2026-01-05 | 147 | $65.74 | $9,663.78 |
| 2026-01-02 | 1 | $67.67 | $67.67 |
| 2025-12-19 | 1 | $70.24 | $70.24 |
| 2025-12-15 | 1 | $69.93 | $69.93 |
Source: SEC Regulation SHO FTD data. Data is reported with a ~30 day delay. High FTD quantities relative to average daily volume may indicate settlement stress.
Compare CRVL to Peers
Quant metrics computed deterministically from financial statements and price data. Updated: N/A.
SecuritiesDB provides programmatic data aggregation for informational purposes only. None of the metrics, summaries, or algorithmic flags constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security.